Grim-Planter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$289.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$657

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 09-14 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

88% 45% -$22,571

Other

11% 50% -$8,981

Sports

0% 0% -$1,010

Crypto

0% 62% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	34	$42.3K	50,117	50,117	+0	Yes	-$4,853	04-07 23:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	27	$29.4K	33,845	33,845	+0	Yes	-$3,821	04-07 21:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	27	$25.7K	114,324	114,324	+0	No	-$7,682	03-28 20:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$25.5K	18,469	18,469	+0	No	+$1,239	04-04 01:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$19.6K	169,040	148,040	+21,000	Yes	-$11,079	03-02 22:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	24	$18.2K	34,002	34,002	+0	Yes	-$961	03-10 12:27
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	9	$8.4K	9,804	0	+9,804	No	+$1,416	03-13 12:45
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$6.8K	6,622	3,095	+3,527	Yes	+$922	04-08 10:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$6.8K	37,388	37,388	+0	Yes	-$2,016	04-08 20:34
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	13	$5.1K	602,649	602,649	+0	Yes	-$3,517	03-03 16:46
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	15	$5.0K	248,695	5	+248,690	Yes	-$5,023	02-04 00:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	11	$4.5K	48,700	48,700	+0	No	-$3,588	03-28 20:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$4.3K	26,274	10,650	+15,624	Yes	+$12,772	03-03 17:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$4.0K	2,423	2,423	+0	No	-$57	04-21 08:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$3.8K	4,485	1,682	+2,802	No	+$730	05-24 16:34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$3.5K	2,108	2,108	+0	Yes	+$497	02-28 20:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$3.4K	8,713	0	+8,713	No	-$3,431	09-14 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$3.2K	4,234	4,234	+0	No	-$78	05-07 09:27
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	5	$3.1K	7,253	7,253	+0	No	-$118	03-17 13:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$3.1K	4,502	4,502	+0	Yes	+$73	04-02 10:14
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$3.0K	2,877	2,877	+0	Yes	-$296	04-02 08:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$3.0K	3,118	1,562	+1,556	Yes	+$540	02-27 15:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$3.0K	8,701	8,077	+623	No	+$120	04-28 16:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$2.4K	1,821	1,821	+0	No	-$195	05-17 17:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2.1K	1,365	1,365	+0	No	+$82	05-05 15:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$2.1K	1,960	1,960	+0	Yes	+$88	02-28 10:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$2.1K	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	09-14 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,376	1,376	+0	Yes	+$22	06-05 19:23
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$2.0K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	+$1	04-07 20:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$19	03-03 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 22:22:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,547	13¢	$201	0xef6e15…
09-14 21:53:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,331	13¢	$303	0xb4a075…
09-14 12:06:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,525	20¢	$505	0x2af69c…
09-14 12:05:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,061	52¢	$1,072	0x4fde3a…
09-08 09:29:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x711cbf…
09-06 18:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	643	51¢	$328	0xccaac1…
09-06 18:30:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,560	3¢	$345	0x48fc1f…
08-26 08:33:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,857	68¢	$2,623	0x102105…
08-26 08:31:55	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x893587…
08-26 08:31:42	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0x708821…
06-05 19:25:42	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,412	10¢	$1,010	0x7ff203…
06-05 19:23:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,376	75¢	$1,032	0x69c0c1…
06-01 21:03:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	446	68¢	$303	0x1605b1…
06-01 21:01:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	930	76¢	$707	0xd97997…
05-30 11:51:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	446	68¢	$303	0x12be90…
05-24 21:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	415	50¢	$208	0x93c2a6…
05-24 16:34:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,464	69¢	$1,010	0xd0f5e1…
05-24 16:34:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	586	69¢	$404	0xab0ef3…
05-21 12:32:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	370	82¢	$303	0x6ee5b1…
05-20 19:05:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	384	79¢	$303	0x505a2b…
05-17 17:19:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	415	73¢	$303	0x40f68a…
05-17 17:18:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,821	61¢	$1,118	0xbd403e…
05-16 13:24:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,208	7¢	$303	0xb726fe…
05-12 09:24:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	9¢	$21	0x98a869…
05-08 23:56:54	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$101	0xae933d…
05-08 23:56:47	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$101	0xa68295…
05-08 23:56:40	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	147	69¢	$101	0x58d654…
05-08 23:56:31	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$101	0x4a0441…
05-08 23:56:05	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$101	0x4ac2a6…
05-08 23:46:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	384	78¢	$299	0x34c134…
05-08 23:46:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	541	40¢	$219	0xd68205…
