Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
-$146
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
55
Trades
418
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
70% 97% +$57
Sports
18% 100% +$85
Politics
11% 82% -$60
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,718 $2,904 69¢ $2.6K -$322 10-26 22:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,391 $2,215 96¢ $2.3K +$68 10-26 22:08
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,022 $1,021 100¢ $1.0K +$0 10-26 18:43
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +994 $991 100¢ $992 +$0 10-26 21:52
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,856 $806 33¢ $935 +$129 10-26 22:16
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +673 $645 96¢ $644 -$1 10-22 03:46
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +368 $367 100¢ $367 +$0 10-26 14:14
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +280 $265 92¢ $257 -$8 10-23 02:36
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +230 $222 96¢ $221 -$1 10-26 03:33
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +160 $155 97¢ $156 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +145 $137 98¢ $143 +$5 10-23 15:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +133 $133 100¢ $133 $0 10-25 22:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +118 $113 94¢ $110 -$3 10-26 10:26
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +117 $111 94¢ $109 -$1 10-24 00:33
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 10-26 14:24
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $55 90¢ $55 $0 10-21 03:12
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 10-21 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +53 $45 91¢ $49 +$3 10-22 15:23
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +47 $46 100¢ $47 +$1 10-26 13:03
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $28 98¢ $29 +$0 10-22 06:04
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $28 97¢ $28 $0 10-25 21:08
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +18 $17 92¢ $17 $0 10-16 22:57
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +34 $31 44¢ $15 -$15 10-22 09:30
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $14 82¢ $15 +$0 10-21 00:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +17 $12 65¢ $11 -$2 10-08 12:02
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +8 $7 82¢ $7 -$1 10-17 08:51
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +8 $5 67¢ $5 +$0 10-20 18:13