Tedious-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.23K

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$229.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$374

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-09 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

93% 58% +$27,132

Other

6% 50% +$12,945

Sports

1% 100% +$1,503

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes		+1,997	$2,343	6¢	$110	-$2,233	09-16 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	38	$26.5K	17,790	17,790	+0	No	+$6,409	03-25 18:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	36	$25.2K	29,050	17,495	+11,555	No	+$4,687	04-25 13:38
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	65	$23.2K	35,391	45	+35,346	Yes	+$12,155	05-10 16:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	38	$17.2K	83,761	0	+83,761	No	-$17,167	05-26 10:48
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$12.8K	8,927	8,927	+0	Yes	+$315	05-04 21:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	25	$11.4K	15,340	12,164	+3,176	Yes	-$2,000	06-20 14:47
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	38	$10.3K	26,429	26,291	+138	No	+$3,907	04-08 22:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	8	$9.5K	17,437	1,767	+15,670	No	+$8,304	04-25 13:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	8	$9.0K	7,588	4,512	+3,076	No	+$508	08-06 16:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	3	$8.5K	8,032	8,032	+0	open	—	11-09 00:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	38	$8.0K	25,977	23,772	+2,205	No	-$1,026	06-13 14:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	7	$6.9K	6,722	4,982	+1,740	No	+$603	08-13 17:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	18	$6.6K	15,370	9,669	+5,701	Yes	+$3,771	06-20 10:38
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	22	$5.6K	14,512	12,121	+2,390	No	+$2,304	04-08 21:09
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	30	$5.4K	18,387	0	+18,387	No	+$13,012	04-10 13:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	8	$4.8K	6,994	6,994	+0	No	+$198	04-25 02:35
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	16	$4.6K	7,356	3,007	+4,348	Yes	+$2,000	06-20 12:25
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	3	$3.7K	3,993	1,997	+1,997	open	—	09-16 23:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$3.4K	3,031	3,031	+0	No	+$2,170	06-16 11:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	8	$3.3K	6,395	3,715	+2,680	No	-$673	07-13 23:14
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	4	$2.5K	3,969	0	+3,969	Yes	+$1,464	06-02 10:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	12	$2.4K	7,055	6,977	+78	No	-$652	08-03 14:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	15	$2.3K	16,053	16,053	+0	No	-$888	07-13 23:14
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	10	$2.2K	3,533	1,649	+1,884	Yes	+$733	06-20 13:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	29	$2.2K	10,990	10,990	+0	No	+$19	04-25 02:17
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	10	$1.7K	2,961	998	+1,963	Yes	+$877	06-20 12:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$1.2K	2,449	0	+2,449	No	+$1,201	04-18 12:23
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	4	$1.2K	2,460	0	+2,460	Yes	-$1,211	07-22 16:28
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5	$900	1,255	0	+1,255	Yes	+$355	06-18 10:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	1	$800	1,642	0	+1,642	No	+$842	04-25 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:24:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	8,032	55¢	$4,436	0x8323a2…
11-05 15:47:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	3,184	51¢	$1,622	0xfd3ca8…
11-05 15:41:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	4,848	50¢	$2,424	0x1d6f61…
09-16 23:35:25	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	1,997	33¢	$657	0x709d4a…
08-13 17:03:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	92	82¢	$75	0x683aeb…
08-13 17:03:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	547	82¢	$449	0x281b05…
08-07 19:24:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1,064	56¢	$600	0x334686…
08-06 16:05:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	163	81¢	$132	0x37c8b0…
08-03 15:48:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	971	67¢	$650	0x64ffae…
08-03 15:47:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1,514	53¢	$801	0xea27d1…
08-03 15:47:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	2,829	54¢	$1,539	0x4637de…
08-03 15:30:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	1,295	70¢	$901	0xeba402…
08-03 15:30:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	1,726	73¢	$1,254	0xffb3f1…
08-03 14:36:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	520	76¢	$395	0x1005dc…
08-03 14:35:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,515	9¢	$219	0xd39cfb…
08-03 14:35:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	864	12¢	$101	0x1fa7b4…
08-03 10:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	4,042	59¢	$2,400	0x8f7cc2…
08-03 10:15:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	547	76¢	$416	0x2a6046…
08-02 23:17:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3,084	72¢	$2,221	0x380eb2…
08-02 20:45:23	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	3,967	75¢	$2,980	0xdff4f3…
08-02 20:45:21	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xb10cfc…
08-02 20:42:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1,616	62¢	$1,000	0x08a15d…
08-02 20:42:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3,794	79¢	$3,000	0x1bf443…
07-22 16:28:07	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x14a2c9…
07-21 17:24:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe710a4…
07-21 17:24:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	567	53¢	$300	0x3c90a5…
07-21 17:20:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,599	50¢	$800	0xede1e4…
07-13 23:14:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	2,790	24¢	$675	0x1e2ccf…
