Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$689

Unrealized P&L

-$222

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

116

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$814

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-04 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

78% 44% -$1,086

Other

20% 52% +$607

Sports

2% 25% -$223

Crypto

0% 75% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	+848	$400	56¢	$471	+$71	08-18 21:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	+500	$275	46¢	$232	-$42	11-02 18:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+3,347	$352	3¢	$94	-$258	07-24 11:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+109	$30	10¢	$11	-$19	07-22 23:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-370	-$33	2¢	$-6	+$27	07-01 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	17	$8.1K	5,073	5,073	+0	Yes	-$416	03-10 13:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$2.2K	3,404	3,404	+0	open	—	11-01 13:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$977	1,579	0	+1,579	Yes	+$602	02-28 18:41
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$700	769	0	+769	Yes	+$69	03-01 20:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$644	421	380	+42	No	+$24	03-07 04:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	3	$610	834	834	+0	Yes	-$410	08-10 12:42
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$534	295	295	+0	No	+$0	03-07 23:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$498	478	339	+139	Yes	+$37	03-30 09:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$421	235	235	+0	No	+$21	07-03 22:51
will iran strike israel on march 9	3	$410	569	0	+569	Yes	+$159	03-08 16:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	2	$400	848	0	+848	open	—	08-18 21:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$393	367	367	+0	No	-$7	04-17 16:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	6	$352	3,347	0	+3,347	open	—	07-24 11:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$350	290	290	+0	No	-$50	03-13 19:06
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$329	566	0	+566	Yes	+$237	02-13 12:43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$324	518	5	+513	No	-$321	01-26 14:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$301	360	360	+0	Yes	-$299	03-08 22:04
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$300	367	0	+367	No	+$67	06-16 21:49
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	1	$300	561	0	+561	Ceasefire	-$300	03-18 06:50
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$296	418	418	+0	No	-$254	03-27 06:25
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$285	369	369	+0	No	-$255	03-29 16:38
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$280	175	175	+0	Yes	+$60	07-09 21:41
will iran strike israel on march 8	3	$275	409	0	+409	Yes	+$134	03-07 18:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	6	$275	500	0	+500	open	—	11-02 18:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$255	323	81	+242	Yes	+$97	03-20 08:58
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$235	466	425	+41	No	-$43	01-23 12:10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	3	$230	448	0	+448	Yes	+$218	06-29 17:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$222	248	248	+0	Yes	+$2	07-19 20:03
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	3	$206	212	212	+0	Yes	-$54	02-28 18:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	1	$200	238	0	+238	Yes	+$38	06-25 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:27:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xb6519e…
11-04 18:27:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x5c3e5a…
11-04 18:13:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	244	36¢	$88	0x686e5f…
11-02 18:06:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8d1253…
11-02 18:06:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xc2b137…
11-02 18:06:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x8c9d2f…
11-02 18:05:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xc5fb7e…
11-02 18:05:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x848007…
11-02 17:39:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xf4d061…
11-01 13:40:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	694	36¢	$250	0x8c0241…
10-27 21:29:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xc16216…
10-27 21:01:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	173	51¢	$88	0x3e4274…
10-27 19:58:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x1f5d61…
10-27 19:57:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	614	21¢	$129	0x38d3ad…
10-26 13:13:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xa92e04…
10-26 13:12:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	614	26¢	$160	0xc3d60d…
10-17 17:32:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x837f4a…
08-18 21:25:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xcdb2c9…
08-18 21:24:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x8a95df…
08-10 12:43:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x342d95…
08-10 12:42:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	834	12¢	$100	0x2c5f10…
08-04 12:46:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	882	34¢	$300	0x6213ab…
08-01 21:49:59	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x512ee9…
07-27 14:23:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	244	45¢	$110	0xa9cc96…
07-24 11:46:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,727	11¢	$300	0x52b9ad…
07-23 19:13:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	56	14¢	$8	0x2da680…
07-23 16:25:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xcf8bb2…
07-23 16:24:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc13576…
07-23 16:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	No	BUY	589	68¢	$400	0xcaa662…
07-22 23:53:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xeaa2c1…
07-22 23:53:06	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	109	27¢	$30	0xc3f899…
07-22 23:51:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,482	38¢	$563	0x811bbd…
07-19 20:03:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	66	60¢	$40	0x3cb9ad…
07-17 19:59:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x23ed85…
07-17 05:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8cda1f…
07-17 05:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x796289…
07-17 05:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x43fea5…
07-17 05:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6f60be…
07-17 05:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xeec065…
07-17 04:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x946a8f…
07-17 04:48:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x456d1b…
07-16 22:24:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x14ba5b…
07-15 22:48:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x690ea8…
07-15 22:48:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	88	58¢	$51	0x56618a…
07-14 20:58:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x55e3cf…
07-14 19:19:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x12103d…
07-13 22:49:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe6bcb4…
07-13 13:13:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x636d57…
07-11 22:12:10	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0xaca133…
07-11 21:51:35	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	131	49¢	$65	0x043b9a…
07-11 21:27:23	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	131	53¢	$70	0xf59b16…
07-11 21:03:52	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x6f7d9d…
07-10 23:17:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x0acffc…
07-09 21:50:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x6571d7…
07-09 21:47:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	351	40¢	$140	0xd9653b…
07-09 21:41:14	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	175	98¢	$170	0x0e0d84…
07-09 20:26:10	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x8b003b…
07-07 22:31:56	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1f1b98…
07-07 22:31:49	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xd495eb…
07-07 22:30:59	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	175	63¢	$110	0xbed92f…
07-07 22:30:40	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd991a6…
07-06 20:15:40	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x7f8463…
07-05 22:22:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x55a5d7…
07-05 21:41:47	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	143	63¢	$90	0x09a30c…
07-05 21:35:04	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	47¢	$35	0x49c85d…
07-05 21:34:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x5734f1…
07-04 16:45:59	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x3e417b…
07-04 16:45:52	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xcd56b4…
07-04 07:40:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xa652d8…
07-04 07:37:43	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x921c62…
07-04 01:01:23	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x35a32d…
07-04 01:00:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x0800ff…
07-04 00:47:08	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xed96db…
07-03 23:58:44	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xd9f342…
07-03 22:51:28	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1d36ee…
07-03 22:51:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	235	94¢	$221	0x1e09db…
07-03 22:29:26	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	122	5¢	$6	0xfa5a8c…
07-03 22:15:40	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7c968d…
07-03 21:57:17	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa56b1a…
07-02 15:36:14	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	170	76¢	$130	0x04ecbb…
07-01 21:32:29	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	9¢	$33	0xf2cc43…
07-01 16:46:19	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x272588…
07-01 16:46:07	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	31¢	$23	0xc2aa7e…
07-01 16:12:20	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xb2660d…
06-30 21:53:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0x57ae94…
06-30 21:45:38	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x768c33…
06-30 18:29:38	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd36a51…
06-29 22:51:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$1	0x1dc98e…
06-29 22:33:11	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x925e3b…
06-29 22:32:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x23a077…
06-29 21:59:35	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	118	39¢	$46	0xf78217…
06-29 21:47:32	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x39d8c6…
06-29 21:31:28	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x527cca…
06-29 21:24:31	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	56	26¢	$14	0xa981eb…
06-29 21:23:50	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xb7cf60…
06-29 21:04:11	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	105	23¢	$24	0xa56a6e…
06-29 20:01:50	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xe12065…
06-29 20:00:37	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf4514c…
06-29 19:59:50	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xfc3099…
06-29 19:59:11	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x216fac…