Glossy-Fashion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.47K

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

151

Trades

2,176

lifetime

Volume

$687.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$316

Open exposure

$79.8K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

69% 77% +$9,372

Politics

13% 78% +$2,184

Sports

10% 69% -$439

Tech

8% 100% +$253

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+32,259	$29,642	94¢	$30.5K	+$843	10-28 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+28,411	$21,492	97¢	$27.6K	+$6,124	09-04 01:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-10,960	-$10,241	98¢	$-10735	-$494	09-20 12:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$3,750	78¢	$3.9K	+$175	10-31 04:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$3,500	74¢	$3.7K	+$175	10-31 20:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-2,843	-$1,547	84¢	$-2389	-$843	09-20 11:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+879	$624	72¢	$637	+$13	11-02 04:58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+2,423	$2,770	11¢	$254	-$2,516	11-02 05:07
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+1,000	$94	9¢	$88	-$6	11-02 03:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	147	$68.8K	56,140	34,234	+21,907	Yes	+$577	04-12 22:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	41	$61.8K	18,000	45,267	-27,267	Yes	+$598	06-07 03:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	76	$55.6K	28,925	28,925	+0	Yes	+$1,229	04-13 12:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	66	$42.3K	29,000	16,340	+12,660	Yes	+$2,696	03-12 20:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	44	$42.2K	27,738	14,696	+13,042	Yes	+$49	01-30 16:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	46	$35.4K	13,475	24,434	-10,960	open	—	09-20 12:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	33	$32.6K	33,859	1,600	+32,259	open	—	10-28 10:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	68	$21.9K	23,785	250	+23,535	Yes	+$2,117	01-14 02:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	109	$21.5K	28,411	0	+28,411	open	—	09-04 01:00
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	7	$13.7K	15,054	0	+15,054	Alcaraz	+$1,355	01-30 04:31
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	64	$13.5K	8,860	8,860	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$2,835	06-07 17:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$13.2K	13,702	0	+13,702	Yes	+$541	10-25 23:53
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	31	$12.1K	6,730	6,730	+0	open	—	10-25 14:42
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	19	$11.2K	6,168	6,168	+0	No	+$1,151	02-28 17:18
nhl car las 2026 06 06	16	$10.8K	7,633	7,633	+0	Golden Knights	-$3,927	06-07 04:04
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	8	$9.9K	5,556	5,556	+0	Djokovic	-$120	01-30 12:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$9.5K	9,330	394	+8,936	Yes	+$204	06-29 14:29
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	20	$8.0K	11,600	1,600	+10,000	No	+$2,704	05-14 12:02
Panthers vs. Packers	5	$7.4K	7,651	0	+7,651	Packers	+$214	10-30 02:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$7.1K	7,746	5,746	+2,000	Yes	+$1,017	09-09 14:39
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	19	$7.0K	8,500	0	+8,500	Yes	+$1,525	06-17 22:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$6.9K	3,572	4,072	-500	No	+$614	03-30 21:25
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	46	$6.1K	6,679	0	+6,679	Yes	+$601	06-22 21:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$6.1K	3,549	3,549	+0	Yes	-$240	07-14 09:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	81	$5.4K	8,808	6,385	+2,423	open	—	11-02 05:07
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	3	$5.1K	5,270	0	+5,270	Yes	+$121	07-02 04:01
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	11	$4.6K	5,667	3,667	+2,000	Howard Bison	-$16	03-17 23:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$4.6K	4,801	0	+4,801	Yes	+$178	10-17 12:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	3	$4.6K	4,623	0	+4,623	Yes	+$46	10-16 12:05
Ducks vs. Oilers	4	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Oilers	+$450	04-29 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:07:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	11¢	$14	0xbef7d2…
11-02 04:58:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$12	0x906486…
11-02 04:51:55	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x85f7ab…
11-02 04:43:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xe27879…
11-02 04:14:25	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0xb612b6…
11-02 04:04:51	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,379	11¢	$152	0xd1a187…
11-02 03:36:48	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$94	0xf9e056…
11-02 03:03:46	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0xcfb14d…
11-01 23:55:07	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x5a9224…
11-01 20:08:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xc53667…
11-01 10:00:51	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	11¢	$34	0xcdeaae…
10-31 20:10:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x6f3160…
10-31 20:08:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	70¢	$292	0x3c944a…
10-31 20:00:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	70¢	$51	0xee371a…
10-31 20:00:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	70¢	$980	0xa5aa46…
10-31 19:59:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0xca87a5…
10-31 19:54:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb1ae52…
10-31 19:53:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd12717…
10-31 19:53:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x66c757…
10-31 16:06:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x155953…
10-31 15:56:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,159	70¢	$811	0x9c0f21…
10-31 04:01:34	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	75¢	$135	0xbb4b91…
