Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 09-17 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

79% 50% -$3

Politics

15% 44% -$4

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	2	$3	7	+7	cancelled	$0	07-31 21:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-01 22:37
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-17 19:23
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-23 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-17 11:22
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-09 22:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-01 16:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 03:48
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-09 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-20 02:58
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-05 04:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 17:14
will trump say communist or communism during remarks in new york 20260811183234688	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-13 01:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 11:09
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-07 21:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-04 20:10
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-14 13:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-06 21:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 20:07
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-08 13:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-01 13:40
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-29 04:19
will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-05 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-04 04:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-08 05:34
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 11:07
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-28 18:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-08 21:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-07 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 19:23:18	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x324c3d…
09-17 11:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x137d10…
09-09 22:45:43	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb8d65e…
09-02 07:01:51	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5d57ca…
09-01 22:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0992ce…
09-01 13:40:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbe8459…
08-29 04:19:28	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0eef6e…
08-28 18:31:28	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2a7353…
08-23 19:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb861fb…
08-22 22:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xae26eb…
08-20 11:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcea755…
08-20 02:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5a70e2…
08-19 05:48:24	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0368d2…
08-16 08:21:39	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd7edaf…
08-15 10:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x72c30b…
08-14 13:29:40	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5782d9…
08-13 17:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb57453…
08-13 09:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x95e346…
08-13 01:04:57	will trump say communist or communism during remarks in new york 20260811183234688	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x049293…
08-12 05:01:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd617e4…
08-09 16:18:51	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x69ed79…
08-09 08:10:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc523a9…
08-08 21:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x94f3dc…
08-08 13:35:01	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8323e1…
08-08 05:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x14ce24…
08-07 21:34:01	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xace389…
08-07 13:27:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x212757…
08-07 05:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd517bb…
08-06 21:25:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0d5d40…
08-06 13:01:23	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x95541e…
08-06 05:00:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfb7183…
08-05 20:14:57	will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x004be2…
08-05 12:13:02	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x31deac…
08-05 04:11:08	Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3b7a34…
08-04 20:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x658784…
08-04 12:09:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xed074c…
08-04 04:08:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8e34c9…
08-03 20:07:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb1883d…
08-03 11:48:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xeb7cc0…
08-03 03:48:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf4fd10…
08-02 19:45:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3889a6…
08-02 11:07:51	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe6840f…
08-02 00:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2a1f83…
08-01 16:26:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb74514…
08-01 05:18:51	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x36ffc1…
07-31 21:18:26	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xdb7a44…
07-31 13:14:42	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x62a9ed…
07-31 13:07:05	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x74267f…
07-30 06:28:48	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa04d04…
07-29 17:04:36	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x37c313…
07-29 06:00:06	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbd1db7…
07-28 19:47:17	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4ca47e…
07-28 06:38:48	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4f4296…
07-27 18:17:43	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x119fec…
07-27 07:17:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x98c772…