Calm-Bassoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-04 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$8

Other

33% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$438	663	331	+331	open	—	04-27 21:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$225	259	0	+259	open	—	04-27 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$212	156	156	+0	open	—	05-03 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$174	96	96	+0	open	—	04-27 11:35
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	04-28 22:14
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	04-28 22:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 20:50
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$52	54	54	+0	open	—	04-23 07:12
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 11:32
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$51	74	74	+0	open	—	05-01 15:03
xrp updown 5m 1776166800	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-14 11:45
xrp updown 5m 1776271200	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 16:44
xrp updown 5m 1776272400	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 17:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 08:51
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	3	$35	24	23	+1	open	—	04-15 16:23
xrp updown 5m 1776166500	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 11:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 22:21
xrp updown 15m 1776272400	2	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 17:13
btc updown 5m 1776166500	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-14 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
btc updown 5m 1776169200	6	$27	15	14	+0	open	—	04-14 12:26
sol updown 5m 1776164700	3	$27	22	20	+2	open	—	04-14 11:09
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 22:20
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-21 16:03
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 13:09
btc updown 5m 1776169800	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 12:35
xrp updown 5m 1776170100	4	$23	15	14	+0	open	—	04-14 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 20:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x86e2d0…
05-04 20:51:16	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x15829f…
05-04 20:50:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9f7df2…
05-04 20:48:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xef1752…
05-04 18:54:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x589aa2…
05-04 18:50:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0fe5c1…
05-04 18:47:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0fac09…
05-04 14:49:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9c8b00…
05-04 14:48:16	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x671a61…
05-04 14:45:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x589af7…
05-04 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x37e04c…
05-04 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe2bc66…
05-04 14:42:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x27cea3…
05-04 14:41:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa4c1e1…
05-04 14:20:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7cbe5e…
05-04 14:16:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x8ba938…
05-03 13:10:32	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5b5c7b…
05-03 13:10:20	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0e8d74…
05-03 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xef74cd…
05-03 13:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd81e1d…
05-03 13:08:08	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x16e222…
05-03 13:05:34	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94df29…
05-03 13:04:14	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4e961c…
05-03 13:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xd05468…
05-03 13:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcc5a6c…
05-03 11:32:24	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x56bdc9…
05-03 11:31:20	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xde19f3…
05-03 11:29:08	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x18a3e8…
05-03 11:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	156	72¢	$112	0x88acd3…
05-03 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x096d9f…
05-01 15:03:22	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	74	35¢	$26	0xb55c0d…
05-01 15:02:12	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x2f3f09…
04-28 22:21:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xa3d93c…
04-28 22:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x809871…
04-28 22:19:50	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xc9c76d…
04-28 22:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3c1ec2…
04-28 22:18:24	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x7d8f86…
04-28 22:14:02	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	57	98¢	$57	0x12ce5f…
04-28 22:13:20	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x040651…
04-28 22:10:44	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9a36b1…
04-28 22:10:24	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xf5fad1…
04-28 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x7221c7…
04-28 22:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1c9ce8…
04-28 22:07:26	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xf4d487…
04-28 22:05:28	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x262741…
04-28 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xed052b…
04-28 16:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xec5116…
04-28 16:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x713d8a…
04-28 16:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xa4c4e3…
04-28 16:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x48fe04…
04-28 16:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4d9c3d…
04-28 16:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x2ace93…
04-28 16:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbe06e1…
04-27 21:21:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	259	87¢	$225	0xddfada…
04-27 21:00:04	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	331	68¢	$225	0xfc98d0…
04-27 11:36:08	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	31¢	$84	0x497512…
04-27 11:35:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	96	88¢	$85	0xfadad0…
04-27 07:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	96	93¢	$89	0xf5c79d…
04-27 07:43:16	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0x444ba3…
04-27 07:23:06	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xfdde0f…
04-25 11:59:20	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfdb7fe…
04-25 11:58:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa2bab7…
04-24 08:53:58	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x7cf228…
04-24 08:52:10	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x027818…
04-24 08:51:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x118a11…
04-23 07:53:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xd93b57…
04-23 07:12:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	27¢	$14	0xb71e1e…
04-21 16:04:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x471d49…
04-21 16:03:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb47abd…
04-20 10:51:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x3fc514…
04-20 10:46:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xa135cc…
04-20 10:45:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6f9374…
04-20 10:44:28	Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xc0f30f…
04-19 14:03:40	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xb591b3…
04-16 08:14:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x7d3b92…
04-15 17:23:22	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7e6d03…
04-15 17:13:36	eth updown 15m 1776272400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9acedf…
04-15 17:13:12	xrp updown 15m 1776272400	Up	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x3fd28d…
04-15 17:12:04	xrp updown 15m 1776272400	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x221dd8…
04-15 17:11:16	eth updown 15m 1776272400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6fdbb5…
04-15 17:10:38	xrp updown 5m 1776272700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a2ad3…
04-15 17:09:58	xrp updown 5m 1776272700	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xfb6e51…
04-15 17:09:34	eth updown 5m 1776272700	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xdb8c51…
04-15 17:08:46	eth updown 5m 1776272700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x523da4…
04-15 17:08:06	xrp updown 5m 1776272700	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbbb47c…
04-15 17:07:50	sol updown 5m 1776272700	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0be650…
04-15 17:07:38	sol updown 5m 1776272700	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4a77fa…
04-15 17:05:34	xrp updown 5m 1776272400	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x73c2f9…
04-15 17:03:56	xrp updown 5m 1776272400	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xa5d1fd…
04-15 17:03:16	xrp updown 5m 1776272400	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b2d60…
04-15 16:54:16	xrp updown 5m 1776271800	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x6a4b35…
04-15 16:52:52	bnb updown 5m 1776271800	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2358e9…
04-15 16:51:34	bnb updown 5m 1776271800	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x480215…
04-15 16:51:06	bnb updown 5m 1776271800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x37cddc…
04-15 16:49:02	bnb updown 5m 1776271500	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb7b3d6…
04-15 16:48:40	bnb updown 5m 1776271500	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x44d02f…
04-15 16:47:32	bnb updown 5m 1776271500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x831240…
04-15 16:47:10	bnb updown 5m 1776271500	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x7475da…
04-15 16:46:04	bnb updown 5m 1776271500	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbf3747…
04-15 16:44:38	xrp updown 5m 1776271200	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x28a1a5…