Tame-Canon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

-$88

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

778

lifetime

Volume

$84.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

92% — —

Politics

7% 50% +$1,476

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No		+502	$95	1¢	$7	$-88	05-30 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$1.8K	1,239	1,239	+0	open	—	06-01 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	5	$1.1K	4,648	4,278	+370	open	—	04-03 15:21
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	8	$1.1K	2,462	2,462	+0	open	—	02-06 15:37
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	3	$1.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	open	—	01-06 14:49
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	7	$1.0K	2,360	2,360	+0	open	—	01-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	7	$886	1,349	1,349	+0	open	—	02-03 13:14
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	5	$879	966	966	+0	open	—	01-16 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	6	$876	2,833	2,833	+0	open	—	03-09 08:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$859	646	646	+0	open	—	05-24 08:36
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$852	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	01-27 13:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	6	$851	1,211	2,104	-893	open	—	01-16 19:16
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	5	$839	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	01-30 14:44
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$810	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	03-20 14:45
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	2	$804	1,546	1,546	+0	open	—	02-17 22:22
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	7	$795	450	1,215	-765	open	—	01-02 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	4	$757	788	788	+0	open	—	01-14 13:44
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	3	$724	529	529	+0	open	—	01-31 14:53
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 140 164	5	$721	1,456	1,035	+420	open	—	01-12 12:42
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$698	621	621	+0	open	—	03-16 10:41
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	4	$663	591	591	+0	open	—	01-07 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	5	$650	911	911	+0	open	—	02-27 00:40
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	4	$648	1,440	1,440	+0	open	—	01-19 16:23
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	3	$647	745	745	+0	open	—	02-17 22:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$633	2,447	2,000	+447	open	—	05-07 18:57
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	3	$631	712	712	+0	open	—	01-02 13:06
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	4	$630	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	01-12 12:41
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	3	$628	691	691	+0	open	—	02-04 08:59
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	5	$615	1,019	833	+186	open	—	02-03 13:23
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	4	$613	1,097	512	+585	open	—	01-13 16:33
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	7	$585	1,611	1,542	+69	open	—	04-01 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:13:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x289970…
06-01 14:28:09	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	1,239	75¢	$925	0xa09f29…
05-30 20:04:21	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	1,239	73¢	$900	0x9c3028…
05-30 00:50:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	502	19¢	$95	0x834e65…
05-30 00:28:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xc44616…
05-29 18:04:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	510	20¢	$100	0xcbc8b6…
05-29 00:46:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,224	8¢	$100	0xecad93…
05-25 23:48:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,723	2¢	$40	0x4385e7…
05-25 23:47:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x737156…
05-24 08:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	646	71¢	$459	0xdbc7cd…
05-23 18:20:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	646	62¢	$400	0x9ca2eb…
05-19 22:19:28	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0x73dc0d…
05-19 22:19:19	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0x7cf987…
05-19 22:19:12	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	323	8¢	$25	0x86a83b…
05-19 22:15:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	526	9¢	$47	0x00d298…
05-16 23:47:02	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	273	18¢	$50	0x072054…
05-15 22:39:58	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x225157…
05-14 22:29:34	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x0827ab…
05-14 22:28:39	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xcefaad…
05-13 22:23:32	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x3d7982…
05-11 16:53:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	21¢	$111	0x9e1ad3…
05-07 18:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	17¢	$75	0xc73b5a…
05-07 18:13:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0x0bbc20…
05-07 18:10:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	39¢	$217	0x4d5120…
05-07 18:10:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	23¢	$458	0x656a5e…
05-04 11:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xc517c2…
05-04 11:29:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xb81201…
05-03 23:11:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x6d0b32…
05-02 21:10:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x56277a…
05-02 21:10:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,607	6¢	$101	0x77d484…
04-30 00:02:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x9b60da…
04-27 23:45:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	691	5¢	$33	0xe2afb4…
