Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

9,300

lifetime

Volume

$975.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-13 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% —

Politics

27% 100% +$14

Sports

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	354	$106.1K	53,929	54,310	-381	open	—	03-18 14:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	439	$97.4K	52,058	50,198	+1,860	open	—	03-18 14:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	270	$91.1K	56,400	56,512	-113	open	—	02-27 22:27
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	682	$49.0K	42,754	45,948	-3,194	open	—	03-24 18:10
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	95	$20.2K	12,461	12,693	-233	open	—	03-13 19:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	302	$18.0K	16,913	18,624	-1,711	open	—	03-13 12:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	286	$14.8K	10,219	10,470	-251	open	—	03-14 08:05
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	39	$14.0K	11,496	11,496	+0	open	—	03-19 17:33
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	32	$10.0K	9,976	9,976	+0	open	—	03-17 22:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	151	$8.9K	9,360	9,580	-220	open	—	04-11 11:17
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	125	$8.2K	4,147	4,883	-735	open	—	02-28 20:06
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 spread home 4pt5	23	$7.4K	7,185	7,185	+0	open	—	03-22 18:09
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	164	$7.2K	7,183	7,456	-273	open	—	03-10 16:02
cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19	25	$7.2K	7,016	7,016	+0	open	—	03-19 17:52
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22 spread away 3pt5	32	$6.9K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	03-22 20:58
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20 spread home 5pt5	22	$6.5K	6,421	6,421	+0	open	—	03-20 23:07
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	21	$5.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-22 00:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	120	$5.8K	4,682	5,782	-1,100	open	—	03-24 18:22
cbb queen pur 2026 03 20 spread home 25pt5	24	$5.8K	5,825	5,825	+0	open	—	03-20 22:29
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	31	$5.6K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-19 21:57
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20 spread home 3pt5	12	$5.4K	5,530	5,530	+0	open	—	03-20 15:36
cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20 spread home 11pt5	14	$5.3K	5,308	5,308	+0	open	—	03-20 14:00
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21 spread home 10pt5	11	$5.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-21 20:42
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	28	$5.2K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-21 01:14
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	43	$5.2K	3,967	4,187	-220	open	—	04-11 14:42
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	10	$5.1K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-20 22:22
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20 spread home 9pt5	15	$5.1K	5,105	5,105	+0	open	—	03-20 18:41
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	8	$5.0K	4,400	4,400	+0	open	—	03-19 18:47
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22 spread home 4pt5	15	$4.9K	4,942	4,942	+0	open	—	03-22 22:39
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21 total 161pt5	17	$4.9K	4,882	4,882	+0	open	—	03-21 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 13:56:39	reece james 20260609175104702	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6dfb9e…
06-13 13:52:00	reece james 20260609175104702	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x74fb3b…
06-13 13:45:43	joao felix 20260609175357523	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x9772c0…
06-13 13:45:34	juan musso 20260609174518085	No	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0xe04200…
06-13 13:30:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x90adc4…
06-13 13:30:06	reece james 20260609175104702	Yes	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x0ec4eb…
06-13 13:30:00	noni madueke 20260609175104698	No	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0xaff5f1…
06-13 13:29:54	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	No	SELL	120	37¢	$44	0x842710…
06-13 12:56:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x44a6fc…
06-13 12:49:22	noni madueke 20260609175104698	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x5fccc8…
06-13 12:37:39	reece james 20260609175104702	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x88f380…
06-13 12:37:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	SELL	51	64¢	$33	0x35f671…
06-13 12:36:15	lautaro martinez 20260609174518105	No	SELL	90	12¢	$10	0x36b581…
06-13 12:36:03	reece james 20260609175104702	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x884e71…
06-13 12:35:21	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	No	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x26241f…
06-13 12:34:54	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0f8688…
06-13 12:34:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x67ac0e…
06-13 12:33:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xb0ce8f…
06-13 12:33:51	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xed6510…
06-13 12:33:42	lautaro martinez 20260609174518105	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xdfcb20…
06-13 12:31:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x9d08fe…
06-13 12:29:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xa504a1…
06-13 12:28:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x81da6a…
06-13 12:21:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7cef42…
06-13 12:20:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x66ddcb…
06-13 12:11:30	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0x78c60f…
