Silent-Plenty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$8.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-09 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% — —

Politics

11% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

3% 50% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No		-26	$-25	97¢	$-25	+$0	06-07 03:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$-0	25¢	$1	+$1	06-09 05:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$368	204	204	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
btc updown 5m 1773093600	2	$277	333	330	+4	open	—	03-09 22:03
btc updown 5m 1777005900	9	$237	149	147	+1	open	—	04-24 04:49
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	7	$212	109	109	+0	open	—	04-24 07:04
btc updown 5m 1773156900	2	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	03-10 15:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$205	132	132	+0	open	—	05-23 07:55
btc updown 5m 1773163500	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-10 17:30
btc updown 5m 1773167400	1	$201	425	0	+425	open	—	03-10 18:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	3	$200	104	104	+0	open	—	04-22 12:04
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$189	139	139	+0	open	—	03-08 05:28
btc updown 5m 1773108300	2	$184	101	101	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776827400	2	$163	173	165	+8	open	—	04-22 03:14
btc updown 5m 1776864900	2	$156	111	107	+4	open	—	04-22 13:40
btc updown 5m 1776824400	5	$137	92	91	+1	open	—	04-22 02:25
btc updown 5m 1773120300	1	$123	138	0	+138	open	—	03-10 05:29
btc updown 5m 1773091800	1	$120	128	0	+128	open	—	03-09 21:33
btc updown 5m 1776861600	2	$119	65	65	+0	open	—	04-22 12:46
btc updown 5m 1773119100	1	$118	123	0	+123	open	—	03-10 05:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$117	66	66	+0	open	—	04-22 00:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$112	104	54	+50	open	—	05-23 17:38
btc updown 5m 1773118200	1	$111	118	0	+118	open	—	03-10 04:54
btc updown 5m 1773166800	1	$110	132	0	+132	open	—	03-10 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773026700	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	03-09 03:29
btc updown 5m 1773028200	2	$108	111	110	+0	open	—	03-09 03:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$103	57	57	+0	open	—	04-30 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776864300	2	$103	54	53	+0	open	—	04-22 13:30
btc updown 5m 1776989700	2	$101	56	55	+1	open	—	04-24 00:19
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	3	$101	59	59	+0	open	—	04-23 23:57
btc updown 5m 1773157800	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 15:54
btc updown 5m 1773165000	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	03-10 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:46:15	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x28680b…
06-08 17:52:03	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x27acf1…
06-07 03:51:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x5ac491…
06-03 18:49:42	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x3f2109…
05-23 17:38:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x5fea77…
05-23 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf86593…
05-23 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xd47e8c…
05-23 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0c458d…
05-23 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xa48739…
05-23 08:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1d2e74…
05-23 07:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x34a5f4…
05-23 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc852a9…
05-23 07:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7f75b1…
05-23 07:55:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x47bebd…
05-23 06:40:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x401c93…
05-23 06:32:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x79e925…
05-23 06:27:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x4ae7ed…
05-23 06:27:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x2b9c1e…
05-22 22:03:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x601943…
05-22 22:02:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xaa49ef…
05-22 21:56:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x55bcc6…
05-22 20:05:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x5f342a…
05-22 07:53:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x72f465…
05-20 21:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xcaf7d6…
05-20 21:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5c800a…
05-20 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x192312…
05-20 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1a0ab7…
05-20 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc347f2…
05-20 21:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x785b81…
05-20 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x13f915…
05-20 20:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xaba90c…
05-20 20:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfe73ab…
05-20 20:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x2ef632…
05-20 20:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0xbe315f…
05-20 20:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3a8b64…
05-20 20:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5da533…
05-20 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x15543f…
05-17 04:06:25	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x52bad1…
05-17 04:04:22	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xe1530f…
05-10 05:23:35	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x4163d9…
05-10 03:54:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x5449e5…
05-09 21:47:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x92d314…
05-09 21:47:02	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x710e79…
05-09 21:40:43	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xea1757…
05-09 21:40:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1077b4…
05-09 20:53:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	73¢	$24	0xdf1b7b…
05-08 00:01:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x558403…
05-03 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x46a262…
05-03 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xce0251…
05-03 20:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xfed258…
05-03 20:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xc15ddd…
05-03 20:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x36a9d8…
05-03 20:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xda71ff…
05-03 09:06:00	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xe36f52…
05-03 08:59:26	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xdf7ad8…
05-03 08:50:08	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2916f5…
05-03 08:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x1771b1…
05-03 08:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x10db24…
05-03 08:37:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4a2fc4…
05-03 08:30:30	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9ea35c…
05-02 06:36:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0xd1bb90…
05-01 22:20:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfad2a2…
05-01 20:11:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd00096…
05-01 00:07:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x530f09…
05-01 00:07:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2d0e2c…
04-30 20:04:12	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x27fbdd…
04-30 20:02:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0xd08f53…
04-30 20:02:42	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	SELL	95	5¢	$5	0xf64f9b…
04-30 20:00:34	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	BUY	189	4¢	$8	0xc27299…
04-30 20:00:16	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc05d8f…
04-30 18:19:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x4553dc…
04-28 17:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf6c23c…
04-28 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf547b5…
04-28 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xc581b1…
04-28 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x47e838…
04-28 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x1d7637…
04-28 17:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x9e104e…
04-28 17:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0x811440…
04-28 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb08025…
04-28 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd202d…
04-28 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb9ab9c…
04-28 17:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb24ea9…
04-28 17:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0x588b69…
04-28 17:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6a0c73…
04-28 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9d838c…
04-28 17:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xb062b9…
04-28 17:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3c7910…
04-28 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2f4052…
04-28 07:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xffe5eb…
04-28 07:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd15f65…
04-27 20:05:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xea9137…
04-27 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xad4066…
04-27 02:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x2b4258…
04-27 02:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0dd8ab…
04-27 00:37:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x49cc55…
04-27 00:36:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8f1b8f…
04-26 20:20:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3c7fd5…
04-26 15:53:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	59	82¢	$49	0x58cb98…
04-26 09:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x35eda4…
04-26 09:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf94e58…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	136	$3.36K	988	05-23 08:04
Delayed-State 0xae46…a663	136	$534	823	05-23 08:05
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	133	$100.4K	24,926	05-03 20:34
(anonymous) 0x7e5b…06e8	133	$5.69K	453	05-23 07:59
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	132	$7.80K	1,235	05-20 21:30
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	130	$27.3K	2,075	05-23 08:04
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	129	$1.01K	1,289	04-28 17:58
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	128	$41.7K	8,223	04-28 17:58