Watchful-Tailbud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$205

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

474

Trades

50,015

lifetime

Volume

$281.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 52% +$220

Sports

20% 0% $-15

Other

7% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 2775 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		+1,000	$60	4¢	$38	$-22	06-06 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	16	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	05-22 15:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.8K	3,638	0	+3,638	open	—	05-27 03:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$1.8K	3,750	0	+3,750	open	—	05-15 19:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$999	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-15 05:33
bitcoin up or down february 24 5pm et	9	$590	615	0	+615	open	—	02-24 22:59
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	17	$547	600	0	+600	open	—	02-20 21:04
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	8	$496	917	0	+917	open	—	02-09 01:10
bitcoin up or down february 24 4pm et	113	$439	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	02-24 21:44
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	12	$433	860	0	+860	open	—	02-08 22:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	5	$430	800	0	+800	open	—	05-18 00:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	64	$405	766	0	+766	open	—	05-29 22:13
nba atl ind 2026 01 31	13	$401	774	0	+774	open	—	02-01 02:08
nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	13	$387	110	290	-180	open	—	04-08 11:42
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	7	$377	573	0	+573	open	—	03-01 00:06
nba okc den 2026 02 01	11	$376	641	0	+641	open	—	02-02 03:43
nba gsw nop 2026 02 24	20	$356	700	0	+700	open	—	02-25 02:41
cbb chist mrcy 2026 01 25 total 129pt5	33	$347	800	0	+800	open	—	01-25 20:55
nhl utah fla 2026 01 27 total 6pt5	14	$343	701	0	+701	open	—	01-28 02:39
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?	10	$336	600	0	+600	open	—	05-23 02:57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	25	$330	900	0	+900	open	—	02-24 02:18
bitcoin up or down march 13 3pm et	132	$324	587	36	+551	open	—	03-13 19:56
nhl sj mon 2026 03 14	10	$311	600	0	+600	open	—	03-15 01:15
nba mem det 2026 03 13 spread home 16pt5	9	$307	600	0	+600	open	—	03-13 23:24
cbb usc wisc 2026 01 25 total 158pt5	9	$305	689	0	+689	open	—	01-25 22:05
nba hou den 2026 03 11	10	$304	600	0	+600	open	—	03-12 01:13
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	9	$304	445	0	+445	open	—	01-28 18:59
nhl phi tor 2026 03 02	12	$304	600	0	+600	open	—	03-03 02:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	1	$295	300	0	+300	open	—	05-22 19:31
nba was nop 2026 03 08 spread home 11pt5	4	$293	580	0	+580	open	—	03-08 22:45
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10 spread home 11pt5	10	$293	591	0	+591	open	—	02-11 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 01:34:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xafeb08…
05-31 19:36:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x18ff99…
05-31 18:06:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xfebcf1…
05-31 16:13:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf69e71…
05-31 15:53:08	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8713ee…
05-31 15:51:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x60d6d8…
05-31 15:41:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x138df5…
05-31 14:59:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xa90242…
05-31 14:14:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3418b4…
05-31 14:14:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x0a05de…
05-31 13:53:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x9acc60…
05-31 13:04:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xac1252…
05-31 11:43:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x982834…
05-31 10:58:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x74e248…
05-31 10:49:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xaee19d…
05-31 09:58:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x73c223…
05-31 09:58:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x32f9e9…
05-31 09:52:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x318524…
05-31 08:55:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc66d0a…
05-30 20:46:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x1c1e4a…
05-30 19:41:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf237db…
05-30 19:39:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xaac64b…
05-30 19:04:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7d5edc…
05-30 17:36:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x023b78…
05-30 16:20:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x36e98b…
05-30 16:05:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3f1085…
05-30 16:00:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xe20af2…
05-30 14:56:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xce0327…
05-30 14:42:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7a8c38…
05-30 14:35:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x2a9fbf…
05-30 14:12:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x2e09ac…
05-30 14:03:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xad5f2e…
05-30 12:34:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xac4b3c…
05-30 12:34:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x6fb8a3…
05-30 08:47:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x6c025f…
05-30 08:33:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4d2a39…
05-29 22:13:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x902aad…
05-29 21:34:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xafd3aa…
05-29 21:22:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x4780c9…
05-29 21:05:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xc30054…
05-29 21:05:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x65edc2…
05-29 20:05:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc3830e…
05-29 19:33:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x29e952…
05-29 18:29:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x6224dd…
05-29 18:23:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x203967…
05-29 18:22:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xd42947…
05-29 18:19:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x84a323…
05-29 18:15:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x061493…
05-29 18:14:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x8043b6…
05-29 18:14:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x0ed0f2…
05-29 18:10:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1ad65e…
05-29 18:08:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x48637a…
05-29 18:07:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xfde9a1…
05-29 17:51:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x979161…
05-29 17:40:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xef298d…
05-29 17:32:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xff1029…
05-29 17:14:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x4cb009…
05-29 17:04:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x1728e0…
05-29 17:03:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x6d559c…
05-29 16:51:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xaff813…
05-29 16:33:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xa7df9e…
05-29 16:32:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x45bafc…
05-29 16:32:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x2abb1f…
05-29 16:32:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x90e290…
05-29 16:31:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x85b12e…
05-29 16:31:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x9a6efa…
05-29 15:54:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb260b1…
05-29 15:35:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xa0ba7a…
05-29 15:35:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xb5837f…
05-29 15:34:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x18dd59…
05-29 15:34:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x4451f3…
05-29 15:33:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7edd22…
05-29 15:32:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xc0d478…
05-29 15:32:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x35e4cd…
05-29 15:32:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xbb5724…
05-29 15:31:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x8e4924…
05-29 15:30:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x601fab…
05-29 15:30:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5574a5…
05-29 15:30:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x27e72f…
05-29 15:28:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xac1023…
05-29 15:18:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xbcc216…
05-29 15:16:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0b79c5…
05-29 15:15:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x341067…
05-29 14:51:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xe4ddda…
05-29 14:26:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x847cb4…
05-29 13:37:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x68a9ec…
05-29 13:35:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xdf3b88…
05-29 13:32:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf39b6f…
05-29 11:05:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x926710…
05-29 11:05:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x7fbdbb…
05-29 11:04:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc01ec1…
05-29 11:03:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7527cf…
05-29 10:17:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x1d2c90…
05-29 09:42:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8f404f…
05-29 09:33:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2aa5ba…
05-29 09:29:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xea5dc8…
05-29 09:25:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x79391f…
05-29 09:24:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x6506a4…
05-29 09:24:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x506e44…
05-29 09:11:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5c8fce…