Substantial-Athletics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-08 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

36% 70% +$10

Crypto

35% 71% +$12

Politics

22% 100% +$16

Tech

7% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$328	168	168	+0	No	+$8	05-23 05:01
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$209	106	106	+0	No	+$2	05-24 20:51
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$190	106	106	+0	Yes	-$10	05-29 22:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$153	111	56	+56	No	+$9	05-31 05:13
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$112	73	67	+6	Down	+$8	05-21 05:44
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$107	62	57	+5	Up	+$2	05-21 16:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$102	106	0	+106	Yes	+$4	05-20 20:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 18:00 UTC	3	$102	191	95	+96	Up	-$2	05-28 18:02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$92	54	54	+0	Yes	-$8	05-22 20:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$68	52	52	+0	No	+$8	05-20 20:14
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$63	56	21	+35	Up	-$12	05-22 20:19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$60	34	34	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$0	05-04 17:32
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$55	58	0	+58	Up	+$3	05-21 19:03
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$51	53	0	+53	Up	+$2	05-22 01:48
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	4	$47	26	26	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$3	05-03 19:42
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-24 20:52
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$36	21	21	+0	No	-$4	05-22 20:17
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$35	25	25	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$15	04-28 18:08
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$28	16	16	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$4	05-02 18:03
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$23	13	13	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$3	05-05 18:37
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 19:19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$20	40	0	+40	Rajasthan Royals	+$0	05-24 05:04
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$20	20	10	+10	Down	$0	05-28 02:59
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	Up	-$1	05-28 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$13	8	7	+1	Up	$0	05-21 05:34
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 16:49
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 14:11
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-28 02:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-05 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 21:25 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-16 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 04:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23c7ad…
07-08 04:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83a46b…
06-19 17:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4299e0…
06-19 17:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3148d…
06-16 21:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f26c9…
06-16 21:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64218e…
06-12 21:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad712c…
06-12 21:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd6be4e…
06-07 18:14:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd46209…
06-07 18:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c8119…
06-07 18:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6792d6…
06-05 22:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a5d35…
06-05 22:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xafd633…
06-02 19:13:18	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x45d702…
06-02 19:13:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07415d…
05-31 05:13:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xea25cb…
05-30 17:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdb47ce…
05-29 22:57:39	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	106	85¢	$90	0x6f9f15…
05-29 18:37:06	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x51cda9…
05-29 18:28:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x184f73…
05-29 18:28:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x02991b…
05-29 18:25:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbeca7a…
05-28 18:02:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xa02e2e…
05-28 17:58:56	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xab1506…
05-28 17:58:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x982e75…
05-28 17:58:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x89e17b…
05-28 17:58:02	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0bfb1d…
05-28 17:56:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x67237b…
05-28 17:56:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xcb8203…
05-28 02:59:21	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd1fe4…
05-28 02:58:21	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc70c8d…
05-28 02:48:14	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86e1d1…
05-28 02:48:11	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x615b27…
05-28 02:47:53	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3e5fd5…
05-28 02:47:29	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ffaa2…
05-24 20:52:08	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x130347…
05-24 20:51:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x265894…
05-24 05:04:03	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Mumbai Indians	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbec1c9…
05-24 05:03:56	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa2a82c…
05-23 20:00:16	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7fdf7a…
05-23 20:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c3d19…
05-23 07:26:02	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x616727…
05-23 07:25:57	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa08988…
05-23 05:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c652d…
05-23 05:30:27	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66b93d…
05-23 05:01:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x5bbac2…
05-22 20:19:26	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x73b9b6…
05-22 20:18:41	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x621fae…
05-22 20:18:20	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6ad0a…
05-22 20:17:59	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	54	78¢	$42	0xb29fc6…
05-22 20:17:43	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x62b747…
05-22 01:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x6a45ca…
05-22 01:46:59	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xac2ef4…
05-21 20:09:41	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3370d5…
05-21 19:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6a1659…
05-21 19:19:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0d98cb…
05-21 19:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6c51b9…
05-21 19:18:24	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa36d98…
05-21 19:08:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc374fa…
05-21 19:03:14	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x12fa22…
05-21 19:02:02	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x36440f…
05-21 18:57:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec21ea…
05-21 18:55:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3672c9…
05-21 16:54:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf85308…
05-21 16:53:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0x589697…
05-21 16:52:22	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xdbb719…
05-21 16:49:34	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5c07dd…
05-21 16:47:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xba4b82…
05-21 14:12:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7d8a0b…
05-21 14:11:45	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdfd669…
05-21 14:10:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2ab9f2…
05-21 05:44:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a3401…
05-21 05:44:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0x408c28…
05-21 05:42:31	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xfbdba6…
05-21 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x68b1b9…
05-21 05:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42f95d…
05-21 05:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb41b86…
05-21 05:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2556ca…
05-21 05:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8b91b9…
05-21 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5ad2f…
05-21 05:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa3f2cb…
05-21 04:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x16d46b…
05-20 22:05:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2e1833…
05-20 21:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d71b8…
05-20 20:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x937f33…
05-20 20:35:48	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfff82f…
05-20 20:26:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1512a0…
05-20 20:24:29	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x27a805…
05-20 20:24:20	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x98464b…
05-20 20:24:02	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xbb5b7c…
05-20 20:20:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$102	0x017080…
05-20 20:19:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xd154c3…
05-20 20:14:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0x6af5fc…
05-20 20:14:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xecda8c…
05-18 20:23:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd94e5…
05-18 20:23:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc773e1…
05-18 20:21:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc5f338…
05-18 20:21:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x2d4ed5…
05-18 19:16:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc44eac…
05-17 15:19:01	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1a1674…