Realized P&L
+$2.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
382
Trades
657
lifetime
Volume
$28.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.93K
13 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 11-11 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
93% 58% +$2,994
Politics
4% 67% -$39
Tech
3% 33% -$679
Crypto
1% 50% -$123
Sports
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +1,700 $1,315 88¢ $1.5K +$190 11-04 05:21
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? Yes +699 $532 78¢ $541 +$9 11-07 12:35
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes +250 $238 92¢ $230 -$8 10-15 03:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +250 $180 86¢ $216 +$36 10-13 12:58
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +168 $155 90¢ $150 -$4 10-15 03:24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Gen.G +237 $149 62¢ $148 -$1 11-10 08:50
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +54 $48 95¢ $51 +$4 10-15 20:34
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +80 $52 53¢ $42 -$10 11-05 12:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +30 $21 94¢ $28 +$7 10-21 20:46
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? No +25 $18 38¢ $9 -$9 08-19 15:47
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +16 $6 32¢ $5 -$1 10-22 14:57
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +200 $160 1¢ $2 -$158 10-16 11:13
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +70 $49 2¢ $1 -$48 10-13 04:12