Substantial-Athletics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-19 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Politics

34% — —

Other

17% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes		+100	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-07 18:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$328	168	168	+0	open	—	05-23 05:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$153	111	56	+56	open	—	05-31 05:13
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$112	73	67	+6	open	—	05-21 05:44
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$107	62	57	+5	open	—	05-21 16:54
xrp updown 5m 1779991200	3	$102	191	95	+96	open	—	05-28 18:02
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$63	56	21	+35	open	—	05-22 20:19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$60	34	34	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$0	05-04 17:32
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$55	58	0	+58	open	—	05-21 19:03
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	05-22 01:48
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	4	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 19:42
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	04-28 18:08
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 18:03
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$23	13	13	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$3	05-05 18:37
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 19:19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-24 05:04
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$20	20	10	+10	open	—	05-28 02:59
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-28 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$13	8	7	+1	open	—	05-21 05:34
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 16:49
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 14:11
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 02:47
btc updown 5m 1781645100	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-16 21:22
btc updown 5m 1780697400	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 22:06
btc updown 5m 1781300400	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-12 21:37
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 05:30
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 20:00
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 07:26
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	06-02 19:13
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 16:31
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-28 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 17:16:28	btc updown 5m 1781889600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4299e0…
06-19 17:16:25	btc updown 5m 1781889600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3148d…
06-16 21:22:04	btc updown 5m 1781645100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f26c9…
06-16 21:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781645100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64218e…
06-12 21:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781300400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad712c…
06-12 21:37:13	btc updown 5m 1781300400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd6be4e…
06-07 18:14:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd46209…
06-07 18:12:39	btc updown 5m 1780856100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c8119…
06-07 18:12:36	btc updown 5m 1780856100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6792d6…
06-05 22:06:12	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a5d35…
06-05 22:06:07	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xafd633…
06-02 19:13:18	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x45d702…
06-02 19:13:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07415d…
05-31 05:13:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xea25cb…
05-30 17:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdb47ce…
05-29 18:28:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x184f73…
05-29 18:28:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x02991b…
05-28 18:02:33	xrp updown 5m 1779991200	Down	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xa02e2e…
05-28 17:58:56	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xab1506…
05-28 17:58:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x982e75…
05-28 17:58:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x89e17b…
05-28 17:58:02	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0bfb1d…
05-28 17:56:13	xrp updown 5m 1779991200	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x67237b…
05-28 17:56:06	xrp updown 5m 1779991200	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xcb8203…
05-28 02:59:21	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd1fe4…
05-28 02:58:21	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc70c8d…
05-28 02:48:14	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86e1d1…
05-28 02:48:11	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x615b27…
05-28 02:47:53	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3e5fd5…
05-28 02:47:29	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ffaa2…
05-24 05:04:03	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Mumbai Indians	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbec1c9…
05-24 05:03:56	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa2a82c…
05-23 20:00:16	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7fdf7a…
05-23 20:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c3d19…
05-23 07:26:02	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x616727…
05-23 07:25:57	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa08988…
05-23 05:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c652d…
05-23 05:30:27	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66b93d…
05-23 05:01:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x5bbac2…
05-22 20:19:26	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x73b9b6…
05-22 20:18:41	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x621fae…
05-22 20:18:20	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6ad0a…
05-22 01:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x6a45ca…
05-22 01:46:59	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xac2ef4…
05-21 20:09:41	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3370d5…
05-21 19:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6a1659…
05-21 19:19:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0d98cb…
05-21 19:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6c51b9…
05-21 19:18:24	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa36d98…
05-21 19:08:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc374fa…
05-21 19:03:14	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x12fa22…
05-21 19:02:02	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x36440f…
05-21 18:57:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec21ea…
05-21 18:55:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3672c9…
05-21 16:54:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf85308…
05-21 16:53:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0x589697…
05-21 16:52:22	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xdbb719…
05-21 16:49:34	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5c07dd…
05-21 16:47:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xba4b82…
05-21 14:12:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7d8a0b…
05-21 14:11:45	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdfd669…
05-21 14:10:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2ab9f2…
05-21 05:44:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a3401…
05-21 05:44:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0x408c28…
05-21 05:42:31	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xfbdba6…
05-21 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x68b1b9…
05-21 05:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42f95d…
05-21 05:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb41b86…
05-21 05:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2556ca…
05-21 05:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8b91b9…
05-21 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5ad2f…
05-21 05:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa3f2cb…
05-20 22:05:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2e1833…
05-20 20:26:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1512a0…
05-17 15:19:01	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1a1674…
05-14 16:31:52	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeb25a7…
05-05 18:37:10	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x682a7d…
05-05 15:59:44	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5936c6…
05-04 17:32:10	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x9141f6…
05-04 16:52:36	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf71c39…
05-03 19:42:38	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Gujarat Titans	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x13414f…
05-03 17:46:10	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Gujarat Titans	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x59f2a5…
05-03 17:37:14	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Gujarat Titans	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x06496e…
05-03 17:37:02	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f1459…
05-02 18:03:52	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xddcc5d…
05-02 17:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf47b98…
05-02 17:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xebce17…
05-02 17:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x59ab3b…
05-02 16:11:20	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x0ff1f7…
04-29 16:08:52	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe69f79…
04-28 18:08:48	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa92eaf…
04-28 16:11:28	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc060e0…
03-16 23:49:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x80b44d…
03-16 23:44:19	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb82d7…