Tame-Canon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$246

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,926 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.03K

$132.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$146

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Other

92% 39% +$3,020

Politics

7% 37% +$443

Sports

1% 20% +$64

Crypto

0% 56% -$196

Tech

0% 0% -$191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes		+533	$48	16¢	$85	+$37	11-13 19:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+400	$100	15¢	$61	-$39	11-11 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$1.8K	1,239	1,239	+0	No	+$25	06-01 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	5	$1.1K	4,648	4,278	+370	No	+$582	04-03 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$516	10-17 15:28
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	8	$1.1K	2,462	2,462	+0	No	+$384	02-06 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$719	06-09 17:46
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	3	$1.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$606	01-06 14:49
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	7	$1.0K	2,360	2,360	+0	No	+$334	01-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	7	$886	1,349	1,349	+0	Yes	+$171	02-03 13:14
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	5	$879	966	966	+0	No	+$340	01-16 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	6	$876	2,833	2,833	+0	No	+$244	03-09 08:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$859	646	646	+0	No	+$59	05-24 08:36
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$852	1,346	1,346	+0	Yes	+$88	01-27 13:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	6	$851	1,211	2,104	-893	Yes	-$472	01-16 19:16
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	5	$839	1,145	1,145	+0	Yes	+$90	01-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$833	1,354	1,354	+0	Yes	+$453	05-22 13:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$810	1,611	1,611	+0	Yes	+$246	03-20 14:45
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	2	$804	1,546	1,546	+0	No	+$604	02-17 22:22
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	7	$795	450	1,215	-765	Yes	-$10	01-02 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$794	2,451	2,451	+0	Yes	+$696	07-09 08:39
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	4	$757	788	788	+0	Yes	+$93	01-14 13:44
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	3	$724	529	529	+0	Yes	+$124	01-31 14:53
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 140 164	5	$721	1,456	1,035	+420	No	-$130	01-12 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	25	$717	1,470	1,270	+200	No	+$197	09-23 01:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$716	719	719	+0	Yes	+$447	07-07 15:48
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$698	621	621	+0	Yes	+$338	03-16 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	43	$692	1,219	1,219	+0	Yes	+$72	10-21 10:53
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	4	$663	591	591	+0	Yes	+$363	01-07 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	5	$650	911	911	+0	Yes	+$10	02-27 00:40
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	4	$648	1,440	1,440	+0	Yes	+$350	01-19 16:23
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	3	$647	745	745	+0	No	+$172	02-17 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 19:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	533	9¢	$48	0x5d9d5f…
11-13 15:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	11¢	$39	0xa447ed…
11-13 07:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	64¢	$143	0xedcfe0…
11-13 05:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	22¢	$50	0x934ca4…
11-13 00:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	479	33¢	$157	0x008a5d…
11-12 19:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	32¢	$96	0xcd3c51…
11-12 18:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x5e71b2…
11-12 08:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	37¢	$118	0x438b96…
11-12 01:30:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	333	33¢	$111	0xec4511…
11-11 23:58:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xf09005…
11-11 23:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x31e480…
11-11 23:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0f50a9…
11-11 23:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xf74b55…
11-11 23:11:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xddce7d…
11-11 23:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xaea448…
11-11 23:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x2d7f40…
11-11 23:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x8253f5…
11-11 23:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x6d1a1b…
11-11 19:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	322	30¢	$97	0x583c0c…
11-11 18:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0x2b4213…
11-11 01:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	10¢	$13	0xa7278b…
11-11 01:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0xd85990…
11-11 01:01:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	190	25¢	$48	0x9074af…
11-11 01:01:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	93	25¢	$23	0xc1da3b…
11-11 01:01:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0x5b1e36…
11-11 00:56:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xf87f2a…
11-11 00:56:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb4ed77…
11-11 00:56:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x692a55…
11-10 16:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x560a55…
11-10 16:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0xa68be3…
11-10 16:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x4c3c21…
11-10 16:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	82¢	$46	0x9fdc32…
11-10 09:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	13¢	$24	0x6237af…
11-10 02:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$4	0x12ebc0…
11-10 02:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	835	2¢	$21	0xc63065…
11-10 01:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x5dad03…
11-10 01:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x9697f0…
11-10 01:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	20¢	$31	0x0a2769…
11-09 10:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	710	4¢	$28	0x388b4f…
11-09 03:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	21¢	$53	0x9e81f5…
11-09 03:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	50¢	$45	0x12ae14…
11-09 03:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	53¢	$190	0x724c95…
11-08 18:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	19¢	$48	0x3ebf84…
11-07 17:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	21¢	$48	0x8a1772…
11-07 16:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$49	0xc30262…
11-07 13:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$39	0x661958…
11-07 08:37:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x37435a…
11-06 22:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	10¢	$46	0x59e3eb…
11-06 22:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x860123…
11-06 22:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2618a4…
11-06 21:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xc54cf5…
11-05 23:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	422	23¢	$97	0x5e116d…
11-05 15:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	11¢	$24	0x1463db…
11-05 15:16:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	30¢	$65	0xc48a3d…
11-04 17:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x39774c…
11-04 16:37:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xc403db…
11-04 05:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	30¢	$47	0xf0e671…
11-04 05:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0xc21c20…
11-04 05:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3faa2c…
11-04 04:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xb5d45c…
11-03 20:29:51	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	612	10¢	$60	0xc507dc…
11-03 19:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	26¢	$55	0xc05dda…
11-03 13:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	23¢	$109	0x74b06c…
11-03 13:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	5¢	$13	0xb09d33…
11-03 13:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	20¢	$97	0x312a6f…
11-03 01:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	5¢	$35	0x38c6e5…
11-02 22:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$90	0xe7010d…
11-02 18:56:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	18¢	$49	0x5d5dee…
11-02 17:33:28	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,006	5¢	$100	0x65c5bb…
11-02 14:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	23¢	$49	0x5a63a7…
10-31 11:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x028d3a…
10-31 01:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd8687e…
10-31 01:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7f99b9…
10-31 01:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xdbd142…
10-31 01:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2ba096…
10-31 01:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x302596…
10-31 01:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf65c2f…
10-31 01:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x572c73…
10-31 01:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1efa15…
10-31 01:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2b12be…
10-31 01:11:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x47f10a…
10-31 01:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x86723b…
10-31 00:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x484e12…
10-31 00:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x53a538…
10-31 00:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd6af13…
10-31 00:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0883b8…
10-31 00:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcb9166…
10-31 00:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x46d4d3…
10-31 00:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xf2aa95…
10-31 00:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x102f2e…
10-31 00:56:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7ebfd5…
10-31 00:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xf4414b…
10-31 00:56:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x510494…
10-31 00:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2d1d69…
10-31 00:55:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xfc8d64…
10-31 00:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x4a3d0e…
10-31 00:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xf998b4…
10-31 00:54:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xddfd76…
10-31 00:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x474171…
10-31 00:54:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2e92cd…