New-Julienne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$74.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

$294

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$1

Politics

36% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No		+303	$291	97¢	$294	+$3	06-14 05:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$11.3K	7,094	5,500	+1,594	open	—	01-10 01:47
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$6.0K	3,050	3,050	+0	open	—	02-17 15:36
will faustin archange touadra win the 2025 central african republic presidential election	5	$4.5K	2,360	2,102	+258	open	—	01-17 12:01
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-09 09:18
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	5	$2.7K	1,949	1,159	+790	open	—	01-22 06:46
will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	6	$2.7K	1,924	780	+1,144	open	—	02-09 01:59
trump out as president by march 31	6	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	03-09 15:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.0K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	03-09 15:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	03-09 15:21
will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	14	$1.5K	1,185	300	+885	open	—	01-22 02:40
will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	3	$1.2K	606	606	+0	open	—	03-09 15:25
will trump try to fire powell by january 31	6	$1.2K	1,187	0	+1,187	open	—	02-01 03:17
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.1K	555	554	+0	open	—	03-09 15:36
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	12	$1.1K	563	563	+0	open	—	03-10 05:08
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	16	$1.1K	1,006	65	+941	open	—	01-24 05:31
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	8	$1.0K	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	01-22 07:12
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-09 15:35
will the central bank of colombia announce a decrease at the january meeting	7	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	01-24 03:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$1000	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	02-22 04:35
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$989	506	506	+0	open	—	03-09 15:34
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$984	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	01-10 11:54
will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	9	$977	503	503	+0	open	—	03-10 03:48
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	6	$969	1,036	0	+1,036	open	—	01-21 02:05
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	12	$935	612	612	+0	open	—	03-08 23:37
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$932	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 14:59
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$834	419	551	-132	open	—	03-09 15:09
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	4	$787	807	0	+807	open	—	01-04 10:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	2	$772	773	0	+773	open	—	03-02 06:07
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	15	$746	502	502	+0	open	—	03-09 16:00
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	3	$740	761	0	+761	open	—	02-03 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:08:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x1b769c…
06-13 10:46:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xfe4fd0…
05-05 09:30:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6bda43…
05-05 08:11:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6081f3…
05-05 07:57:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa5300f…
05-05 07:52:36	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b79ce…
05-05 04:59:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3c6c4b…
05-05 04:59:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb8f2d7…
04-23 07:07:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa1a111…
04-19 13:59:52	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x310298…
04-10 14:53:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x898709…
04-10 14:14:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x08a342…
04-08 11:14:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9d41c…
04-07 15:41:21	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc834d6…
04-07 15:31:23	Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88641b…
04-07 15:19:17	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf92ccf…
04-07 11:06:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x026b85…
04-07 03:52:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x230078…
04-07 03:47:21	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfa0084…
04-07 02:56:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xac8c39…
04-06 23:05:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x437bf8…
04-06 13:20:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x57a13a…
03-22 11:16:47	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3b6213…
03-14 10:01:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x96a306…
03-10 05:16:49	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x22e494…
03-10 05:08:51	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	257	96¢	$246	0x154d00…
03-10 04:32:59	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe8b197…
03-10 04:25:57	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa4ddeb…
03-10 03:48:31	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0xb8d0f7…
03-10 02:15:31	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7b4b9b…
03-10 02:15:27	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	230	95¢	$219	0x73d060…
03-10 02:06:45	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	140	95¢	$133	0x38bde3…
03-10 01:17:37	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xae25a4…
03-10 01:12:41	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	147	90¢	$133	0x743f98…
03-10 00:42:29	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xbe59b3…
03-10 00:29:41	will student starter stusta win the most seats in utrechts 2026 municipal election	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x8233af…
03-10 00:24:37	will rabi lamichhane be the next prime minister of nepal 993	No	SELL	333	99¢	$330	0x7a4b6f…
03-10 00:18:59	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	222	88¢	$195	0x621d33…
03-10 00:17:39	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	335	100¢	$335	0x7fa62a…
03-10 00:16:03	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe72f6…
03-09 23:15:39	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x395c24…
03-09 20:47:57	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x6274c0…
03-09 17:50:17	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x50a2fd…
03-09 16:46:31	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xc82bea…
03-09 16:46:31	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8a4fad…
03-09 16:46:01	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x50a391…
03-09 16:46:01	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3901dc…
03-09 16:15:13	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x45760d…
03-09 16:10:43	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	358	98¢	$352	0xb3d588…
03-09 16:09:25	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	54	96¢	$51	0xa9f08f…
03-09 16:00:25	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0x2a04fe…
03-09 15:40:21	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1bd83e…
03-09 15:39:15	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xfe4729…
03-09 15:36:55	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	554	98¢	$545	0x5f6bb1…
03-09 15:35:31	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	511	98¢	$502	0xd21257…
03-09 15:34:39	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$506	0xfa6a98…
03-09 15:33:17	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x296ff6…
03-09 15:25:47	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	SELL	606	100¢	$605	0x7693d5…
03-09 15:21:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,049	98¢	$1,023	0xdcbbad…
03-09 15:18:03	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xebf11f…
03-09 15:13:03	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x28543e…
03-09 15:12:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1,111	98¢	$1,094	0x139c28…
03-09 15:10:37	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf550f…
03-09 15:09:03	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	551	86¢	$474	0x6a892f…
03-09 15:05:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,064	98¢	$1,048	0xb324ce…
03-09 15:01:55	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	319	97¢	$309	0x5f2d24…
03-09 14:59:57	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	500	94¢	$468	0x78bb70…
03-09 14:55:29	no change in swiss national bank policy rate after march meeting	Yes	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x8142f4…
03-09 14:54:15	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0x844996…
03-09 14:52:59	will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xa2619a…
03-09 14:50:29	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x3e8b01…
03-09 14:48:37	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xad92ca…
03-09 14:47:45	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb5119a…
03-09 14:44:27	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x28a8c9…
03-09 14:44:13	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x10e999…
03-09 14:41:49	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x2cf4a8…
03-09 14:40:33	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x6450cd…
03-09 14:14:27	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	171	90¢	$154	0x587954…
03-09 14:13:55	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	93	90¢	$83	0x4122f9…
03-09 12:00:35	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	230	60¢	$138	0x9d2d24…
03-09 11:23:05	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1cf05f…
03-09 11:10:45	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xb20df8…
03-09 00:48:03	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x28804b…
03-08 23:47:09	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	438	5¢	$21	0x7bc026…
03-08 23:37:17	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	92	84¢	$77	0xa6996f…
03-08 04:51:59	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0xab2039…
03-08 04:45:35	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x05af1b…
03-08 04:44:13	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x6977d1…
03-08 03:32:51	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xf63030…
03-08 03:32:23	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0xdf6293…
03-07 12:35:57	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	115	57¢	$66	0x30b3f6…
03-07 12:35:27	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	115	59¢	$68	0xcc3656…
03-07 12:32:11	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x55ca1b…
03-07 12:31:47	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xc3d290…
03-07 10:40:41	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xa3884a…
03-07 10:37:21	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xde86af…
03-07 10:36:13	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x25f11d…
03-07 10:35:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x861667…
03-07 10:04:51	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$12	0x089b41…
03-07 10:04:27	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0xa2f63c…