Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

169 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$63

$225 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 11-01 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

85% 62% +$24

Politics

11% 62% -$2

Tech

4% 80% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	10-30 13:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No		+5	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	10-30 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4	8	+8	Yes	+$2	08-02 07:57
will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-27 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-11 00:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-22 22:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-03 03:18
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 03:22
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-28 23:27
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 16:37
Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-13 21:16
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-01 23:36
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-08 08:36
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-02 08:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-05 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-07 15:53
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-13 05:11
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 00:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-01 03:34
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-26 17:58
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-03 11:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-04 03:40
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-02 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-01 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-13 05:08
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:17
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-21 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-08 08:37
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 11:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-14 13:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 19:35
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-05 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd2f728…
10-30 21:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0c0aa0…
10-30 13:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x11cc0f…
10-30 04:59:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdac84a…
10-29 20:50:21	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4e4cb8…
10-29 11:28:01	Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9a707a…
10-29 03:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x231629…
10-28 19:12:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf8e97c…
10-28 10:57:14	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ff82e…
10-28 02:56:51	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9367a3…
10-27 18:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf52b19…
10-27 10:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x004092…
10-27 02:54:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe89c8f…
10-26 18:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22776f…
10-26 10:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7f778b…
10-26 02:03:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf650c2…
10-25 18:02:08	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7baf3b…
10-25 10:01:54	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x83e250…
10-25 02:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa74405…
10-24 14:04:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd80438…
10-24 14:03:11	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3850c6…
10-24 06:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd418dc…
10-23 19:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x36c5b1…
10-23 11:34:48	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5fd611…
10-23 11:34:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x62f506…
10-23 03:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd37b78…
10-22 19:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaadd4a…
10-22 11:17:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0920f3…
10-22 01:20:21	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3fed40…
10-21 16:40:03	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xac0eca…
10-21 08:27:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33c17b…
10-21 00:27:21	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf78cfc…
10-20 16:17:41	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a543c…
10-20 08:17:35	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4f12c9…
10-20 00:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaa3427…
10-18 16:16:29	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcce369…
10-18 08:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e4c19…
10-18 00:12:00	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x71776b…
10-17 15:56:29	Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdea08e…
10-17 05:18:22	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x84b91e…
10-16 18:09:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaeb8e3…
10-16 08:27:25	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6f657e…
10-16 00:26:40	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeae3d2…
10-15 13:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x010c72…
10-15 05:14:20	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x43abc6…
10-14 21:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x54a63d…
10-13 18:55:03	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd7753d…
10-13 10:54:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2789e8…
10-11 14:51:40	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb08159…
10-09 17:51:53	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf11366…
10-09 09:30:07	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0f9150…
10-08 10:36:42	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x730349…
10-08 02:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc4df0c…
10-07 18:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe3d1d…
10-07 10:00:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x05ecb1…
10-07 02:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9486a3…
10-06 17:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcfff55…
10-06 09:59:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa35139…
10-06 01:59:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcc53b2…
10-04 06:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2b3526…
10-03 20:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x191fa3…
10-02 21:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x502d0b…
10-02 13:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6a49f5…
10-02 05:20:15	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa6ebf5…
10-01 18:20:51	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e1edc…
10-01 10:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x709eaf…
09-29 00:21:47	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe5e698…
09-28 15:28:50	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3812d0…
09-28 06:55:27	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f8272…
09-27 22:44:03	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfc72d2…
09-27 14:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0f7cdf…
09-27 06:01:51	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x90d236…
09-26 21:34:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x42edbf…
09-26 12:21:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6d440f…
09-26 04:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x82c863…
09-23 18:48:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf70978…
09-23 10:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4a6b8b…
09-23 02:35:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x87a6fc…
09-22 18:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x50c679…
09-22 10:32:01	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5598a6…
09-22 02:31:29	will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x13ee56…
09-21 18:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x44f604…
09-21 10:18:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x465332…
09-21 01:39:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa4feb5…
09-20 16:35:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x184194…
09-19 23:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x89aa37…
09-19 15:16:09	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa8efa0…
09-19 06:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xee2db2…
09-18 22:41:10	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x663d2c…
09-18 14:37:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x24a276…
09-17 23:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xec2840…
09-17 15:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd0f9a9…
09-17 14:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x905854…
09-17 13:59:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x725eb5…
09-17 05:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x30304a…
09-15 09:22:55	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xece111…
09-13 11:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x55279f…
09-11 10:12:12	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb6416a…
09-10 13:38:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x24a5b1…
09-10 04:38:07	Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0a139b…