Realized P&L (30d)
+$162
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
28.3%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
8
48 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$219
$1.47K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$39
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-21 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% -$169
Other
44% 13% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6,250 $25 0¢ $22 -$3 10-15 18:32
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $20 4¢ $18 -$2 10-21 15:12