Earnest-Kid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

1,336

Trades

1,859

lifetime

Volume

$66.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-28 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$1,257

Sports

0% 33% -$7

Other

0% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET	4	$655	1,099	1,099	+0	Down	-$145	09-23 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	6	$610	915	734	+181	Up	+$150	05-22 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET	4	$598	814	814	+0	Up	+$198	09-23 00:03
bitcoin up or down september 23 2026 6am et	11	$554	654	438	+216	Up	-$46	09-23 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET	3	$505	350	350	+0	Up	+$125	09-22 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET	3	$476	464	464	+0	Down	+$116	09-23 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:05 UTC	2	$450	527	526	+1	Down	+$335	02-27 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$444	487	487	+0	Up	+$44	09-23 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:15 UTC	2	$367	268	268	+0	Up	+$67	07-10 09:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 10:15 UTC	2	$355	257	257	+0	Up	+$55	07-10 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$333	732	474	+258	Down	-$67	09-22 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 23:45 UTC	3	$320	1,965	297	+1,668	Up	-$80	03-26 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	2	$293	535	535	+0	Up	+$93	09-22 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	2	$287	256	256	+0	Up	+$87	10-13 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 15:30 UTC	2	$278	251	250	+1	Down	+$219	02-26 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:50 UTC	2	$271	174	174	+0	Down	+$71	07-09 10:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 00:50 UTC	2	$270	225	223	+2	Down	+$174	02-27 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$267	280	280	+0	Down	+$134	05-17 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	2	$263	286	286	+0	Down	+$63	09-22 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET	2	$263	169	169	+0	Down	+$63	09-22 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 23:50 UTC	3	$258	395	83	+312	Up	-$92	03-26 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$258	323	323	+0	Down	+$58	09-22 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$258	250	250	+0	Up	+$58	09-22 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:40 UTC	2	$257	159	159	+0	Up	+$57	09-21 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ET	2	$253	273	273	+0	Down	+$53	09-23 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET	2	$245	227	227	+0	Down	+$45	10-15 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:55 UTC	2	$244	303	299	+4	Up	+$44	03-26 22:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:20 UTC	2	$242	248	248	+0	Up	+$42	09-22 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	2	$240	366	366	+0	Down	+$40	07-09 00:48
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 8am et	2	$239	242	242	+0	Down	+$39	07-10 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x28569a…
10-28 10:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x34a38f…
10-28 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xc5ab99…
10-28 06:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0x1498ff…
10-28 06:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xc2b855…
10-28 06:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$10	0xd9824b…
10-28 06:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xd36797…
10-27 22:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x29fcb5…
10-27 22:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xf996bd…
10-27 22:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xc722e3…
10-27 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	71	82¢	$59	0xebd4dc…
10-27 21:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xa15181…
10-27 21:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xa14846…
10-27 21:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb88a1b…
10-27 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x6bcca3…
10-27 20:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x7ee384…
10-27 20:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x49c934…
10-27 20:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xb0f757…
10-27 20:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	60¢	$18	0x27fa26…
10-27 20:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x51010a…
10-27 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0xafc4c0…
10-27 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xd13b8b…
10-27 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	61¢	$16	0x73d4c4…
10-27 20:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xd66158…
10-27 19:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x58e59a…
10-27 19:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xec378c…
10-27 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8aae44…
10-27 16:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x568002…
10-27 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0x43ef96…
10-27 14:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x787c75…
10-27 14:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	98	65¢	$64	0x23454e…
10-27 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x803330…
10-27 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	146	57¢	$83	0xd5991b…
10-27 11:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0x9ce3ba…
10-27 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	112	59¢	$66	0xb01474…
10-27 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	112	53¢	$60	0x2bac2e…
10-27 10:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	120	59¢	$71	0x642d6c…
10-27 10:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x88aebb…
10-27 09:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x19c238…
10-27 09:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	152	54¢	$82	0x3d3003…
10-27 09:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	152	39¢	$60	0xed5644…
10-26 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0x6da56c…
10-26 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x9ccfe6…
10-26 17:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	136	37¢	$50	0x71e962…
10-26 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xf1f479…
10-26 17:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	189	20¢	$38	0x208bf4…
10-26 17:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	189	15¢	$28	0x1db160…
10-26 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x11fc6a…
10-26 16:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x56b5a7…
10-26 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x9efdd0…
10-26 16:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x0a81e2…
10-21 10:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x73c752…
10-20 06:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0xf4b0f3…
10-19 22:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	78	29¢	$23	0xb6ba11…
10-19 22:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	78	18¢	$14	0xd4e6ff…
10-19 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0x1228e4…
10-19 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x1b5e03…
10-19 21:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	66¢	$15	0xfc1734…
10-19 21:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x6c7dca…
10-19 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xd521ad…
10-19 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x825219…
10-19 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x16ac1e…
10-19 19:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x400fba…
10-16 10:17:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	212	37¢	$78	0x5c6d9e…
10-16 08:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	122	68¢	$83	0xcb4b25…
10-16 08:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x1f1cfc…
10-16 06:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x5e36f7…
10-15 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0x91eba9…
10-15 20:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$49	0x242b5b…
10-15 15:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xf8a4bf…
10-15 15:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x46d945…
10-15 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$49	0x16cdd3…
10-15 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x170ed2…
10-15 14:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x326c73…
10-15 13:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	157	86¢	$135	0x9c9adb…
10-15 13:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x0bd029…
10-15 13:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0xcc9b54…
10-15 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	227	64¢	$145	0xa63406…
10-15 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x6a21ac…
10-15 10:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c8285…
10-15 09:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$49	0xb78cf2…
10-14 17:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0x356d70…
10-14 16:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x29d98e…
10-14 16:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	102	67¢	$68	0xce7e5b…
10-14 16:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x584742…
10-14 16:17:13	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	121	46¢	$56	0xd530e2…
10-14 16:09:30	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	121	36¢	$43	0xef660d…
10-14 15:53:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	83	56¢	$47	0x6ae6f4…
10-14 15:47:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x3cae92…
10-14 15:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x852305…
10-14 15:40:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xfc166b…
10-14 15:28:39	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x988af7…
10-14 15:19:13	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x86de88…
10-14 15:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xfcb9d5…
10-14 15:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xb5292a…
10-14 14:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x35bf64…
10-14 14:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1c10c5…
10-14 14:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xaa5cd6…
10-14 14:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0x761008…
10-14 14:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0xd84275…