Spotted-Chairlift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$863

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-21 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

76% 61% +$889

Politics

14% — —

Sports

7% 33% $-26

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+250	$17	1¢	$3	$-14	07-11 22:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 washed msc 2026 06 13	25	$1.1K	2,208	0	+2,208	open	—	06-13 19:34
cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	5	$682	1,345	0	+1,345	open	—	06-07 14:15
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	2	$486	1,015	0	+1,015	Walczaki	+$529	05-06 09:03
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	2	$465	505	0	+505	open	—	07-01 15:41
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	10	$447	257	257	+0	open	—	07-10 09:30
another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	7	$340	770	0	+770	open	—	07-03 09:01
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$334	225	225	+0	open	—	07-15 17:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$334	9,300	280	+9,020	open	—	07-08 18:14
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	9	$324	1,500	966	+534	open	—	07-17 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$272	400	150	+250	open	—	07-11 22:41
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	5	$255	250	250	+0	open	—	07-19 06:57
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$241	350	0	+350	open	—	07-20 08:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$212	200	200	+0	open	—	07-10 07:10
spy up or down on july 2 2026	8	$191	251	251	+0	open	—	07-02 15:14
FC Metaloglobus București vs. FC Hermannstadt: O/U 3.5	4	$141	352	0	+352	Over	+$211	05-11 14:49
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	3	$123	200	150	+50	open	—	07-14 16:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$122	629	0	+629	open	—	07-11 22:12
cs2 wal2 oxuji 2026 06 19	1	$121	212	0	+212	open	—	06-18 17:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$118	150	0	+150	open	—	07-20 14:04
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	7	$105	190	0	+190	open	—	07-12 05:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$105	300	0	+300	open	—	07-20 15:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$96	150	0	+150	open	—	07-21 10:21
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	07-16 20:49
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	3	$86	120	0	+120	open	—	05-21 04:11
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	5	$82	51	51	+0	open	—	07-17 16:15
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem (Doubles): Cavalle-Reimers/Salden vs Kato/Olmos	6	$82	120	0	+120	open	—	05-18 15:07
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	07-14 20:32
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland	8	$77	110	0	+110	open	—	05-21 14:45
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5	1	$77	120	0	+120	open	—	05-19 23:33
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner	1	$76	120	0	+120	open	—	05-20 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:21:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x83c0fb…
07-20 15:38:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x2a1fea…
07-20 14:04:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	112	79¢	$88	0xacd32e…
07-20 14:00:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x3c37eb…
07-20 08:58:34	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	350	69¢	$241	0x9bbaac…
07-19 06:57:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	67	52¢	$35	0xd84cbd…
07-19 04:16:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xce45b4…
07-19 04:05:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	164	52¢	$85	0x9873d6…
07-18 08:24:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf46d8f…
07-18 08:23:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x78bc78…
07-17 20:16:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	145	18¢	$26	0x43eb4a…
07-17 16:15:57	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	29	81¢	$23	0x13c029…
07-17 16:03:48	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x13cac6…
07-17 16:03:24	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x5b0cfc…
07-17 16:00:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd0d9f7…
07-17 16:00:55	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x74b160…
07-17 15:11:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0x2dea6c…
07-17 15:10:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	165	18¢	$30	0x5d30a7…
07-17 15:10:46	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xf31061…
07-17 15:10:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	482	18¢	$87	0x15b722…
07-17 13:07:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	69	18¢	$12	0xf4b892…
07-17 12:00:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x3c216e…
07-16 20:49:07	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd77f85…
07-15 20:39:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xad7c1c…
07-15 17:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	1,490	10¢	$149	0x87c625…
07-15 17:36:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	225	83¢	$187	0x73a25e…
07-15 16:23:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0x4290bf…
07-15 13:18:28	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x17b4b8…
07-14 22:01:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf41917…
07-14 21:24:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x094b34…
07-14 20:32:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x09a588…
07-14 19:09:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x095bd0…
07-14 19:03:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	60	44¢	$27	0x7540c1…
07-14 16:08:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	150	28¢	$41	0x5cf0fe…
07-14 16:07:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x7be567…
07-12 05:09:43	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x68560c…
07-11 22:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6e6e5e…
07-11 22:12:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	495	19¢	$94	0x72c5c8…
07-11 22:12:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcdcb48…
07-11 22:11:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xfb8abc…
07-11 07:48:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x41ee8d…
07-11 07:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0x242a4c…
07-10 21:05:50	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x56d83b…
07-10 21:05:40	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x41c5d9…
07-10 20:39:43	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x9c7129…
07-10 20:39:19	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdd9163…
07-10 20:39:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf7243e…
07-10 20:39:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xd949f8…
07-10 19:09:40	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf27440…
07-10 19:09:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x838bb4…
07-10 09:30:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	157	90¢	$141	0xbf7bbb…
07-10 07:10:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x8a974a…
07-09 22:46:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	31	90¢	$27	0x8324b3…
07-09 22:41:05	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x5f04f4…
07-09 22:03:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x557055…
07-09 01:39:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	74	19¢	$14	0x29d86b…
07-09 01:17:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0x108349…
07-09 01:16:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xaaf490…
07-09 01:16:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x32f7ca…
07-09 01:12:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x62943f…
07-09 00:49:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x3f4591…
07-09 00:12:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x0cf68c…
07-08 21:54:11	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	154	23¢	$35	0x757c64…
07-08 21:17:40	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x3474ee…
07-08 21:17:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x15a5ce…
07-08 20:04:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x5fa609…
07-08 19:58:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x86c700…
07-08 19:54:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x8fccac…
07-08 19:54:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x425b47…
07-08 19:53:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	107	18¢	$19	0xe6b50f…
07-08 19:19:35	cs2 imp11 isg 2026 07 08	Isurus	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xf74134…
07-08 18:14:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf93314…
07-08 16:32:20	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0xf76cf0…
07-08 15:42:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0xcf6f54…
07-08 15:40:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	106	85¢	$91	0x048b10…
07-08 15:27:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x55ea61…
07-08 13:07:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0xa1b30f…
07-08 12:11:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xce283c…
07-08 12:09:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x52d35e…
07-06 21:11:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5a823f…
07-06 21:09:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	280	80¢	$224	0xb474cf…
07-06 20:55:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	74	33¢	$25	0xafafc9…
07-06 20:55:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x63b607…
07-06 20:55:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x591364…
07-06 20:55:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x24628d…
07-06 20:55:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x17f1a7…
07-06 18:56:22	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0xf18a8e…
07-06 18:55:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	155	34¢	$53	0x0b69be…
07-03 09:01:37	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x0228bd…
07-03 07:41:01	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x879107…
07-03 06:25:55	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5b819e…
07-02 20:59:32	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xbaf720…
07-02 20:29:16	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x1d507a…
07-02 18:06:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x089b82…
07-02 18:02:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x7915da…
07-02 15:35:08	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xdd75ac…
07-02 15:14:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	226	38¢	$86	0xdded6a…
07-02 15:08:40	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xfaa989…
07-02 15:08:38	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x779de7…
07-02 15:08:38	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x113145…