Grounded-Prune 0x3c4455…0c2fff
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
720
lifetime
Volume
$1.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$165
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 06-17 18:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% — —
Crypto
37% — —
Other
4% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +58 $20 90¢ $52 +$32 06-10 18:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +64 $37 52¢ $34 $-3 06-16 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +85 $19 22¢ $19 +$0 06-14 21:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +110 $40 12¢ $14 $-26 06-14 21:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +119 $15 10¢ $12 $-3 06-16 06:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 06-10 20:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$5 06-09 16:26
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +53 $7 11¢ $6 $-1 06-17 14:27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +38 $5 4¢ $1 $-3 06-12 19:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +22 $6 6¢ $1 $-5 06-09 17:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:01
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:02
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 08:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 06-16 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +223 $48 0¢ $0 $-48 06-14 23:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-29 08:03