Rowdy-Refectory — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

16 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$77

$77 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down		+9	$5	64¢	$6	+$1	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up		-12	$-6	36¢	$-4	+$2	05-05 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$10	9	12	-3	open	—	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$8	0	12	-12	Up	+$8	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$7	0	11	-11	Up	$-4	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$6	0	12	-12	Up	+$6	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$6	0	12	-12	Down	$-6	05-04 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$6	0	11	-11	Down	+$6	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	0	10	-10	Down	+$5	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	2	$4	7	6	+1	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$3	0	6	-6	Down	+$3	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	+$3	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	0	12	-12	Up	+$1	05-04 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xdbe815…
05-05 16:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x7f0f91…
05-05 16:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5ba4ca…
05-05 16:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x236193…
05-05 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x8fbbb9…
05-05 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xf3c5b3…
05-04 23:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x57546c…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xad99b7…
05-04 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x85e783…
05-04 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xdec09d…
05-04 22:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xede826…
05-04 22:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x9e2025…
05-04 21:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x164233…
05-04 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xd1835e…
05-04 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x7b5f8a…
05-04 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xee3763…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Early-Colonial 0xb2d2…26c2	6	$803	8	05-04 23:39
Whimsical-Stockintrade 0x6986…fec0	6	$802	8	05-04 23:39
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	5	$1.46K	13	05-05 01:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$518	10	05-05 16:32
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	3	$2.28K	7	05-05 01:15
General-School 0x01ca…200d	3	$1.76K	6	05-04 23:29
Bad-Expectation 0x2154…4098	3	$1.15K	3	05-04 23:39