Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$90
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
23
599 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$969
$9.20K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.06K
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 11-11 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
89% 40% -$7
Politics
8% — —
Sports
3% 0% -$37
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +661 $403 70¢ $459 +$56 11-09 09:35
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +378 $332 90¢ $342 +$9 11-07 19:39
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? Yes +118 $66 68¢ $80 +$14 11-09 03:42
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026? No +72 $60 90¢ $65 +$5 11-08 12:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +89 $35 40¢ $36 +$0 11-08 17:21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +122 $26 26¢ $32 +$7 11-10 00:27
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? Yes +64 $24 37¢ $24 $0 11-08 09:00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +17 $14 86¢ $14 +$0 11-08 19:47
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 66¢ $5 -$2 11-08 19:46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +64 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:52
Will Yoav Segalovich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 11-07 19:11