04-27 23:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	15¢	$100	0x0c1d4a…
04-27 23:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	321	41¢	$131	0x794252…
04-27 22:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	970	11¢	$111	0xa9cc67…
04-27 18:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,018	5¢	$50	0xf34258…
04-27 18:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	15¢	$50	0xdb013f…
04-27 15:01:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	18¢	$21	0xd325f4…
04-27 13:34:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	53¢	$226	0xdd15c7…
04-27 07:12:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x2813c7…
04-27 07:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	8¢	$19	0x0ca58c…
04-27 06:03:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0xe4ada5…
04-26 23:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	17¢	$42	0x528672…
04-26 22:26:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	9¢	$34	0x7a14be…
04-26 22:25:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	631	10¢	$62	0xb3f94b…
04-26 13:59:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,058	5¢	$53	0x263b54…
04-26 12:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	641	8¢	$51	0xe11526…
04-25 20:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	669	15¢	$100	0x874cd3…
04-25 14:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	626	5¢	$31	0x2c1bd2…
04-25 11:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	80¢	$302	0xfeaadc…
04-25 11:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xce35c8…
04-25 11:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	80¢	$112	0x1e2032…
04-24 23:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	561	18¢	$100	0xee151a…
04-24 16:03:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	13¢	$25	0x850350…
04-24 15:43:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0xc06640…
04-24 15:38:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xfb7aa5…
04-24 07:55:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	198	64¢	$128	0x38b47a…
04-24 05:56:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	1,281	24¢	$305	0xadc1fd…
04-23 17:41:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	1,343	7¢	$100	0xd256fe…
04-23 17:25:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xb24e80…
04-23 16:53:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	669	15¢	$100	0xda5664…
04-23 08:19:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	204	40¢	$81	0x2acd9d…
04-23 08:17:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	776	11¢	$85	0x13dac3…
04-23 08:04:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	812	13¢	$109	0xe878c4…
04-23 08:03:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	267	42¢	$111	0xd56636…
04-23 08:03:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	275	45¢	$123	0x1fc967…
04-23 08:01:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	278	9¢	$25	0x25413c…
04-23 00:16:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	290	17¢	$49	0x07fa66…
04-22 15:28:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	348	15¢	$51	0xce7055…
04-22 13:48:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	361	29¢	$106	0x451c50…
04-22 06:53:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	SELL	1,239	9¢	$112	0x547732…
04-21 22:57:16	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	651	15¢	$100	0x2961ab…
04-21 18:31:44	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	645	9¢	$58	0xb25ee3…
04-21 15:29:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0xb7f5e4…
04-21 15:29:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	SELL	525	9¢	$46	0x5342ef…
04-21 14:52:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	SELL	436	2¢	$8	0x8bfaf2…
04-21 14:06:08	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	654	15¢	$100	0x50a235…
04-20 17:26:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	454	22¢	$100	0x39e87b…
04-20 16:37:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x1678b0…
04-20 14:37:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xf0684f…
04-20 00:40:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	688	6¢	$45	0x86be92…
04-20 00:10:42	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x067792…
04-20 00:10:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	SELL	640	8¢	$50	0x0beca9…
04-19 19:56:54	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	330	21¢	$70	0xd8a275…
04-19 19:56:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	516	25¢	$127	0x656a59…
04-19 19:29:32	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	677	9¢	$62	0x91e648…
04-19 18:58:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	SELL	419	32¢	$134	0x50a345…
04-19 18:57:48	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	SELL	322	70¢	$225	0x55e563…
04-19 18:14:08	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	SELL	1,945	6¢	$116	0x155f1d…
04-18 18:44:50	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	2,042	5¢	$100	0xfdf128…
04-18 17:32:54	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x5d4829…
04-18 16:14:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	436	23¢	$100	0x7cfb2b…
04-18 16:13:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	516	19¢	$100	0xa77e74…
04-17 18:57:58	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	378	30¢	$112	0x1d835f…
04-17 18:15:00	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	627	16¢	$100	0x31594f…
04-17 17:27:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	SELL	595	21¢	$123	0x71acb2…
04-17 13:03:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	622	16¢	$98	0xcdba43…
04-17 12:53:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	621	16¢	$100	0xd80e7a…
04-16 19:09:40	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x94479d…
04-16 18:28:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	647	24¢	$158	0xbcae06…