05-08 23:43:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,110	9¢	$730	0x40eb0a…
05-07 21:12:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	474	64¢	$303	0x611607…
05-07 10:20:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	541	56¢	$303	0xcf4124…
05-07 09:27:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	466	63¢	$294	0xd75d49…
05-07 09:27:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	885	68¢	$602	0x551dbe…
05-06 10:12:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,347	75¢	$1,010	0x44987d…
05-06 09:55:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	333	84¢	$280	0xc41869…
05-05 23:13:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1,329	76¢	$1,010	0x0b6fae…
05-05 15:16:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,365	80¢	$1,092	0x44dac1…
05-04 22:33:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,365	74¢	$1,010	0x4ef8cc…
05-01 13:05:20	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,061	49¢	$1,010	0xfe0c0d…
04-29 22:21:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	384	79¢	$303	0x95c87d…
04-29 10:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	466	65¢	$303	0x262b8c…
04-28 21:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	71¢	$101	0x72c200…
04-28 16:34:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	333	91¢	$303	0xf67142…
04-28 16:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	623	81¢	$505	0x153530…
04-28 16:34:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	333	91¢	$303	0x5c6adc…
04-26 15:13:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	743	68¢	$505	0x42cad2…
04-26 15:11:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	797	32¢	$255	0x31f853…
04-26 15:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3,768	33¢	$1,244	0x0db17b…
04-25 12:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8,077	15¢	$1,226	0xf6d607…
04-24 10:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,453	15¢	$518	0x33fbb1…
04-24 10:15:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,262	16¢	$202	0xbc845f…
04-24 10:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,343	15¢	$202	0x9ce950…
04-24 10:14:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,155	35¢	$404	0xa75bf7…
04-24 10:14:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	866	35¢	$303	0x887ce8…
04-24 10:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	866	35¢	$303	0x3abe7a…
04-24 10:13:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,020	15¢	$303	0x42b995…
04-24 10:13:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	882	34¢	$303	0xe75285…
04-24 10:09:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	421	97¢	$409	0x2b7713…
04-23 10:23:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	797	38¢	$303	0x862eaa…
04-22 10:09:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	507	84¢	$426	0x1f07ad…
04-22 08:16:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,665	18¢	$300	0xaf01e9…
04-21 21:08:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,665	62¢	$1,040	0xac9bd1…
04-21 21:01:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	561	72¢	$404	0xa14d55…
04-21 21:01:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	421	72¢	$303	0xfa245e…
04-21 21:01:02	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	427	71¢	$303	0x70ea16…
04-21 20:59:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1,655	61¢	$1,010	0xc61b91…
04-21 09:48:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	117	86¢	$101	0x442f66…
04-21 08:17:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,423	81¢	$1,954	0x3b2bb2…
04-21 08:17:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,125	33¢	$373	0x258162…
04-20 23:42:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	459	66¢	$303	0xd441a3…
04-20 23:38:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xfb0016…
04-20 13:05:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	421	72¢	$303	0x903385…
04-17 14:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	446	46¢	$205	0xe31c08…
04-17 14:13:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	492	62¢	$305	0xa5bea9…
04-17 13:59:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	281	36¢	$101	0x8b3d0b…
04-16 23:17:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199	52¢	$103	0xd37584…
04-16 22:47:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	645	48¢	$310	0xe494e4…
04-16 22:46:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	571	55¢	$315	0xa39004…
04-16 22:45:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	175	60¢	$105	0x869a77…
04-16 17:03:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	53¢	$305	0x39fa08…
04-16 10:28:30	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0x946892…
04-15 22:46:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	722	74¢	$535	0x45a4e3…
04-15 15:47:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0x748fb7…
04-15 10:18:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	267	79¢	$210	0xadbc67…
04-15 08:49:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	147	75¢	$110	0x6f935f…
04-14 19:18:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	126	80¢	$101	0x749c34…
04-14 12:01:21	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	235	67¢	$158	0xdf9d65…
04-14 10:02:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	74¢	$110	0xfddd13…
04-14 09:59:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0x0bafe1…
04-14 01:47:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	143	77¢	$110	0xb2fb95…
04-14 01:47:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	1,985	3¢	$60	0xdb4315…
04-13 14:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc3603c…
04-13 13:57:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	121	91¢	$110	0xa63d57…
04-13 13:56:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	419	74¢	$310	0xbf253d…
04-13 13:53:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xdd3bc3…
04-09 09:45:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	235	70¢	$164	0xace842…
04-08 20:34:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	28,250	1¢	$143	0x421a03…