06-13 12:10:10	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0xceae13…
05-21 09:28:02	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	207	12¢	$26	0x86bf25…
05-21 09:27:03	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	267	71¢	$189	0xdefb08…
05-21 09:26:21	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0xe98868…
05-21 09:25:58	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x9da5f4…
04-28 17:37:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	2¢	$9	0x6c3b64…
04-28 17:37:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x2d19ed…
04-28 17:37:06	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	27	89¢	$23	0x063c81…
04-28 17:32:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc66a82…
04-28 17:29:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	98	93¢	$91	0xf4cea9…
04-28 17:26:04	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x07e942…
04-28 17:24:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	98	93¢	$91	0x2f127a…
04-28 17:09:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	140	89¢	$125	0xb89a08…
04-28 17:09:10	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xcdea82…
04-28 16:55:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x48f964…
04-28 16:54:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa2ff92…
04-28 16:54:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x4398c9…
04-28 16:51:28	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	40	89¢	$35	0x6e5ddb…
04-28 16:51:18	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x734ac9…
04-28 16:51:16	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	40	89¢	$35	0xbcee0c…
04-28 16:45:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x397b08…
04-28 16:45:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x10e7d5…
04-28 16:43:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xef1f88…
04-28 16:40:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xeff019…
04-28 16:39:48	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x890812…
04-28 16:37:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x0990e8…
04-28 16:35:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x0e6729…
04-28 16:33:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb6e9f7…
04-28 16:31:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x422245…
04-28 16:28:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0xc8e61d…
04-25 14:52:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	300	26¢	$77	0x5bad7d…
04-22 14:49:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x4dd7d8…
04-16 20:03:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	SELL	145	31¢	$44	0xbeb11c…
04-16 20:03:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x00acb1…
04-16 20:02:20	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8cf6b2…
04-16 20:02:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0x3e2c9a…
04-16 20:00:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x699fdc…
04-16 19:54:16	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0xaffc6b…
04-16 19:43:12	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	55	32¢	$18	0x8522d5…
04-16 18:54:26	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb8f8eb…
04-16 18:53:44	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0xe8379a…
04-16 18:39:14	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	Yes	SELL	107	63¢	$68	0x056e33…
04-16 18:37:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	55	63¢	$35	0x6b715a…
04-16 18:13:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	440	61¢	$266	0xd1aceb…
04-16 18:07:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	358	72¢	$258	0xbddc3b…
04-16 18:07:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	41	72¢	$29	0xe9eb42…
04-16 18:07:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	41	72¢	$29	0x591387…
04-16 18:02:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	220	65¢	$143	0x95225e…
04-16 18:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	220	74¢	$163	0x5171b0…
04-16 18:01:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	220	66¢	$145	0x7ebec7…
04-16 18:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	220	75¢	$165	0xc47c3d…
04-16 17:55:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	220	78¢	$172	0xe29fb5…
04-16 17:55:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xcc381f…
04-16 17:55:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x8c6c52…
04-16 17:54:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x38f961…
04-16 17:54:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa7c6fb…
04-16 17:54:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2519ca…
04-16 17:54:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x245e27…
04-16 17:53:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	220	78¢	$172	0xed5b74…
04-16 17:53:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	220	79¢	$174	0xc81e83…
04-16 17:53:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	220	80¢	$176	0x9fddd9…
04-16 17:49:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	220	82¢	$180	0x7615b1…
04-16 17:45:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	220	83¢	$183	0x3c8204…
04-16 17:44:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	220	83¢	$183	0x6286bd…
04-16 10:29:32	Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0xe870a0…
04-16 10:29:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	220	16¢	$35	0x79b7f2…
04-16 10:19:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	220	17¢	$37	0x35a660…
04-16 10:05:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	220	22¢	$48	0xb7399f…
04-16 10:03:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	220	23¢	$51	0x3e002a…
04-16 09:32:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	48	17¢	$8	0x640add…
04-16 09:29:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x246f4e…
04-16 09:29:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xf0ab21…
04-16 09:28:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x80d931…
04-16 09:28:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x05a55a…