Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.40K
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
351
2,162 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$120.2K
$683.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$316
Open exposure
$79.2K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 10:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
69% 77% +$9,372
Politics
13% 78% +$2,184
Sports
10% 69% -$439
Tech
8% 100% +$253
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +32,259 $29,642 94¢ $30.5K +$843 10-28 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +28,411 $21,492 97¢ $27.6K +$6,067 09-04 01:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10,960 -$10,241 98¢ $-10735 -$494 09-20 12:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,750 82¢ $4.1K +$325 10-31 04:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 70¢ $3.5K +$25 10-31 20:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -2,843 -$1,547 84¢ $-2391 -$844 09-20 11:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,329 $2,980 11¢ $455 -$2,525 11-01 10:00