Automatic-Study — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,866 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.03K

$6.35K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-03 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 55% +$86

Other

16% 41% +$130

Sports

8% 41% +$4

Politics

5% 12% -$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+30	$20	80¢	$24	+$4	11-03 08:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+10	$4	8¢	$1	-$3	05-10 06:32
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+34	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	11-03 08:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-03 08:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	1	$130	271	0	+271	No	-$130	09-20 14:12
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	37	$105	90	100	-10	Colorado Rockies	+$30	05-09 02:09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	08-22 16:35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	1	$100	122	0	+122	Yes	+$22	09-15 19:15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	20	$72	90	50	+40	Boston Red Sox	+$5	05-09 00:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	1	$70	280	0	+280	Yes	+$210	10-25 18:44
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	16	$68	70	50	+20	KRÜ Esports	-$13	05-08 23:40
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	22	$62	105	60	+45	Toronto Blue Jays	-$11	05-09 00:00
dota2 pr1 ic 2026 09 02 game1	2	$55	67	0	+67	Inner Circle	-$55	09-02 10:04
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$50	93	0	+93	No	-$50	09-20 14:12
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$50	75	0	+75	Yes	+$25	09-12 18:56
lal elc rea 2026 09 15 ags kylian mbappe	1	$50	70	0	+70	Yes	+$20	09-15 19:15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	1	$45	58	0	+58	Yes	+$13	08-31 19:50
dota2 yg iac 2026 09 02 game2	3	$45	81	0	+81	Yangon Galacticos	+$36	09-02 08:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	21	$42	55	45	+10	open	—	05-10 06:32
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	21	$42	58	40	+18	Sean Brady	-$2	05-10 02:04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	1	$40	47	0	+47	Yes	+$7	09-12 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	11	$39	46	20	+26	Down	-$18	05-08 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$35	36	23	+13	Up	+$6	05-08 05:24
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	10	$35	40	40	+0	Athletics	+$0	05-08 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$32	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 14:09
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$30	103	0	+103	No	-$30	11-03 08:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$30	150	0	+150	No	-$30	11-03 08:13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	1	$30	57	0	+57	Yes	+$27	09-09 19:06
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	1	$30	698	0	+698	No	-$30	11-03 08:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$30	115	0	+115	No	-$30	11-03 08:16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	11	$27	35	20	+15	MOUZ	+$2	05-10 07:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	8	$25	40	0	+40	Yes	+$15	05-08 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$25	35	12	+22	Down	-$15	05-08 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 08:30:48	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x30b023…
11-03 08:28:57	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x09df86…
11-03 08:28:28	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x93eb33…
11-03 08:28:09	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2fe14f…
11-03 08:27:54	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xeb8d89…
11-03 08:27:39	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x224b29…
11-03 08:27:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa29265…
11-03 08:23:52	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb6c827…
11-03 08:23:03	Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x0deb0a…
11-03 08:21:46	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x63d644…
11-03 08:21:00	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x7d8e18…
11-03 08:19:27	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	698	4¢	$30	0xe9d3c7…
11-03 08:17:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xcdd7c4…
11-03 08:16:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xf2d8cb…
11-03 08:15:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x690379…
11-03 08:13:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xb84901…
10-25 18:44:36	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	378	1¢	$5	0x19889d…
10-25 18:44:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0xeace32…
09-20 14:12:21	Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xcf7422…
09-20 14:12:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	271	48¢	$130	0x48f1b2…
09-15 19:16:49	Arda Guler: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x58747b…
09-15 19:16:21	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 ags jude bellingham	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa9ea8f…
09-15 19:15:34	Real Madrid CF to score first in the 1st half vs. Elche CF?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x3a0cc1…
09-15 19:15:16	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa1b1a5…
09-15 19:15:04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x8f10aa…
09-12 18:56:04	Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x6c1cfb…
09-12 18:55:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x418af0…
09-09 19:06:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xea6ba6…
09-02 10:04:18	dota2 pr1 ic 2026 09 02 game1	Power Rangers	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0xb920b7…
09-02 09:57:57	dota2 pr1 ic 2026 09 02 game1	Power Rangers	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa65ad3…
09-02 08:49:15	dota2 yg iac 2026 09 02 game2	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x002339…
09-02 08:37:22	dota2 yg iac 2026 09 02 game2	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4e48bc…
09-02 08:33:42	dota2 yg iac 2026 09 02 game2	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7c6eac…
08-31 19:50:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x65235b…
08-22 16:35:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x058622…
05-17 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd6b288…
05-17 17:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xf47b4e…
05-17 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x841b12…
05-17 15:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x094ab7…
05-17 15:04:19	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4e3c16…
05-17 15:04:12	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfaa4ad…
05-17 12:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xe336d0…
05-17 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x887ad0…
05-17 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe5b266…
05-17 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa17c75…
05-17 12:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xa0288f…
05-17 12:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb4da03…
05-17 12:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xcb415c…
05-17 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7c171b…
05-17 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x7a2dbe…
05-17 11:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x64f971…
05-17 10:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xc8a459…
05-17 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc80be1…
05-17 09:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x394b00…
05-17 08:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x8b43c4…
05-17 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd21b56…
05-17 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x69a3c8…
05-17 06:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6785e6…
05-17 06:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xeb4ef5…
05-17 01:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd7c479…
05-16 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xabee9d…
05-16 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe26594…
05-16 23:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x3f5ce0…
05-16 23:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9ac454…
05-16 22:32:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xf86788…
05-16 22:32:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf634e3…
05-16 22:32:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1a1a25…
05-16 22:32:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x362d1d…
05-16 22:32:04	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x0f8736…
05-16 22:32:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xb22111…
05-16 22:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2ae433…
05-10 13:24:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x262731…
05-10 07:23:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1fb049…
05-10 07:18:48	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2b0299…
05-10 06:32:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfa10fb…
05-10 06:14:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbe28ab…
05-10 06:09:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x90b8fb…
05-10 05:42:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x27e01f…
05-10 05:39:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf3eb73…
05-10 05:37:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xbe2fd7…
05-10 05:29:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3cd497…
05-10 05:28:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdba184…
05-10 05:23:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x58f3f4…
05-10 05:20:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe0a213…
05-10 05:20:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8870c9…
05-10 05:18:39	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd46c18…
05-10 05:18:10	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x109de8…
05-10 05:17:38	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac6bf3…
05-10 05:14:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd608fd…
05-10 05:12:58	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x94978b…
05-10 05:12:58	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8173f6…
05-10 05:12:23	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc0d6e0…
05-10 05:09:53	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf2e6ac…
05-10 05:08:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x326ec7…
05-10 04:26:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7b27ef…
05-10 03:15:33	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x90993c…
05-10 03:11:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb501f3…
05-10 03:06:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x3342de…
05-10 03:04:03	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4ade9e…
05-10 02:59:02	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x618838…