Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,066
lifetime
Volume
$8.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$782
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-04 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% 0% -$5
Sports
26% — —
Politics
11% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 619 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +100 $63 68¢ $68 +$4 11-03 01:06
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +80 $55 68¢ $54 -$1 11-03 16:38
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 96¢ $39 +$1 11-03 00:09
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +56 $35 67¢ $38 +$3 11-04 01:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $30 92¢ $37 +$7 11-02 22:32
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +40 $36 91¢ $36 +$0 11-03 12:06
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +40 $27 91¢ $36 +$10 11-02 19:07
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +60 $38 59¢ $35 -$3 11-03 11:49
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $38 32¢ $32 -$5 11-03 01:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +40 $24 70¢ $28 +$4 11-03 13:46
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +80 $26 32¢ $26 +$0 11-03 16:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +46 $16 56¢ $25 +$9 11-03 13:15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? No +40 $24 64¢ $25 +$1 11-04 04:10
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +60 $23 41¢ $25 +$2 11-03 11:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +40 $15 61¢ $24 +$10 11-02 18:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +60 $37 39¢ $23 -$14 11-03 17:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +40 $14 58¢ $23 +$9 11-03 23:04
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $21 54¢ $22 +$1 11-02 19:44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +46 $29 44¢ $20 -$9 11-03 13:15
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $22 33¢ $18 -$3 11-04 07:43
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $22 46¢ $18 -$4 11-03 13:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +40 $26 42¢ $17 -$9 11-03 23:04
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +20 $13 82¢ $16 +$4 11-03 23:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $17 80¢ $16 $0 11-03 23:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $16 36¢ $15 -$1 11-04 04:10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +20 $15 73¢ $15 -$1 11-03 00:33
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 64¢ $13 +$0 11-02 23:19
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 62¢ $12 -$2 11-03 02:49
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +40 $19 30¢ $12 -$7 11-04 04:58
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +20 $13 59¢ $12 -$1 11-02 15:50