Crafty-Result — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-06 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:43
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in san francisco on april 2 2026 62 63f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2392da…
11-04 13:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4731c…
11-03 17:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa75673…
11-02 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x8dd98e…
10-31 15:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x484677…
10-30 14:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd80311…
10-29 17:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f9b40…
10-29 09:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9f64f…
10-28 07:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9016fb…
10-27 09:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bb021…
10-26 09:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d9c1b…
10-24 11:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0207ce…
10-22 10:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80c800…
10-20 07:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfef7c0…
10-19 09:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6d0ba…
10-18 10:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405b5d…
10-17 15:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7a103…
10-16 10:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dc12d…
10-15 13:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bc283…
10-14 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6e960…
10-13 09:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e84e1…
10-12 09:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1b764…
10-11 09:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04d565…
10-08 12:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaedf33…
10-07 15:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a057a…
10-06 15:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x799889…
10-05 06:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3738e…
10-03 09:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ac59c…
10-02 13:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff8644…
10-01 08:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba657…
09-30 02:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bb343…
09-28 09:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e7489…
09-27 09:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x876c9c…
09-25 16:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98bb15…
09-24 08:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0e423…
09-23 08:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8034e7…
09-22 08:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aef00…
09-21 09:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ccddb…
09-20 05:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e000…
09-19 08:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167a6d…
09-18 07:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f2316…
09-17 04:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8148ee…
09-16 08:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e623…
09-15 10:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe404d2…
09-14 09:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddfca3…
09-13 02:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10800d…
09-11 09:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b23ca…
09-10 08:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21e420…
09-09 02:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2eef79…
09-08 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x089c95…
09-07 08:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc85aac…
09-06 16:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66871f…
09-06 10:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6240c…
09-05 01:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26dc2d…
09-04 01:00:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fb89a…
09-02 07:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x632041…
08-30 09:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512cc7…
08-29 09:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715f7b…
08-28 08:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x015ddb…
08-27 09:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83f7ec…
08-26 08:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c55a4…
08-25 09:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b893f…
08-24 14:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5aca7a…
08-23 15:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe12399…
08-22 09:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad4c3a…
08-21 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5123bf…
08-20 09:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x25631e…
08-18 08:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc00dd0…
08-17 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb38ca8…
08-16 14:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x838e45…
08-15 10:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0bd85…
08-14 06:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedd387…
08-13 09:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4019d…
08-12 09:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66e5a4…
08-11 07:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde1282…
08-10 08:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa759c9…
08-09 06:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x123b1d…
08-08 07:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8a24b…
08-07 07:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x354326…
08-06 07:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x425722…
08-05 08:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4b201…
08-04 08:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d6a42…
08-03 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f1146…
08-02 06:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0a49e…
08-01 07:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a24c2…
07-31 13:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fba22…
07-30 07:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d01e8…
07-29 07:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44c8f1…
07-28 07:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98c79b…
07-27 09:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d2ad…
07-26 07:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c60e8…
07-25 09:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a2e3f…
07-24 13:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc2490…
07-23 08:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e3a7e…
07-22 02:10:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe71ea0…
07-21 09:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23f22d…
07-21 00:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff54fb…
07-20 08:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaa565…
07-18 23:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc09734…
07-18 05:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fa93d…