Discrete-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

5,790 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$592

$56.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-13 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$2,737

Other

0% 17% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$491	466	466	+0	Down	+$91	04-28 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:25 UTC	2	$414	334	317	+17	Up	+$231	04-22 15:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:30 UTC	4	$337	239	233	+6	Up	+$44	04-24 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$330	508	508	+0	Down	-$70	04-28 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:55 UTC	4	$317	244	244	+0	Down	+$97	04-23 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC	3	$297	272	160	+112	Down	-$88	04-23 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:05 UTC	2	$294	203	196	+7	Up	+$101	04-22 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:55 UTC	4	$292	288	279	+9	Up	-$25	04-23 10:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:20 UTC	4	$271	207	200	+6	Up	+$34	04-24 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:35 UTC	4	$250	169	167	+3	Down	-$16	04-14 22:40
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:15 UTC	4	$243	163	160	+3	Down	+$6	04-24 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	2	$242	174	168	+7	Up	+$93	04-22 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:40 UTC	2	$240	184	176	+8	Down	+$106	04-22 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$237	160	160	+0	Up	+$77	04-28 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$232	250	250	+0	Down	+$32	04-28 17:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:20 UTC	2	$225	129	126	+2	Up	+$27	04-24 04:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:45 UTC	2	$223	126	124	+2	Up	+$25	04-24 04:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:10 UTC	2	$220	123	122	+2	Down	+$22	04-24 05:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:30 UTC	2	$215	117	116	+1	Up	+$16	04-24 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:45 UTC	2	$214	267	255	+12	Up	+$14	04-22 14:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:10 UTC	5	$213	127	124	+3	Up	+$9	04-24 09:15
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$211	121	120	+2	Down	+$13	04-28 05:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:50 UTC	2	$210	112	111	+1	Down	+$11	04-24 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$207	200	200	+0	Down	+$7	04-28 16:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:25 UTC	2	$206	109	109	+1	Down	+$7	04-24 04:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:30 UTC	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	04-24 05:35
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$200	250	0	+250	Up	+$50	04-28 06:05
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$200	235	0	+235	Down	-$200	04-28 06:51
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$200	234	0	+234	Up	+$34	04-28 01:07
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$200	203	0	+203	Up	+$3	04-28 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 05:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x4177f7…
10-13 05:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xaa4497…
10-13 05:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x9ebe5b…
10-13 05:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x5e116c…
10-13 05:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3d3775…
10-13 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x14dc95…
10-13 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa3ae5f…
10-13 05:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x4b6c79…
10-13 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc01c03…
10-13 05:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x453d06…
10-13 05:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa9b7eb…
10-13 04:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	77	27¢	$21	0x56c8e7…
10-13 04:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x21359c…
10-13 04:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x451638…
10-13 04:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xabd430…
10-13 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdcd400…
10-13 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x616c40…
10-13 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xd1c10e…
10-13 04:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x097e54…
10-13 04:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xae3ffe…
10-13 04:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb6552a…
10-13 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xafb641…
10-13 04:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x713e5c…
10-13 04:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1c4e0b…
10-13 04:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5d7546…
10-13 04:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc53522…
10-13 04:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe5b8f2…
10-13 04:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xd9c5ba…
10-13 04:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc5e37…
10-13 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xe99309…
10-13 04:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1a8b16…
10-13 04:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc5d6e3…
10-13 03:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x729a2d…
10-13 03:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x96a6f1…
10-13 03:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c61a0…
10-13 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x886217…
10-13 03:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xae2e61…
10-13 03:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbba931…
10-13 02:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1d1424…
10-13 02:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xba892a…
10-13 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x57c5b6…
10-13 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0818c5…
10-13 02:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa78272…
10-13 02:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ee80c…
10-13 02:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf03a58…
10-13 02:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x7f582e…
10-13 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x157678…
10-13 02:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x148656…
10-13 02:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1907bd…
10-13 02:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x19f2e5…
10-13 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x431c7d…
10-13 02:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa60ce…
10-13 02:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x957aa8…
10-13 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x42cf2b…
10-13 01:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xbbcfe3…
10-13 01:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1fa838…
10-13 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5a0439…
10-13 01:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x31abc2…
10-13 01:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1b0da6…
10-13 01:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x65c41f…
10-13 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x43279f…
10-13 01:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xa54768…
10-13 01:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xeaeb05…
10-13 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5dadbc…
10-13 00:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x2e7155…
10-13 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb41b89…
10-13 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x8f253a…
10-13 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa09d8e…
10-13 00:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x4d1784…
10-13 00:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xca1209…
10-13 00:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x2d6c6f…
10-13 00:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6f84e7…
10-13 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xea3db8…
10-13 00:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf452fb…
10-13 00:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x58e66b…
10-13 00:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x51994f…
10-12 23:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x6ffe2d…
10-12 23:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6a4db8…
09-30 11:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0x9def9c…
09-30 11:52:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x47f86d…
09-30 11:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	21	64¢	$14	0xca46ec…
09-30 11:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7a4260…
09-30 11:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x258650…
09-30 11:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0x5c5eb5…
09-30 11:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	47	58¢	$27	0x8f41fe…
09-30 11:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0xe844f4…
09-30 11:12:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xeaa6c9…
09-30 11:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x867153…
09-30 11:09:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x2ce4f9…
09-30 11:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x2fd036…
09-30 11:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x0c11fa…
09-30 11:03:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xca4ced…
09-30 10:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xa7292c…
09-30 10:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x129a0f…
09-30 10:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x494f82…
09-30 10:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5d00d0…
09-30 10:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x8934d1…
09-30 10:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x549733…
09-30 10:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xf7cfe6…
09-30 10:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x01d0ed…