(anonymous) 0x3c3f6b…28a5ee
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved
14
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$1.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$434
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-27 01:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
77% 80% +$322
Other
21% 33% -$24
Sports
2% 0% -$25
Crypto
1% 33% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +140 $84 66¢ $92 +$8 09-18 18:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +155 $72 46¢ $71 -$1 10-13 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $55 72¢ $57 +$2 10-26 20:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $51 66¢ $53 +$2 10-26 20:53
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +70 $50 72¢ $50 $0 10-27 01:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +70 $49 70¢ $49 +$0 10-26 20:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +60 $39 66¢ $40 +$1 10-25 21:53
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $25 11¢ $11 -$14 09-25 06:23
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +100 $21 11¢ $11 -$10 09-25 05:08