07-13 23:14:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$4	0xc5932f…
07-13 23:14:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	11,920	3¢	$378	0xef6986…
07-13 23:14:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,598	16¢	$558	0x909109…
07-13 14:00:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	4,013	8¢	$335	0xe94faf…
07-13 12:14:14	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	3,748	5¢	$176	0x2f7bd7…
07-13 12:12:37	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x5b1997…
07-13 11:31:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	1,450	14¢	$203	0xa6753e…
07-13 11:24:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0x40df56…
07-13 11:20:02	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xe55f63…
07-13 11:20:01	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf99859…
07-13 11:19:58	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x95bb3e…
07-13 11:19:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	646	15¢	$100	0x17d3ba…
07-13 11:18:53	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	625	6¢	$38	0xff8686…
07-13 11:18:50	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf3b0fd…
07-13 11:18:50	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0xccc373…
07-13 11:18:50	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x27ed9a…
07-13 11:18:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	29¢	$110	0x067f31…
07-13 11:18:26	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0xba8372…
07-13 11:18:26	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb31278…
07-13 11:17:52	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc5163f…
07-13 11:17:52	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xafe53e…
07-13 11:17:49	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xa9dec9…
07-13 11:17:49	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4648a5…
07-13 11:17:20	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x50f426…
07-13 11:16:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	176	14¢	$25	0x10c8e2…
07-13 11:13:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	604	39¢	$236	0x9c4d25…
07-13 11:13:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	27¢	$172	0xfb5fad…
07-13 10:54:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	8,011	1¢	$100	0xcfcd1b…
07-13 10:52:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	690	13¢	$90	0x000228…
07-13 10:37:53	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xb2a263…
07-13 10:33:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,106	27¢	$300	0x636950…
07-13 10:23:11	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1,523	7¢	$100	0x2a4d09…
07-13 10:02:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	1,717	12¢	$200	0xe44113…
07-13 09:39:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0x11cfdb…
07-13 09:21:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	569	10¢	$57	0xd2e9cb…
07-13 09:05:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xae4eb2…
07-13 09:05:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	21¢	$201	0x9a74cf…
07-13 09:04:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	2,352	9¢	$200	0x1ce981…
07-13 01:17:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	937	11¢	$100	0x36538b…
07-13 01:10:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	611	33¢	$200	0xf39936…
07-13 01:10:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x8323ae…
07-13 01:04:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	4,223	9¢	$400	0xaf18e3…
07-13 01:03:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	263	31¢	$81	0xfdb284…
07-13 00:54:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	1,256	8¢	$100	0x29dfda…
07-13 00:45:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3,680	30¢	$1,104	0x9cbb73…
07-13 00:44:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0x2e0bf3…
07-13 00:44:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,952	17¢	$500	0x3d804c…
07-13 00:44:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	753	7¢	$53	0x92819d…
07-13 00:30:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	1,284	6¢	$77	0xd53cde…
07-13 00:30:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	925	70¢	$651	0x2100e3…
07-06 15:57:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	925	30¢	$278	0xcefad0…
06-20 14:47:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	1,059	10¢	$109	0x50c81e…
06-20 13:49:31	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	628	28¢	$178	0x4d4d55…
06-20 13:48:56	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	837	34¢	$281	0xe708dd…
06-20 12:25:47	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x2f93b1…
06-20 12:25:32	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	775	39¢	$300	0x977859…
06-20 12:25:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x5b41d8…
06-20 10:39:34	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,538	33¢	$500	0x9d4cd6…
06-20 10:38:55	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	619	32¢	$200	0xc7ab8c…
06-20 10:38:37	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	869	35¢	$300	0x7cdd09…
06-20 10:38:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	2,003	66¢	$1,322	0x2cdfa4…
06-20 00:14:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	638	63¢	$400	0x2e6c80…
06-20 00:13:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,107	63¢	$700	0x345306…
06-20 00:00:47	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x1823b8…
06-20 00:00:31	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x25d211…
06-19 23:38:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	674	59¢	$400	0x81ed07…
06-19 23:37:55	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3c7b3f…
06-19 23:36:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,441	56¢	$800	0xd27c00…
06-19 23:35:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x4d0de2…
06-19 23:35:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xe2b3ca…
06-19 11:02:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	2,568	22¢	$560	0x36eeca…
06-19 10:45:35	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	829	36¢	$297	0x13768f…