Tame-Canon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

598

Trades

1,779

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Other

92% 38% +$2,627

Politics

7% 39% +$603

Sports

1% 20% +$64

Crypto

0% 56% -$196

Tech

0% 0% -$191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+150	$45	33¢	$49	+$4	10-27 03:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$1.8K	1,239	1,239	+0	No	+$25	06-01 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	5	$1.1K	4,648	4,278	+370	No	+$582	04-03 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$516	10-17 15:28
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	8	$1.1K	2,462	2,462	+0	No	+$384	02-06 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$719	06-09 17:46
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	3	$1.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$606	01-06 14:49
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	7	$1.0K	2,360	2,360	+0	No	+$334	01-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	7	$886	1,349	1,349	+0	Yes	+$171	02-03 13:14
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	5	$879	966	966	+0	No	+$340	01-16 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	6	$876	2,833	2,833	+0	No	+$244	03-09 08:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$859	646	646	+0	No	+$59	05-24 08:36
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$852	1,346	1,346	+0	Yes	+$88	01-27 13:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	6	$851	1,211	2,104	-893	Yes	-$472	01-16 19:16
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	5	$839	1,145	1,145	+0	Yes	+$90	01-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$833	1,354	1,354	+0	Yes	+$453	05-22 13:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$810	1,611	1,611	+0	Yes	+$246	03-20 14:45
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	2	$804	1,546	1,546	+0	No	+$604	02-17 22:22
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	7	$795	450	1,215	-765	Yes	-$10	01-02 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$794	2,451	2,451	+0	Yes	+$696	07-09 08:39
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	4	$757	788	788	+0	Yes	+$93	01-14 13:44
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	3	$724	529	529	+0	Yes	+$124	01-31 14:53
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 140 164	5	$721	1,456	1,035	+420	No	-$130	01-12 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	25	$717	1,470	1,270	+200	No	+$197	09-23 01:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$716	719	719	+0	Yes	+$447	07-07 15:48
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$698	621	621	+0	Yes	+$338	03-16 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	43	$692	1,219	1,219	+0	Yes	+$72	10-21 10:53
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	4	$663	591	591	+0	Yes	+$363	01-07 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	5	$650	911	911	+0	Yes	+$10	02-27 00:40
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	4	$648	1,440	1,440	+0	Yes	+$350	01-19 16:23
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	3	$647	745	745	+0	No	+$172	02-17 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x3841e0…
10-27 03:14:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0xf08ae3…
10-27 03:14:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	30¢	$18	0xb3fb60…
10-27 02:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78f779…
10-26 19:15:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	203	20¢	$40	0xf5a43c…
10-25 21:52:23	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	318	77¢	$245	0x692ab0…
10-25 20:07:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	318	22¢	$70	0xea1e70…
10-24 14:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xb7ca8d…
10-24 14:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	35¢	$71	0xc34bef…
10-24 14:14:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	31¢	$65	0x6f5b1c…
10-24 07:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	16¢	$112	0xbf8bfb…
10-24 05:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0xa51df1…
10-24 05:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x41b08a…
10-24 05:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	10¢	$33	0x111623…
10-24 05:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x1d18a7…
10-23 20:08:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xc9dd62…
10-23 20:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x83f5fa…
10-23 20:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfd811e…
10-23 19:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbf310b…
10-23 19:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xec5828…
10-23 19:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb8c925…
10-23 19:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x4508e5…
10-23 19:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x600b52…
10-23 19:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xace7b1…
10-23 19:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0x7b59d3…
10-23 19:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0x28e05c…
10-23 19:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x04fe8d…
10-23 17:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	12¢	$52	0xc47f68…
10-23 17:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x1953cc…
10-23 15:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xafcaa8…
10-23 15:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0xebf1ac…
10-23 15:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0xa5199c…
10-23 15:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x503a2c…
10-23 15:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x41f58b…
10-23 12:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$30	0xfd81b1…
10-23 12:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	55¢	$218	0x022fce…
10-23 03:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x437638…
10-23 03:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x05158b…
10-23 03:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb42389…
10-23 03:45:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x28071f…
10-23 03:44:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x00420a…
10-23 03:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xac2e6e…
10-23 03:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x61cbbb…
10-23 03:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xddd5cc…
10-23 03:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2ddd89…
10-23 03:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd938d3…
10-23 03:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x05ad97…
10-23 03:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc93969…
10-23 01:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	5¢	$18	0x9af81f…
10-23 01:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	5¢	$22	0xdceddb…
10-22 16:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	20¢	$15	0x78abca…
10-22 16:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0x0280b7…
10-22 16:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x402500…
10-22 16:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd9635f…
10-22 16:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6e94b2…
10-22 16:32:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe58b62…
10-22 16:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x472230…
10-22 16:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc59c29…
10-22 16:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xec45e9…
10-22 16:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb9da25…
10-22 16:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xcf2423…
10-22 16:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x0a1f8e…
10-22 16:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	20¢	$45	0xdd9cf3…
10-22 00:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x4499fc…
10-22 00:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x289c23…
10-22 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xeb7132…
10-22 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd0d347…
10-22 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xabc3c0…
10-22 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x07f50e…
10-22 00:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x00a006…
10-22 00:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe8c56d…
10-22 00:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0xb5692a…
10-22 00:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x28e482…
10-22 00:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x07237d…
10-22 00:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc2e689…
10-22 00:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x28595f…
10-22 00:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xac71aa…
10-22 00:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xe71dcc…
10-22 00:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0xceb3d0…
10-22 00:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x3cbce6…
10-22 00:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x21126a…
10-21 16:57:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x2f36c4…
10-21 16:48:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	224	10¢	$22	0x064da1…
10-21 16:46:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf072d8…
10-21 16:46:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f6503…
10-21 16:34:27	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0x57c577…
10-21 16:34:08	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x35097a…
10-21 16:33:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaacb1b…
10-21 10:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	56¢	$216	0x95adc9…
10-21 10:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	41¢	$160	0x9a9fea…
10-21 07:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	20¢	$167	0xf7e1c3…
10-21 05:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	10¢	$21	0xe8fa11…
10-21 05:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	10¢	$29	0xb99566…
10-21 04:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0xa8e2b1…
10-21 04:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6c360b…
10-21 03:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdb74ab…
10-21 03:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa184a9…
10-21 03:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa18525…
10-21 03:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9975c7…
10-21 03:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x19b2cc…