Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$297

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

2.2%

Resolved

21,185

Trades

25,022

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 1% -$304

Politics

4% 36% +$9

Other

3% 2% -$2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 831 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	10-26 04:14
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+5	$1	94¢	$5	+$4	10-26 03:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	$1	44¢	$2	+$1	10-26 03:59
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+7	$1	28¢	$2	+$1	10-25 11:47
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	+7	$1	20¢	$1	+$0	10-24 00:13
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	+5	$1	19¢	$1	+$0	10-26 00:00
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+7	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-27 19:03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+5	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-25 10:19
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+5	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-25 21:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+5	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-27 20:01
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-26 03:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 11:34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-25 03:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-25 03:26
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 07:34
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 02:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-26 08:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 03:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 05:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 06:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 11:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 14:37
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 08:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 06:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-16 21:48
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 05:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 05:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-23 17:30
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:01:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd83e99…
10-27 19:03:02	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x741160…
10-26 13:16:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe141c8…
10-26 10:37:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb0ab36…
10-26 08:21:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x82eb29…
10-26 04:14:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x230e17…
10-26 03:59:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb6a3cc…
10-26 03:59:12	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa9e792…
10-26 03:59:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x88cfc5…
10-26 00:00:09	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x04a30c…
10-25 22:22:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe07c18…
10-25 22:17:50	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x65449e…
10-25 22:17:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x173595…
10-25 21:24:03	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x888fc5…
10-25 20:21:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7cb167…
10-25 20:02:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47c317…
10-25 19:50:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc32579…
10-25 16:41:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6196be…
10-25 15:44:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xec6e60…
10-25 11:47:35	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x685b25…
10-25 11:26:57	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x96e3f2…
10-25 10:21:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5b2ed5…
10-25 10:19:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1f56d5…
10-25 08:09:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x691683…
10-25 03:26:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x46d795…
10-25 03:23:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x9be6c0…
10-24 22:27:51	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3980ad…
10-24 15:36:59	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x992a83…
10-24 15:25:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4c4716…
10-24 15:22:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0d46a1…
10-24 14:17:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3d4ecd…
10-24 11:11:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7ffd31…
10-24 06:24:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x0134fa…
10-24 03:59:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5bd5eb…
10-24 00:23:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x4dd7a4…
10-24 00:13:30	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x76d0e2…
10-23 23:59:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa2c625…
10-23 23:10:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe67d6e…
10-23 20:00:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5d7307…
10-23 18:24:32	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xba1010…
10-23 17:30:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa78612…
10-23 14:37:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe8649f…
10-23 07:34:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x2dacac…
10-23 05:45:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x892567…
10-23 05:30:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4da4d2…
10-23 02:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x696db9…
10-22 19:34:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa7a47b…
10-22 15:51:17	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x551877…
10-22 15:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x81cc82…
10-22 13:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc468f4…
10-22 11:34:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xc102f2…
10-22 08:51:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xaf593f…
10-22 08:47:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x4e924a…
10-22 00:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4db4a4…
10-21 23:35:06	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe99ba6…
10-21 20:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0e6718…
10-21 20:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x55ec97…
10-21 10:21:09	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa55197…
10-21 07:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xde30e2…
10-21 06:19:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x47b0c5…
10-21 03:59:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x49132d…
10-21 03:50:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4da0d7…
10-21 02:08:27	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9333b2…
10-20 18:19:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x21ea18…
10-20 15:50:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf2ff4c…
10-20 14:37:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x70d1a1…
10-20 14:08:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xca7258…
10-20 05:00:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xff55d6…
10-20 05:00:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xee85de…
10-20 05:00:48	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x67116d…
10-19 17:01:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe8950b…
10-19 17:01:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xd28bb4…
10-19 17:01:23	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x26eb7c…
10-19 17:01:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa4f3f7…
10-19 17:01:20	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x56a539…
10-19 17:01:18	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x187963…
10-19 17:01:17	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xadc143…
10-19 17:01:17	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8e3308…
10-19 17:01:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x5f61b0…
10-19 17:01:12	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4f7a78…
10-19 17:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x842273…
10-19 17:01:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf3c138…
10-19 17:01:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc90e89…
10-19 17:00:29	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcbe477…
10-19 17:00:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5621fc…
10-19 17:00:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x09578e…
10-19 16:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x90dd77…
10-19 16:46:23	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x55ba7c…
10-16 21:48:29	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb1a703…
10-16 21:48:29	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x677fb0…
10-16 21:48:26	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x2940cf…
10-16 21:47:54	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xaa1241…
10-13 23:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cc54a…
10-13 23:59:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x77d1ca…
10-13 23:59:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6eb013…
10-13 23:58:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x129cc4…
10-13 23:54:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4bdc77…
10-13 23:53:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2eca5…
10-13 23:53:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b2206…
10-13 23:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x11b481…