Taut-Therapy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

346

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-20 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 38% +$157

Other

35% 24% +$15

Sports

17% 27% -$14

Politics

2% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+476	$10	1¢	$7	-$3	10-20 13:06
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes		+43	$10	4¢	$2	-$8	05-16 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$176	167	167	+0	Yes	+$157	06-13 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC	2	$126	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	03-06 22:35
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	7	$109	132	132	+0	Yes	-$1	09-15 10:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:05 UTC	1	$93	95	0	+95	Down	+$2	03-04 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:35 UTC	1	$89	122	0	+122	Up	+$33	03-20 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:40 UTC	1	$81	94	0	+94	Down	+$13	03-18 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:05 UTC	1	$80	90	0	+90	Down	+$10	02-15 00:09
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	2	$79	235	235	+0	open	—	06-02 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:10 UTC	2	$69	37	37	+0	Down	+$5	03-08 04:15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$62	134	62	+71	No	+$42	07-07 17:49
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$53	43	43	+0	Yes	+$33	06-15 21:26
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$50	104	0	+104	No	-$50	06-14 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:55 UTC	1	$50	77	0	+77	Down	+$27	03-04 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:50 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	02-15 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:15 UTC	3	$47	61	43	+18	Up	+$25	03-08 04:19
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	2	$44	34	34	+0	Yes	+$24	06-18 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:25 UTC	1	$41	64	0	+64	Up	+$23	03-09 00:26
Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	5	$36	49	49	+0	No	-$7	08-17 17:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	1	$35	58	0	+58	Up	-$35	02-07 20:27
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	3	$34	45	20	+25	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$13	03-26 17:26
Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	13	$33	325	60	+265	Yes	-$23	08-17 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:05 UTC	2	$33	23	23	+0	Up	+$13	03-08 04:12
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-09-07?	2	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$23	09-07 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:25 UTC	1	$31	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	03-06 22:29
Titans vs. Colts	1	$30	41	0	+41	Titans	-$30	10-18 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:50 UTC	4	$30	49	0	+49	Up	-$14	03-02 19:54
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	2	$30	37	37	+0	Under	-$10	06-22 22:52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$29	24	24	+0	Yes	+$19	07-05 22:14
will lauren boebert resign by october 31 2026	4	$26	90	90	+0	No	-$7	09-20 00:58
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$6	06-25 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 13:07:29	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x18de6f…
10-20 13:06:23	Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0xa6224c…
10-20 13:06:05	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x39baac…
10-18 16:59:57	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x07b1a3…
09-20 00:58:37	will lauren boebert resign by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$9	0x638d4d…
09-20 00:56:43	will lauren boebert resign by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x304ccc…
09-20 00:45:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x3d4af7…
09-20 00:39:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x79526e…
09-15 10:17:13	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x02eac7…
09-15 10:16:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x9c4ed6…
09-15 10:11:43	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0d4ff9…
09-15 10:11:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x71571d…
09-15 10:09:03	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0x751767…
09-15 10:05:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x82dc39…
09-15 09:59:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x86a6a8…
09-07 19:24:54	Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xfae6ed…
09-07 18:05:40	Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb565b1…
09-07 18:04:25	Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Atlanta Braves	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc2a8d1…
08-17 19:13:45	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9f798a…
08-17 19:11:09	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcec89b…
08-17 19:11:09	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4505e9…
08-17 19:01:43	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x9766fb…
08-17 17:53:12	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9a1fb4…
08-17 17:53:01	Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x1bdb85…
08-17 17:10:13	Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xf6b7a7…
08-17 16:22:24	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x197fae…
08-17 15:34:28	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7507e7…
08-17 15:34:16	Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x657b31…
08-17 15:29:54	Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5b48fd…
08-17 15:14:07	Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x993a22…
08-17 15:10:18	Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x48d624…
08-09 02:35:03	mlb tb sea 2026 08 08	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb6f903…
08-08 23:54:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x128dcc…
08-08 23:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x296296…
08-07 19:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb385b9…
08-07 17:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x62d238…
08-07 16:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc051a5…
07-11 20:47:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc5601f…
07-10 18:13:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2b898d…
07-10 18:13:01	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbb5f5e…
07-09 21:16:38	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x583fef…
07-09 21:16:29	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x2faa44…
07-07 17:49:14	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4d3d2b…
07-07 17:37:16	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	62	83¢	$52	0xeb0ba9…
07-07 15:06:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6dfb06…
07-07 15:06:44	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1a85d3…
07-06 22:15:40	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xcdc93b…
07-06 22:13:49	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x688f38…
07-05 22:14:58	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa9b05e…
07-05 02:29:44	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc1ee6d…
07-04 21:08:17	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1838c7…
07-04 18:39:08	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xda851f…
07-04 17:16:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbe9be8…
07-04 00:07:40	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfaa283…
07-03 23:27:44	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x00ef32…
07-03 23:27:32	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x90cdab…
07-03 13:52:29	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xa8f493…
07-02 11:19:55	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xf545d9…
07-02 11:19:46	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x73ae7e…
07-02 11:19:34	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7cd2e0…
07-01 13:05:10	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x76ea72…
07-01 00:36:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x2099ac…
06-28 03:41:55	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xcebd77…
06-28 03:41:41	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x821b95…
06-28 03:41:31	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4e5e09…
06-27 21:54:38	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x07e6ac…
06-27 21:54:11	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xdd7b62…
06-27 20:24:41	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xac3cef…
06-27 20:24:31	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcbf562…
06-27 20:24:22	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x450ec5…
06-27 20:24:05	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xab8a4a…
06-27 04:22:35	Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfb6993…
06-27 04:20:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd7ac84…
06-27 04:20:14	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9677fe…
06-27 03:09:07	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x310d10…
06-26 03:52:13	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0xddbb8c…
06-25 12:28:53	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x688b3c…
06-25 12:28:43	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x868726…
06-25 12:28:34	Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6a35fa…
06-25 12:28:16	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcf76eb…
06-25 12:28:05	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x2e8915…
06-25 12:27:56	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfab102…
06-25 12:27:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x7b214e…
06-24 23:43:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9ef8be…
06-24 23:41:56	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbef17c…
06-23 22:27:08	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x63f0e1…
06-23 19:47:11	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x36d304…
06-23 16:15:23	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0a8622…
06-23 16:15:10	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd38786…
06-23 01:14:23	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x6bab25…
06-22 22:52:35	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x1a8051…
06-22 21:26:52	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc8e1db…
06-22 18:22:31	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe211a1…
06-22 01:36:07	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0x25cbc6…
06-22 01:07:55	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x123f0a…
06-22 01:06:58	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x75135c…
06-21 22:53:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x295e5c…
06-21 22:50:50	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5576d1…
06-21 22:49:56	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4c1f52…
06-21 17:26:43	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	Spain	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3033a8…