Defiant-Valley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-21 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-0

Sports

36% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$881	458	458	+0	No	$-1	03-30 11:43
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$626	322	322	+0	open	—	03-31 19:16
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$553	284	284	+0	open	—	03-30 03:48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$515	265	265	+0	open	—	04-16 16:41
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	6	$495	256	256	+0	open	—	04-21 17:15
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$409	209	209	+0	open	—	04-22 09:37
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$395	208	208	+0	open	—	04-09 05:03
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$378	196	196	+0	open	—	03-30 17:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	6	$336	178	178	+0	open	—	06-19 11:49
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$322	166	166	+0	open	—	03-11 08:13
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$322	170	170	+0	open	—	03-10 08:11
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$312	160	160	+0	open	—	03-16 15:16
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$310	163	163	+0	open	—	03-20 13:42
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$307	162	162	+0	open	—	03-15 12:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$307	156	156	+0	open	—	03-21 09:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$305	161	161	+0	Yes	$-0	03-24 18:41
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$304	159	159	+0	open	—	03-14 22:03
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$304	155	155	+0	open	—	03-17 02:06
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$302	157	157	+0	open	—	03-25 02:20
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-18 11:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$293	152	152	+0	open	—	03-21 15:52
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$289	148	148	+0	open	—	03-20 22:08
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$280	143	143	+0	open	—	03-24 12:59
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$276	142	142	+0	open	—	03-28 05:55
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$276	145	145	+0	open	—	03-26 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$270	144	143	+0	open	—	04-27 11:38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$128	67	67	+0	open	—	04-12 05:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$127	66	65	+0	open	—	04-12 01:00
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$125	67	67	+0	open	—	06-04 01:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$119	66	66	+0	open	—	04-13 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:23:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0x53958a…
06-20 18:20:08	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x94c08e…
06-19 21:57:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x2ffb8b…
06-19 16:55:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$58	0x8031a4…
06-19 11:49:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x6efde2…
06-19 07:39:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x885b0e…
06-19 07:08:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x556acb…
06-18 23:02:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6f03f9…
06-16 20:18:29	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$45	0xcb01b8…
06-16 14:15:14	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x298fbe…
06-12 17:23:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xbe89bc…
06-12 17:23:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x5ff8f1…
06-12 16:44:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xedc99b…
06-12 09:41:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xf50daa…
06-11 20:53:34	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 extra innings	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x98b9a4…
06-10 09:46:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x516ec1…
06-10 05:36:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x2fe3c9…
06-06 01:02:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0xe4bb95…
06-05 20:52:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0x07f679…
06-04 01:09:15	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x614c51…
06-03 20:01:42	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xc6b7bb…
06-02 22:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xee9ba3…
06-02 17:09:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x931138…
05-15 22:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xc4d1d0…
05-15 17:38:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xfbe7bc…
04-27 11:38:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	143	95¢	$136	0x1d4312…
04-27 03:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	144	93¢	$134	0x5b0cd8…
04-22 09:37:44	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xdadb7b…
04-22 02:32:52	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x6e9c08…
04-21 17:15:34	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x5763e8…
04-21 09:06:20	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcbe077…
04-16 16:41:42	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x49231a…
04-16 08:46:32	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xfaf1fc…
04-13 06:49:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	66	90¢	$59	0x8fdbf6…
04-13 01:14:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x99899e…
04-13 01:09:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x61487b…
04-13 01:05:13	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x9f364f…
04-12 18:57:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0xe1eb89…
04-12 10:24:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x4d107e…
04-12 06:04:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xdacb61…
04-12 05:09:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x5d154c…
04-12 01:03:21	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x7a56d6…
04-12 01:00:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x7744e0…
04-11 18:52:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x9f73e0…
04-11 10:37:03	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$52	0x9d6a1e…
04-11 03:08:49	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x2600f9…
04-10 06:58:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x0d2beb…
04-09 22:09:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xb50bc9…
04-09 05:03:03	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x0ca6d0…
04-08 20:14:07	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf8e6d9…
04-08 20:12:01	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xdaba15…
04-08 20:09:43	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x2f20da…
03-31 19:16:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0x46eb29…
03-31 11:11:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xe9f9b7…
03-31 01:30:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x94e36f…
03-30 17:58:33	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x11e86d…
03-30 17:08:27	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x0c5f5e…
03-30 12:33:22	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xbc6942…
03-30 11:43:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xf2f6a3…
03-30 05:36:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$143	0x15c196…
03-30 03:48:26	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0x72807c…
03-29 20:05:44	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0x47d3af…
03-29 19:14:22	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$140	0xb00a1a…
03-29 09:56:18	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$141	0xf581b5…
03-29 08:53:38	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$134	0x80b64a…
03-29 03:47:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x135e10…
03-29 03:05:34	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$135	0xb592c2…
03-28 22:54:48	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0xc13e63…
03-28 20:52:44	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0xd6faa8…
03-28 14:46:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8637fa…
03-28 14:40:47	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xfde64a…
03-28 14:38:25	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x822cb1…
03-28 14:09:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xebfacc…
03-28 14:07:13	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	27	97¢	$27	0xf02935…
03-28 13:33:51	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf1182d…
03-28 05:55:55	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	142	97¢	$138	0x081c53…
03-27 22:47:41	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x0a56fb…
03-27 15:08:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x3bbab9…
03-27 07:59:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x07bdb1…
03-26 06:01:37	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	145	95¢	$138	0xd3989f…
03-26 00:45:45	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	145	95¢	$138	0x57bcca…
03-26 00:13:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	142	96¢	$136	0xf76a55…
03-25 16:11:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$137	0xa7b766…
03-25 02:20:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	157	95¢	$149	0xfb00e9…
03-24 20:28:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x95c000…
03-24 20:16:23	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x03934c…
03-24 18:41:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	161	94¢	$152	0x7b9ebe…
03-24 13:19:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccbb51…
03-24 13:17:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x9ace58…
03-24 13:16:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x667592…
03-24 12:59:55	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x11dbfa…
03-24 12:59:33	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0x1ed3a1…
03-24 05:39:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x3b3fea…
03-21 15:52:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0x56dae9…
03-21 10:40:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x3f9e2f…
03-21 09:32:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	156	98¢	$154	0xc353a5…
03-21 01:22:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0xb4804c…
03-20 22:08:23	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$144	0xc93ee7…
03-20 15:56:51	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x28be10…
03-20 13:42:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	163	94¢	$153	0x673e37…