Calm-Bassoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

194

Trades

527

lifetime

Volume

$8.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-27 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

56% 52% -$315

Crypto

22% 70% +$6

Tech

20% 58% +$71

Politics

1% 33% -$52

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+178	$10	4¢	$7	-$3	10-20 16:15
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+7	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-20 16:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$940	822	822	+0	Yes	+$267	04-28 22:00
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	15	$883	1,356	366	+990	No	-$436	05-27 16:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$749	501	501	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 21:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$672	380	380	+0	Yes	+$72	05-22 08:31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$482	259	258	+2	No	+$33	04-28 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$318	255	255	+0	No	+$18	05-05 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$310	166	166	+0	No	+$10	05-04 20:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$225	130	130	+0	Yes	+$25	05-19 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$214	115	115	+0	No	+$14	05-04 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$212	156	156	+0	Up	+$12	05-03 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$209	115	115	+0	No	+$9	04-28 21:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$174	96	96	+0	No	-$4	04-27 11:35
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	22	$164	30,028	0	+30,028	Yes	-$164	10-18 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$107	57	57	+0	Up	+$7	05-04 14:45
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$107	57	57	+0	Down	+$7	04-28 22:14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	9	$105	705	705	+0	No	+$45	05-26 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$101	316	316	+0	No	-$39	05-05 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$89	92	92	+0	Yes	+$9	05-04 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$76	174	174	+0	Yes	+$46	05-24 21:13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	7	$74	57	57	+0	BetBoom Team	+$12	10-17 19:03
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	4	$70	43	43	+0	Over	+$0	10-17 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$70	94	0	+94	Yes	+$24	05-19 07:51
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$63	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	04-28 22:19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$57	48	48	+0	Yes	+$37	05-22 15:42
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 20:50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	6	$53	79	79	+0	No	+$9	05-24 21:13
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$52	54	54	+0	No	-$24	04-23 07:12
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$52	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	05-03 11:32
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$51	74	74	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 15:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	7	$46	61	60	+0	Down	+$10	10-16 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:06:33	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)	Azamat Bekoev	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x748203…
10-24 23:32:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x89d870…
10-24 23:25:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x323952…
10-24 21:10:15	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x96aa8a…
10-24 21:04:11	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xfd4666…
10-24 20:47:29	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)	Azamat Bekoev	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x57067d…
10-24 20:43:53	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb98d36…
10-24 20:33:11	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb095aa…
10-24 20:28:00	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc5128d…
10-23 08:50:48	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x9d68f3…
10-20 16:15:03	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x0cacd2…
10-20 16:14:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7309b2…
10-20 08:13:16	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xaaccd2…
10-20 08:08:17	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xff5057…
10-18 20:29:36	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x3373fd…
10-18 15:37:50	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x19ec8a…
10-17 19:03:42	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	27	50¢	$13	0xb6e906…
10-17 18:58:05	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x018fc0…
10-17 18:57:57	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x163db6…
10-17 18:57:21	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3d5d5e…
10-17 18:52:54	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	31	96¢	$29	0x741cb8…
10-17 18:49:15	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x32db86…
10-17 18:43:17	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 game2 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6da1a0…
10-17 18:38:59	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x146f73…
10-17 18:38:51	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb04d4a…
10-17 18:36:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xb8fe27…
10-17 18:34:14	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x061f57…
10-17 18:33:18	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	8	18¢	$2	0xde6364…
10-17 18:25:14	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6a4a98…
10-17 17:54:02	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcd45da…
10-17 17:53:41	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa6f59b…
10-17 17:46:02	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf38c2e…
10-17 17:38:18	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xeed93c…
10-17 17:17:32	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17	Team Falcons	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc747d7…
10-17 17:13:15	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb1040a…
10-17 16:33:12	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x13c08a…
10-17 16:32:26	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0680e1…
10-17 16:31:53	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17	Team Falcons	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8013be…
10-16 22:00:08	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x012d63…
10-16 21:59:54	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x70d6f0…
10-16 21:59:17	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8a5ecc…
10-16 21:55:42	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe7ab44…
10-16 17:02:57	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x6c1458…
10-16 17:02:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf4ad5d…
10-16 15:27:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x04e2ee…
10-16 15:24:37	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x53a93f…
10-16 15:16:16	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0x550977…
10-16 15:15:57	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0xde99ba…
10-16 14:58:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb173e7…
10-16 14:58:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x9c28b1…
10-16 14:57:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x66a9af…
10-16 14:49:06	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x14d769…
10-16 14:40:31	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	550	1¢	$5	0xc73c3d…
10-16 14:32:45	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe401ba…
10-16 14:32:24	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xc9776f…
10-16 14:32:15	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xb8a5c1…
10-16 14:26:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa0a720…
10-16 14:22:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa0203b…
10-16 14:19:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1cf605…
10-16 14:18:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x42b09d…
10-16 14:18:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe829de…
10-16 14:17:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x790ec8…
10-16 14:17:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x9ecf50…
10-16 14:17:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8041d9…
10-16 14:15:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfac940…
10-16 14:14:42	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x32f7b4…
10-16 14:13:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0xc449bb…
10-16 14:09:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x903ba1…
10-16 14:07:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xd5a77a…
10-16 14:06:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe4cb51…
10-16 14:06:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0251c2…
10-16 14:03:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x618f49…
10-16 14:02:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1e232d…
10-16 14:02:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a15c7…
10-16 14:01:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8abccb…
10-16 14:00:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9452f6…
10-16 13:58:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0xfbee28…
10-16 13:57:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1c8449…
10-16 13:56:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0x604859…
10-16 13:54:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1a430c…
10-16 13:54:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6a521f…
10-16 13:53:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbae08d…
10-16 13:53:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x077933…
10-16 13:50:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x86a4e3…
10-16 13:49:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x06ba80…
10-16 13:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x06d889…
10-16 09:49:25	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	794	6¢	$50	0xa2ee94…
10-16 09:41:39	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	884	6¢	$57	0x563c16…
05-27 16:50:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	24¢	$25	0x19748a…
05-26 08:08:25	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd82735…
05-26 08:08:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0xed7696…
05-26 07:53:08	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xcdb4a2…
05-26 07:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0xfb5b17…
05-25 14:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0xe38217…
05-25 08:46:15	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x1045aa…
05-25 02:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xa825ee…
05-25 01:59:59	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	670	52¢	$348	0xb03c6b…
05-24 21:37:03	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x07df24…
05-24 21:36:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	486	75¢	$363	0x7907f0…
05-24 21:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x888722…