Twin-Panic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-10 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$23

Other

41% 0% $-11

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike turkey in march	3	$1.3K	1,363	0	+1,363	open	—	03-26 20:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	05-10 05:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$985	497	497	+0	open	—	04-14 07:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$790	868	0	+868	open	—	04-14 07:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$768	791	0	+791	No	+$23	05-02 10:52
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$652	632	127	+505	open	—	04-23 08:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$607	370	370	+0	open	—	05-10 05:09
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$600	687	0	+687	open	—	04-04 10:14
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$523	286	286	+0	Yes	$-11	04-18 15:23
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$503	256	256	+0	open	—	04-15 18:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$502	303	303	+0	open	—	04-14 07:16
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$488	289	289	+0	open	—	04-12 22:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$415	215	215	+0	open	—	04-15 17:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$406	240	240	+0	open	—	05-10 05:09
will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	2	$403	204	204	+0	open	—	04-12 22:26
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	1	$246	0	249	-249	open	—	04-14 07:32
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	2	$206	108	108	+0	open	—	04-23 08:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$172	189	0	+189	open	—	04-05 17:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$102	941	101	+840	open	—	04-09 08:25
btc updown 5m 1773664800	5	$11	11	5	+7	open	—	03-16 12:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$10	59	58	+1	open	—	04-05 05:44
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-21 09:26
btc updown 5m 1773664200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 12:35
btc updown 5m 1773663900	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 12:31
btc updown 5m 1773665700	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-16 12:59
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	1	$0	0	185	-185	open	—	04-12 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 05:10:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	645	95¢	$613	0xd77a64…
05-10 05:09:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	240	86¢	$206	0x988063…
05-10 05:09:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	370	83¢	$307	0x19c002…
05-07 09:37:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0x7428b7…
05-07 09:30:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xe982cf…
05-02 10:52:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$209	0xae3257…
05-02 10:46:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	576	97¢	$559	0xaf004f…
05-02 10:33:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	645	93¢	$600	0x0149ac…
04-23 08:05:42	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x1583bd…
04-23 08:04:36	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0xad10f8…
04-18 15:27:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	272	94¢	$256	0x3d6727…
04-18 15:23:50	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	286	89¢	$256	0x490a8e…
04-15 18:17:42	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	286	93¢	$267	0x588fa7…
04-15 18:17:10	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	256	99¢	$252	0xacf013…
04-15 17:58:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x2e26ae…
04-14 07:42:17	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	256	98¢	$250	0x5fe804…
04-14 07:32:47	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	249	99¢	$246	0xaec35d…
04-14 07:21:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	868	91¢	$790	0x57adb2…
04-14 07:19:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	497	99¢	$493	0xa621dd…
04-14 07:16:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0xbc99ac…
04-12 22:28:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	497	99¢	$492	0x5faa00…
04-12 22:26:59	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0xa0772a…
04-12 22:26:15	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x020060…
04-12 22:24:45	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0x495aad…
04-09 08:25:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	840	0¢	$2	0x688cd1…
04-09 08:25:35	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x4e25d3…
04-09 08:24:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0xb829c0…
04-05 17:38:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xcacce4…
04-05 17:38:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0xbd3979…
04-05 05:44:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xf2607f…
04-04 16:45:03	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	125	71¢	$89	0xa619ad…
04-04 12:40:31	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x8db32d…
04-04 10:14:51	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	474	84¢	$400	0x0e26e1…
04-04 10:07:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb61238…
04-04 10:04:47	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x63c925…
04-04 09:38:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x54f39a…
04-04 09:32:39	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	289	69¢	$200	0x02de27…
04-04 09:23:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xcb8df3…
04-04 09:22:51	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xe7ea49…
04-04 09:20:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x990e45…
04-04 09:16:57	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xac3659…
03-26 20:06:07	will iran strike turkey in march	No	BUY	292	97¢	$283	0xe04dd1…
03-23 17:18:55	will iran strike turkey in march	No	BUY	492	94¢	$463	0x059555…
03-21 11:53:23	will iran strike turkey in march	No	BUY	580	93¢	$541	0xae0f62…
03-21 09:26:21	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0xb4ac39…
03-16 13:09:11	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x532d40…
03-16 12:59:07	btc updown 5m 1773665700	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5da37e…
03-16 12:45:23	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfdac28…
03-16 12:44:39	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x003ef7…
03-16 12:44:09	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0eb188…
03-16 12:42:31	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x19b5c3…
03-16 12:41:37	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0934c2…
03-16 12:35:41	btc updown 5m 1773664200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb17f13…
03-16 12:33:31	btc updown 5m 1773664200	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb45e05…
03-16 12:31:21	btc updown 5m 1773663900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd39c3…
03-16 12:29:21	btc updown 5m 1773663900	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x11a288…