Reckless-Horseradish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$505

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-25 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

96% 82% +$23

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$89	100	0	+100	No	-$89	06-02 03:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	06-25 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	0	+100	Yes	+$54	05-25 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	Yes	+$57	06-04 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	06-04 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	05-25 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$24	100	0	+100	No	-$24	06-25 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	06-25 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	05-25 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	-$11	06-04 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$7	100	0	+100	Yes	+$93	06-02 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:49
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:45
nflx above 100 on june 5 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:37
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:53
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:43
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 02:03
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-01 01:34
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-19 00:42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-19 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe16332…
06-25 07:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x63b526…
06-25 07:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x07c213…
06-04 04:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x956e53…
06-04 04:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xbe9c1c…
06-04 04:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x4e283c…
06-02 03:33:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x99b3bc…
06-02 03:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf0be32…
06-01 02:24:37	nflx above 100 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc3fec3…
06-01 02:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1e8e0b…
06-01 02:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58b3d6…
06-01 01:37:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2698ca…
06-01 01:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce48ad…
05-25 07:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x183906…
05-25 02:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd62b95…
05-25 02:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x8b93a3…
05-25 02:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x668efe…
05-19 01:04:51	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x32323e…
05-19 01:03:39	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x06fcdc…
05-19 00:53:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd645a2…
05-19 00:43:06	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x19646a…
05-19 00:42:11	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7aa77…
05-19 00:40:46	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa26c1c…
05-19 00:39:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf20350…
05-19 00:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf882ff…
05-10 02:45:27	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe7431d…
05-10 02:44:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xacac7e…
05-10 02:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4565c3…
05-10 02:43:28	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfbe4bf…
05-10 02:42:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xdd539d…
05-10 02:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7752c1…
05-10 02:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2cff17…
05-10 02:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc5e71…
05-07 02:08:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc674a…
05-07 02:08:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe4d967…
05-07 02:03:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x549426…
05-07 02:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x844190…
05-07 01:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x88cb1d…
05-07 01:54:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa927e2…
05-07 01:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4557c7…
05-07 01:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa91ec6…
05-07 01:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x75380b…
05-07 01:49:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa112b3…
05-07 01:49:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf77ee8…
04-30 00:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb2aae4…
04-30 00:45:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdedd6d…
04-30 00:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x727c34…
04-30 00:43:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdae83f…
04-30 00:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8d7e45…
04-30 00:42:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c4250…
04-30 00:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd01e89…
04-30 00:40:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x59bccb…
04-30 00:40:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x955604…