10-31 04:01:34	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	75¢	$57	0xb77c6d…
10-31 04:01:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	75¢	$183	0xebd357…
10-31 04:01:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,500	75¢	$3,375	0xb961ec…
10-30 18:59:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	70¢	$115	0xd9fe7e…
10-30 18:43:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x6e4efd…
10-30 18:43:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xaeefb0…
10-30 14:52:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	70¢	$157	0x7ac2b1…
10-30 14:52:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x3efe62…
10-30 14:51:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	70¢	$154	0x3d4af7…
10-30 14:43:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x059a3a…
10-30 14:43:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xfb3758…
10-30 14:43:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x2c30da…
10-30 14:22:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x62019b…
10-30 13:59:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7381b9…
10-30 13:58:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x043b35…
10-30 13:56:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xdc042d…
10-30 13:36:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	70¢	$99	0x04c27c…
10-30 13:20:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb01ddd…
10-30 13:12:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x214e5e…
10-30 12:31:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x9ae458…
10-30 12:29:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x5868da…
10-30 12:26:57	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2d6182…
10-30 12:13:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xe73114…
10-30 12:09:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x68efea…
10-30 12:08:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8eebbf…
10-30 12:07:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9b56a1…
10-30 11:36:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xb86391…
10-30 11:34:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x2f2131…
10-30 10:43:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x323073…
10-30 10:36:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x72299d…
10-30 10:21:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0xea917b…
10-30 10:01:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	70¢	$71	0x1e5071…
10-30 09:32:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xa8bb21…
10-30 08:49:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x74ec8b…
10-30 08:17:33	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x3552da…
10-30 08:12:51	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x65b79e…
10-30 07:37:33	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb15cf6…
10-30 07:02:03	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xde56ee…
10-30 05:48:42	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x5023bc…
10-30 05:05:15	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x32a9f0…
10-30 03:46:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0xb8da9a…
10-30 02:46:21	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	5,411	97¢	$5,259	0x132fb2…
10-30 02:46:19	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xfd97e6…
10-30 02:46:19	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xf91c8a…
10-30 02:46:19	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	2,010	97¢	$1,954	0x55ed74…
10-30 02:46:18	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2d1faa…
10-30 02:38:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0xf4c6b5…
10-30 02:35:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4fedd8…
10-30 02:28:42	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0xb149d3…
10-30 01:52:33	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x8ccaf1…
10-30 01:11:30	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0x217820…
10-30 01:07:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0xe63fcb…
10-30 01:07:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	15¢	$28	0x5fb7c6…
10-29 23:45:09	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0xfe33b1…
10-29 23:45:00	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	15¢	$36	0xac9de5…
10-29 23:37:18	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xddcb17…
10-29 20:07:13	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x5258fb…
10-29 19:07:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1e4465…
10-29 17:53:17	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x483a9b…
10-29 17:53:07	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc08951…
10-29 17:52:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x490ec2…
10-29 17:52:46	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x7e9512…
10-29 17:52:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2d4e6c…
10-29 17:52:29	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5168bc…
10-29 17:52:20	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xbb3731…
10-29 17:52:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xe8aa87…
10-29 17:51:59	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x9b45dd…
10-29 17:51:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x228728…
10-29 17:51:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc436d2…
10-29 17:51:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x1fcac8…
10-29 17:51:11	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd8ac14…
10-29 17:51:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2c8413…
10-29 17:50:49	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xf0e1cb…
10-29 17:50:49	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x758dc1…
10-29 17:50:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x545d6b…
10-29 17:50:26	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x7cb2de…
10-29 17:50:14	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xf49ba1…
10-29 17:50:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x856612…