Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
485
Trades
833
lifetime
Volume
$1.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-27 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 62% -$54
Politics
6% 67% +$16
Other
5% 52% -$7
Sports
1% 11% -$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 65¢ $3 +$1 09-18 11:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +16 $5 20¢ $3 -$2 09-18 11:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes -5 -$4 60¢ $-3 +$1 10-06 10:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 09-18 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 09-05 09:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 09-18 11:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 09-05 09:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by november 30 2026 No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-07 17:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +4 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 09-18 11:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -2 -$1 68¢ $-1 $0 10-27 22:53
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-22 10:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -2 -$1 53¢ $-1 +$0 10-27 22:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 10-24 23:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28? Yes -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 $0 10-24 23:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No -1 -$1 74¢ $-1 $0 10-10 13:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No -1 -$1 64¢ $-1 $0 10-12 11:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No -1 $0 36¢ $-0 +$0 10-17 21:04