Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

14.1%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 11-05 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

75% 25% -$26

Politics

17% 0% -$25

Tech

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+5	$7	81¢	$4	-$2	11-04 22:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+1	$1	74¢	$1	$0	11-05 15:50
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$3	46¢	$0	-$3	11-02 20:48
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+0	$9	62¢	$0	-$9	10-02 07:16
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	+0	$26	24¢	$0	-$26	11-03 17:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+0	$0	71¢	$0	$0	11-05 14:00
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	+0	$2	30¢	$0	-$1	10-29 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	+0	$0	25¢	$0	$0	11-03 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	3	$324	238	238	+0	open	—	11-01 08:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	5	$199	160	160	+0	open	—	11-02 08:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	5	$196	118	113	+5	open	—	11-04 22:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	4	$175	122	122	+0	open	—	11-05 14:00
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	3	$159	385	385	+0	open	—	11-03 17:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$155	105	104	+1	open	—	11-05 15:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$107	248	248	+0	No	-$17	11-02 20:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	4	$99	59	59	+0	open	—	11-03 10:02
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	3	$86	74	74	+0	open	—	11-01 08:58
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	4	$84	209	209	+0	open	—	11-02 08:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$83	58	58	+0	open	—	11-03 09:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	3	$74	59	59	+0	open	—	10-11 05:12
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	2	$71	49	49	+0	open	—	10-28 04:35
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	2	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	11-03 02:30
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	4	$62	79	79	+0	Yes	-$3	10-28 20:17
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	3	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 20:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	3	$54	115	115	+0	open	—	10-21 15:52
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$53	129	128	+1	open	—	10-28 11:35
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	4	$53	138	138	+0	open	—	10-31 10:53
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	4	$44	138	137	+1	open	—	11-02 20:48
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	4	$41	38	38	+0	open	—	10-29 14:56
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	3	$41	59	59	+0	open	—	10-10 13:04
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$40	31	31	+0	open	—	10-28 20:16
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	4	$37	23	23	+0	No	+$0	10-02 12:59
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$35	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 18:52
Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	5	$31	45	45	+0	Yes	-$2	11-03 17:31
Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	2	$30	22	20	+2	open	—	10-11 05:10
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31	3	$28	67	66	+1	No	-$5	10-01 07:55
Will Summit be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$25	79	78	+1	No	-$10	09-29 14:27
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	3	$25	24	24	+0	Yes	-$2	10-27 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:50:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	104	74¢	$77	0x074a77…
11-05 15:48:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	74¢	$78	0x7763b8…
11-05 14:00:16	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	77	72¢	$55	0x65058d…
11-05 13:44:43	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x143a75…
11-05 13:43:42	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xd8e3f0…
11-05 13:43:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	122	72¢	$87	0x7ea626…
11-04 22:04:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x61c3a0…
11-04 21:18:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x665437…
11-04 21:18:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x442bd8…
11-04 21:00:49	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xc8ffdc…
11-04 21:00:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	118	86¢	$101	0xdeb5fc…
11-03 17:49:58	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	341	17¢	$58	0xb2d0cf…
11-03 17:31:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x0effb9…
11-03 17:04:40	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0xc3fffb…
11-03 16:19:19	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	24¢	$92	0x628a1f…
11-03 14:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x63ceb7…
11-03 13:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x00dc9b…
11-03 10:02:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x6f6863…
11-03 09:06:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x804e2d…
11-03 09:00:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc53a4b…
11-03 08:55:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	55	83¢	$46	0x994232…
11-03 08:39:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xc92db1…
11-03 02:30:06	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x33d90d…
11-03 01:44:49	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x299c10…
11-02 20:57:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x45213f…
11-02 20:48:34	Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	15¢	$21	0x372766…
11-02 20:03:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xae05b4…
11-02 20:03:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0x64bf69…
11-02 20:03:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x1a728d…
11-02 08:22:42	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x38c0dd…
11-02 08:22:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$0	0x958537…
11-02 06:58:30	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x3fc1b9…
11-01 09:08:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0x792484…
11-01 08:58:04	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xc50102…
11-01 08:57:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xdd0761…
11-01 08:52:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xadb9d6…
11-01 08:52:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xa0ef08…
11-01 08:52:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x01d0db…
11-01 06:58:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd1be37…
11-01 06:58:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xaba4ac…
11-01 06:58:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x2145cc…
11-01 06:58:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x192c04…
11-01 06:58:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0a6271…
10-31 23:06:03	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	20¢	$22	0x9cbb06…
10-31 22:54:40	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x094903…
10-31 22:09:31	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	21¢	$44	0xb26453…
10-31 10:53:06	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xaeeb5c…
10-31 10:02:51	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	SELL	74	58¢	$43	0xef96ef…
10-31 10:02:48	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0xe05547…
10-31 00:02:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	57¢	$45	0x235c04…
10-30 23:16:49	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	58¢	$41	0x178da4…
10-30 22:31:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1c1819…
10-30 21:46:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	67¢	$107	0x98131e…
10-30 21:12:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	238	68¢	$162	0x85cc4a…
10-30 21:03:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	238	68¢	$162	0x84473e…
10-29 14:56:38	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0xf6b290…
10-29 14:11:32	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x253d15…
10-29 14:11:25	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1c64b9…
10-29 14:11:23	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x09e260…
10-29 13:39:22	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	138	18¢	$25	0x17e16c…
10-29 12:54:17	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	118	20¢	$24	0xbb00e5…
10-29 12:54:17	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3eca77…
10-28 23:55:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	248	18¢	$45	0x6afbde…
10-28 23:03:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	248	25¢	$62	0x2d1f8d…
10-28 20:17:07	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x72dfe1…
10-28 20:16:58	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x74fcee…
10-28 20:16:47	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x2b0ed9…
10-28 11:35:05	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	98	16¢	$16	0x706746…
10-28 10:49:58	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x17ded1…
10-28 10:04:22	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb5d4fa…
10-28 10:04:22	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x1778dd…
10-28 04:35:40	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0xcdf9ac…
10-28 04:34:59	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x8dc71b…
10-27 20:36:47	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x694b7a…
10-27 04:13:47	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	SELL	115	3¢	$3	0x1417b1…
10-27 03:28:26	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x12f5c9…
10-26 21:13:26	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x4e22c4…
10-26 20:28:08	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xd38f7b…
10-25 15:07:30	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xea67fe…
10-25 04:09:48	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xa3d328…
10-25 03:24:41	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x8f7ceb…
10-23 02:24:35	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0xbd4306…
10-23 01:39:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x90f861…
10-23 01:39:15	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xb747ef…
10-23 01:39:15	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$8	0x5b211c…
10-22 16:43:27	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	79	37¢	$29	0x97329b…
10-22 15:58:17	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xf0b320…
10-22 15:58:17	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x631cef…
10-21 15:52:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x04efbc…
10-20 20:25:41	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	114	24¢	$27	0x6bd020…
10-20 20:14:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	115	23¢	$26	0x0e7f7d…
10-17 16:22:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	57	68¢	$39	0x4f18b7…
10-17 16:07:47	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	58	75¢	$43	0xb6ffef…
10-11 18:52:06	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x6940f8…
10-11 07:10:11	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0xe978cc…
10-11 07:09:38	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0xebf267…
10-11 06:55:45	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x07fb04…
10-11 05:12:18	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x5f3755…
10-11 05:12:00	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7bceed…
10-11 05:10:42	Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xccf0ad…