Realized P&L
-$190
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
31.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
48
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$38
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-21 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% -$169
Other
44% 12% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6,250 $25 0¢ $22 -$3 10-15 18:32
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $20 3¢ $16 -$4 10-21 15:12