Insignificant-Hyena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-06 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:28
highest temperature in san francisco on april 2 2026 62 63f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb872d0…
11-03 17:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x56b8e6…
11-02 06:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66a520…
10-31 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb88ae1…
10-30 14:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2feef…
10-29 17:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe16712…
10-29 09:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf7f2d…
10-28 07:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11d10e…
10-27 09:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a3e0…
10-26 09:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62b945…
10-24 11:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf39326…
10-22 10:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09947f…
10-20 07:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bcba3…
10-19 09:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1123d0…
10-18 10:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6b91e…
10-17 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ac6a9…
10-16 10:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc839…
10-15 13:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3d6da…
10-14 09:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2df18…
10-13 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x927e81…
10-12 09:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff9d7…
10-11 09:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a5141…
10-08 12:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77fce5…
10-07 15:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3dcf3…
10-06 15:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x243ab3…
10-05 06:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59300a…
10-03 09:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3644f…
10-02 13:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4702ab…
10-01 08:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aad9f…
09-30 02:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fbc0a…
09-28 09:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x528fab…
09-27 09:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67d8d3…
09-25 16:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd5314…
09-24 08:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18012f…
09-23 08:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca7f4c…
09-22 08:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa01790…
09-21 09:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ed84b…
09-20 05:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76352b…
09-19 08:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89c380…
09-18 07:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a132b…
09-17 04:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71e70c…
09-16 08:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2006a7…
09-15 10:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac87ef…
09-14 09:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0efff3…
09-13 02:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd75821…
09-11 09:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa52626…
09-10 08:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x288973…
09-09 02:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05d91d…
09-08 06:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf26ee9…
09-07 08:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedde3b…
09-06 16:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd6c17…
09-06 10:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffff6c…
09-05 01:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fdb94…
09-04 01:00:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeed5c7…
09-02 07:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a9f6c…
08-30 09:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedca22…
08-29 09:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x043df5…
08-28 08:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f84cb…
08-27 09:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa01c20…
08-26 08:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24717…
08-25 09:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72e0d3…
08-24 14:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9720e5…
08-23 15:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc435c7…
08-22 09:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85bd1d…
08-21 07:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3219d1…
08-20 09:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12a60e…
08-18 08:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fac08…
08-17 08:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc9e33…
08-16 14:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc4b53…
08-15 10:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc664e0…
08-14 06:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x676562…
08-13 09:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98287e…
08-12 09:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x611686…
08-11 07:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3218aa…
08-10 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07f24d…
08-09 06:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a282d…
08-08 07:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa95e93…
08-07 07:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74590a…
08-06 07:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e5320…
08-05 08:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedda66…
08-04 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07c8de…
08-03 07:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda54ff…
08-02 06:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x311e8c…
08-01 07:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x166cd9…
07-31 13:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b22ba…
07-30 07:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6fdde…
07-29 07:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x155b30…
07-28 07:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe454de…
07-27 09:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc07f4e…
07-26 07:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x540b76…
07-25 08:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108153…
07-24 13:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89efd3…
07-23 08:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a99ca…
07-22 02:10:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78a89a…
07-21 09:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9dd56…
07-21 00:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf51c1a…
07-20 08:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23f126…
07-18 23:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e8ea0…
07-18 05:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf28e65…
07-17 07:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98e5ec…