Incompatible-Bartender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$136

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-14 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

40% 0% $-21

Crypto

2% 17% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No		+2,406	$62	5¢	$129	+$67	07-14 21:41
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes		+286	$20	2¢	$7	$-13	06-21 20:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	10	$2.2K	6,656	1,038	+5,619	open	—	07-01 04:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	1,726	1,726	+0	Yes	$-21	05-08 18:44
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	7	$417	5,541	5,501	+40	open	—	05-29 00:45
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$66	115	115	+0	open	—	02-07 03:36
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	2	$62	2,406	0	+2,406	open	—	07-14 21:41
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	2	$54	759	0	+759	open	—	04-01 22:19
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$51	5,143	5,143	+0	open	—	06-21 20:35
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$50	4,272	0	+4,272	open	—	02-02 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$23	88	15	+72	Down	$-7	05-10 20:43
Will the US strike Cuba next?	1	$22	3,114	0	+3,114	open	—	02-07 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$21	194	194	+0	Up	$-9	05-10 20:39
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	2	$20	286	0	+286	open	—	06-21 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$12	371	167	+205	Up	$-8	05-10 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$10	753	0	+753	Down	$-10	05-10 16:24
will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	2	$9	258	258	+0	open	—	02-02 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-10 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-10 16:30
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$5	86	0	+86	open	—	02-02 23:36
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-29 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:41:07	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	1,206	4¢	$50	0xd237e3…
07-01 04:09:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b0d72…
06-30 02:31:55	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,118	9¢	$100	0x3edc3a…
06-30 02:23:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,221	8¢	$100	0xe76b5c…
06-29 22:28:29	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xfbc441…
06-29 22:28:02	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ee8e5…
06-29 16:13:08	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	746	99¢	$738	0x9c8924…
06-22 20:31:02	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0xc9ccf5…
06-22 20:25:28	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	142	75¢	$107	0x65e5c6…
06-22 20:23:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	150	77¢	$115	0xa05b8b…
06-21 20:38:31	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0x11c4a4…
06-21 20:37:40	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	BUY	203	7¢	$14	0xeffaf9…
06-21 20:35:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,143	0¢	$15	0x33fc00…
06-15 21:29:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,038	53¢	$546	0x59e611…
06-14 16:31:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,143	1¢	$36	0xa01621…
06-04 11:37:39	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,419	27¢	$385	0xa0b613…
05-31 21:49:54	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	428	23¢	$100	0xf36861…
05-29 00:45:50	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xd37a7d…
05-29 00:35:26	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	11¢	$20	0xaab061…
05-29 00:34:51	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xa034ff…
05-29 00:31:17	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0xa5bf64…
05-29 00:30:18	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,323	4¢	$216	0xb24e3a…
05-28 23:30:21	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,097	3¢	$65	0xbf88f7…
05-28 23:26:34	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0xd6b6fd…
05-10 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x73688d…
05-10 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x0d4eaf…
05-10 20:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x9c96e5…
05-10 20:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdf86ed…
05-10 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x283a16…
05-10 20:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$8	0x559792…
05-10 20:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a74af…
05-10 20:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x81076d…
05-10 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	194	3¢	$6	0x843c2d…
05-10 20:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8a5f81…
05-10 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x803a27…
05-10 20:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc1fa22…
05-10 16:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x037b06…
05-10 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	503	1¢	$5	0xbae864…
05-10 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0b28ec…
05-08 18:44:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,726	35¢	$611	0x62a93b…
05-08 18:25:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	41¢	$150	0xaba6cb…
05-08 18:24:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	982	39¢	$382	0x31e8d5…
05-08 18:22:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0x60b754…
05-08 18:21:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	25¢	$50	0x454f19…
04-01 22:19:01	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	No	BUY	497	7¢	$32	0x0e9048…
04-01 22:16:29	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	No	BUY	262	8¢	$21	0xdc6103…
02-07 03:37:37	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	BUY	3,114	1¢	$22	0xbc068f…
02-07 03:36:57	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	115	19¢	$22	0x32878c…
02-02 23:36:54	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$5	0x1ab88b…
02-02 23:36:34	will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	No	SELL	258	1¢	$4	0x0fcd8f…
02-02 23:32:24	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	115	38¢	$44	0x20e045…
02-02 23:30:24	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	4,272	1¢	$50	0x4805c1…
02-02 23:28:40	will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	No	BUY	258	2¢	$5	0x7eca4f…