Grandiose-Skunk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-19 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$14

Other

24% 0% $-11

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	5	$1.6K	527	1,527	-1,000	open	—	05-26 01:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	05-17 17:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$1.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	open	—	06-15 21:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$948	2,919	2,919	+0	open	—	06-15 21:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$893	4,481	3,636	+845	open	—	05-31 20:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$866	740	740	+0	open	—	05-30 18:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$760	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	05-29 05:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$616	5,984	0	+5,984	open	—	05-26 18:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$409	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-14 02:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$367	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	06-20 00:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$360	293	293	+0	open	—	05-14 22:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$280	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-14 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$208	2,403	0	+2,403	open	—	06-20 18:10
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$130	617	0	+617	open	—	06-23 00:26
israel closes its airspace by june 10	7	$117	1,852	1,852	+0	open	—	06-10 18:08
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	6	$113	666	0	+666	open	—	06-09 13:39
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$100	476	0	+476	open	—	06-22 06:51
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	3	$96	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	07-14 14:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	05-17 16:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	8	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	05-13 12:35
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	1	$90	500	0	+500	open	—	07-13 12:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	6	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	05-13 00:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$54	7,779	0	+7,779	open	—	05-30 02:18
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	4	$53	4,397	0	+4,397	open	—	06-11 02:11
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	2	$53	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-06 17:26
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	4	$51	230	0	+230	open	—	06-09 15:04
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	1	$50	385	0	+385	open	—	07-14 18:45
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	1,390	0	+1,390	open	—	06-09 16:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	1,515	0	+1,515	open	—	06-20 15:35
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$50	617	0	+617	open	—	06-22 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:10:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xbe5ab0…
07-19 17:10:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x900ab0…
07-19 17:10:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	185	0¢	$1	0xd3de4f…
07-19 16:53:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	277	5¢	$13	0x8b9c28…
07-19 16:50:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xcb8fc7…
07-19 16:50:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd08aad…
07-19 16:50:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	776	2¢	$14	0x196e19…
07-19 16:50:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	315	0¢	$1	0x38944e…
07-17 22:01:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	174	0¢	$0	0xaa59fe…
07-16 18:27:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x37ade5…
07-14 18:45:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xd09677…
07-14 14:30:35	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xec25df…
07-13 19:17:28	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x57a9d4…
07-13 12:45:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x83b827…
07-13 12:29:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0xe3e022…
07-06 17:26:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	990	5¢	$52	0xb66aab…
07-06 16:37:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xfbab6b…
06-28 01:07:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6193b8…
06-28 00:38:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa7176d…
06-27 21:37:07	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	45	28¢	$12	0xfe8ebb…
06-27 21:36:59	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xce5be1…
06-27 20:53:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0xd3b804…
06-27 20:49:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x0f79a7…
06-23 00:26:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	617	21¢	$130	0x979047…
06-22 21:03:14	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	617	8¢	$50	0x0eeac9…
06-22 06:51:46	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xe49544…
06-22 06:45:08	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,850	0¢	$2	0x355408…
06-22 06:44:55	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x79f9ff…
06-22 06:41:14	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1a2122…
06-22 06:36:47	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0xfbd709…
06-22 06:36:23	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9de909…
06-22 06:36:23	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8e3877…
06-22 06:32:41	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$5	0x4207a2…
06-20 18:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x1ba2e1…
06-20 15:35:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	3¢	$35	0x26fa8a…
06-20 15:28:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	455	3¢	$15	0x8471ef…
06-20 00:24:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	666	5¢	$33	0x9ac373…
06-19 19:50:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xd17ebd…
06-19 19:49:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x8e7dd1…
06-19 19:45:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,285	26¢	$334	0x82c0ab…
06-19 19:42:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x256b93…
06-19 19:42:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0x3cd94c…
06-19 19:42:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	961	9¢	$87	0x024d08…
06-15 21:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x54e38f…
06-15 21:34:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,125	93¢	$1,046	0x7b98d2…
06-14 22:46:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	972	28¢	$272	0xc90370…
06-14 22:46:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xe75557…
06-14 02:03:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	712	12¢	$85	0xb8b71a…
06-14 02:02:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x617aa8…
06-13 06:01:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	157	1¢	$2	0xc9840c…
06-13 06:01:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x8f837d…
06-13 06:00:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xd67ee0…
06-12 02:01:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,125	3¢	$35	0xec32dd…
06-11 20:08:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0xb79b9e…
06-11 20:07:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0xcd45d4…
06-11 20:04:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	562	27¢	$152	0xe36167…
06-11 18:04:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$113	0xe326ab…
06-11 17:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x62f77d…
06-11 02:11:39	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$3	0x0e9106…
06-11 01:44:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,205	16¢	$353	0x8f0bb9…
06-11 00:28:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	635	16¢	$102	0x633a48…
06-11 00:23:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0x3d641a…
06-11 00:19:24	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,062	5¢	$50	0xbede5d…
06-11 00:18:06	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1c9d85…
06-11 00:18:03	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe1bdd1…
06-10 19:29:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,919	16¢	$467	0xda4f53…
06-10 18:08:30	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	738	4¢	$27	0xc8b2ad…
06-10 18:07:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	1,063	4¢	$38	0xacf856…
06-10 17:55:33	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x31bdfe…
06-09 16:09:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0xfe528f…
06-09 15:04:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	173	22¢	$38	0xda52c9…
06-09 15:04:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba3156…
06-09 15:03:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x13a789…
06-09 15:00:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x6bf4ef…
06-09 14:23:43	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	890	4¢	$32	0xe5bf7e…
06-09 13:39:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	567	17¢	$96	0x6802d0…
06-09 13:39:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x44eb84…
06-09 13:39:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2c49ae…
06-09 13:33:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xb968fc…
06-09 13:30:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xbfb719…
06-09 13:26:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xdf3c2c…
06-09 07:08:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,837	3¢	$50	0xa9b439…
06-09 05:30:18	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd111c8…
06-09 05:08:54	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xf63c9c…
06-09 04:33:58	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3e4378…
06-09 04:23:00	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4,866	0¢	$5	0xb515b4…
06-09 04:12:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x0514fd…
06-09 04:12:31	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x7f73e5…
06-07 20:09:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x551d28…
06-01 12:09:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xd0566e…
05-31 20:43:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,636	11¢	$400	0xd9ae79…
05-31 19:45:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,481	11¢	$493	0x5744b9…
05-30 18:22:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	740	90¢	$666	0x332f10…
05-30 02:18:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,722	0¢	$3	0x44c5f9…
05-29 16:23:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	740	27¢	$200	0xf04c3c…
05-29 05:46:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,062	8¢	$85	0x03e0ea…
05-27 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x764100…
05-26 18:51:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$44	0xc88194…
05-26 03:11:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x471c03…
05-26 02:25:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0xcdcd73…