Yellowish-Harvester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-24 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-21

Other

45% — —

Crypto

6% 67% +$16

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	9	$417	543	543	+0	open	—	03-17 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$157	105	106	-1	open	—	04-22 04:25
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	5	$144	166	164	+2	open	—	03-18 12:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$135	144	136	+8	open	—	05-17 18:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$101	65	65	+0	open	—	04-17 06:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	04-05 17:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$95	84	84	+0	open	—	05-07 15:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$91	75	75	+0	open	—	03-26 14:26
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$90	94	63	+31	open	—	04-22 14:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$83	175	144	+31	No	$-17	05-05 18:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$78	59	59	+0	open	—	04-15 12:09
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	4	$72	49	49	+1	open	—	04-15 20:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$66	52	52	+0	open	—	04-22 04:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$64	93	74	+19	open	—	03-08 07:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	03-16 04:08
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	6	$60	71	71	+0	open	—	07-20 14:52
will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	3	$58	34	34	+0	open	—	03-15 04:05
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	3	$58	44	44	+0	open	—	03-17 21:37
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	2	$58	125	125	+0	open	—	03-17 21:36
will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	2	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	07-20 14:52
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$53	42	42	+0	open	—	04-18 18:12
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	6	$52	63	62	+1	open	—	04-15 20:24
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$50	36	36	+0	open	—	03-25 13:52
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	3	$42	82	82	+0	open	—	03-24 06:50
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	04-15 02:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	04-15 12:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	04-15 12:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 12:09
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	4	$39	38	38	+0	open	—	07-20 14:52
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 bou	2	$39	69	69	+0	open	—	03-20 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 17:54:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x326738…
07-20 14:52:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x396a53…
07-20 14:52:39	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6cb070…
07-20 14:52:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0xd00be2…
07-20 14:52:25	will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0x8d5e24…
07-18 09:22:22	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdee699…
07-18 09:21:12	will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x7dc62c…
07-17 17:45:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe9ef91…
07-17 17:45:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe07762…
07-16 02:24:49	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x24a789…
07-14 16:00:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0xf1bd7a…
07-13 18:26:29	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa9ecb1…
07-13 18:17:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x51cd54…
07-13 17:20:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xf71518…
07-13 17:20:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x5b688f…
07-13 17:20:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 16 2026	No	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x697cbf…
07-13 17:20:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xe8e82d…
07-13 17:20:04	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x90db2d…
07-13 17:20:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x7037ba…
07-12 17:28:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2e7c73…
07-12 17:28:20	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8d0325…
07-12 02:40:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x816a0f…
07-12 02:39:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	83	10¢	$8	0x365058…
07-12 02:34:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x3d3d5d…
07-12 02:34:05	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	53	23¢	$12	0x7d8f48…
07-12 02:33:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xbfd2fe…
07-11 14:28:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x774b45…
07-11 14:19:59	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x396e12…
07-11 14:19:47	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 16 2026	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3a2b69…
07-11 14:19:11	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x732838…
07-11 14:11:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc41d1e…
07-10 14:29:35	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5c1e1a…
07-10 14:19:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8d489d…
07-10 14:19:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe4a9f1…
07-10 14:16:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe45f80…
07-10 12:56:29	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x03745d…
07-10 12:56:26	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7e33a8…
06-20 13:19:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5b5d26…
06-20 13:19:19	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd922cc…
06-19 10:42:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x25ff7b…
06-19 10:42:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfdd85d…
06-19 03:24:50	Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x94d05d…
06-19 03:24:44	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x853b85…
06-19 03:24:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xb4ee28…
06-08 02:54:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x72561e…
06-08 02:54:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8dd5e9…
06-07 19:06:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc1c698…
06-07 19:06:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x3b2949…
05-26 15:46:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x33620c…
05-26 02:51:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xaab300…
05-25 18:43:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc5d0c7…
05-18 18:17:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1c91e8…
05-17 18:50:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd6ee88…
05-17 18:48:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xa11698…
05-15 10:50:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x849eac…
05-14 17:52:04	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9a014e…
05-14 17:51:50	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x231733…
05-14 15:57:49	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x695afa…
05-14 15:57:34	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5a19b5…
05-14 15:57:27	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x14364c…
05-14 02:42:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x2f9f96…
05-11 17:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf722fd…
05-11 17:27:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3ae626…
05-11 17:26:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xc7aa3d…
05-11 17:26:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xc3ba5e…
05-11 17:26:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0x6ca971…
05-11 15:42:47	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$4	0x312b9a…
05-09 17:31:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdb8fff…
05-09 17:30:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x011ad8…
05-09 17:28:23	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9d7124…
05-09 17:24:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x103b4f…
05-07 15:59:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x8d15d2…
05-07 15:59:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x1ecb8c…
05-07 15:59:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xee8d33…
05-06 15:38:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcbd49b…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0e3e31…
05-06 15:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xac0fd4…
05-06 14:59:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcb8305…
05-06 14:59:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xb56c9f…
05-05 18:54:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2917a6…
05-05 18:50:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x090d69…
05-05 15:32:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xfe8208…
05-05 15:31:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$19	0x8c4d89…
05-04 17:22:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x77fa49…
05-04 17:21:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xaee087…
05-04 17:20:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	64¢	$27	0x1476a6…
05-04 17:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	38	36¢	$14	0x03335c…
05-02 18:03:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xfb60f8…
05-02 18:01:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xde61bc…
04-29 15:17:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x68944f…
04-29 15:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0xfc09cb…
04-26 17:07:38	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbbd5c8…
04-26 17:07:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x3ca2d5…
04-26 17:07:22	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x01dd91…
04-25 09:14:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x925c54…
04-25 09:14:14	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	36	32¢	$11	0xdf1c75…
04-23 19:11:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x89a15c…
04-23 19:08:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3fb8cf…
04-23 18:41:38	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x4e9db2…
04-23 18:07:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$14	0x556a14…