Ringed-Gambling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,206

lifetime

Volume

$209.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-07 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 18% $-366

Politics

16% 0% $-1,565

Other

7% 0% $-910

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	6	$2.6K	4,314	1,400	+2,914	open	—	03-12 09:45
Iran leadership change by May 31?	14	$2.6K	36,534	1,298	+35,236	open	—	05-29 16:36
btc updown 15m 1773222300	6	$2.5K	8,133	1,389	+6,744	open	—	03-11 09:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$1.9K	6,495	6,468	+27	open	—	05-23 21:27
btc updown 15m 1773018000	16	$1.7K	3,606	0	+3,606	open	—	03-09 01:11
btc updown 15m 1772983800	6	$1.7K	1,390	1,370	+20	open	—	03-08 15:45
btc updown 15m 1773046800	5	$1.6K	1,491	704	+787	open	—	03-09 09:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$1.6K	46,329	0	+46,329	open	—	05-26 00:34
btc updown 15m 1773073800	7	$1.6K	5,670	0	+5,670	open	—	03-09 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$1.6K	1,156	1,156	+0	open	—	05-30 21:34
will iran strike israel on march 5	4	$1.4K	906	906	+0	open	—	03-05 14:18
btc updown 15m 1772982000	3	$1.4K	1,108	1,098	+10	open	—	03-08 15:15
btc updown 15m 1773019800	14	$1.3K	2,430	0	+2,430	open	—	03-09 01:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$1.3K	18,160	0	+18,160	No	$-1,335	05-08 13:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	7	$1.3K	4,865	2,045	+2,820	open	—	05-29 10:56
btc updown 15m 1773085500	7	$1.3K	1,860	1,345	+515	open	—	03-09 19:59
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	9	$1.2K	9,546	0	+9,546	open	—	06-08 05:30
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$1.2K	2,285	0	+2,285	open	—	03-02 11:49
btc updown 15m 1773146700	6	$1.2K	2,074	284	+1,789	open	—	03-10 12:58
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$1.2K	1,093	1,093	-0	open	—	06-07 22:24
btc updown 15m 1773144900	3	$1.2K	985	978	+6	open	—	03-10 12:29
btc updown 5m 1772451600	4	$1.2K	1,248	736	+512	open	—	03-02 11:44
btc updown 15m 1773077400	10	$1.1K	5,053	0	+5,053	open	—	03-09 17:40
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$1.1K	647	647	+0	open	—	03-07 16:41
btc updown 5m 1772631300	5	$1.1K	1,084	718	+366	open	—	03-04 13:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$1.1K	751	751	+0	open	—	03-08 19:56
btc updown 5m 1773021000	6	$1.1K	1,930	0	+1,930	open	—	03-09 01:54
btc updown 15m 1773087300	7	$1.1K	1,548	1,021	+527	open	—	03-09 20:28
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$1.0K	13,293	0	+13,293	open	—	04-23 17:59
btc updown 5m 1772451000	3	$1.0K	636	627	+8	open	—	03-02 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 10:33:43	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1,590	12¢	$190	0xae886e…
08-01 20:09:59	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0xfac437…
07-29 13:57:11	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	2,721	4¢	$100	0x2a1a62…
07-29 13:56:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	102	96¢	$98	0xb86376…
07-26 23:02:03	btc updown 5m 1785106800	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xd5e415…
07-26 23:01:54	btc updown 5m 1785106800	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x300eb9…
07-26 22:59:40	btc updown 5m 1785106500	Up	BUY	171	15¢	$25	0x8181d3…
07-26 22:57:25	btc updown 5m 1785106500	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xdd9273…
07-26 08:54:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	102	91¢	$93	0x3fb2ff…
07-24 13:22:45	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	600	6¢	$36	0x8c4a50…
07-24 13:22:27	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	561	6¢	$34	0x7fdb1b…
07-24 12:06:21	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5,796	0¢	$29	0x303be1…
07-24 12:06:13	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,700	1¢	$19	0x290c99…
07-24 11:48:45	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x339bbf…
07-24 11:26:13	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe1bb7d…
07-24 10:54:51	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x81ffb2…
07-24 10:54:27	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0xabc3b7…
07-24 10:52:42	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	338	6¢	$20	0xa5ad43…
07-24 10:51:51	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	4,131	5¢	$200	0x4a0b8f…
07-23 20:05:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,580	4¢	$100	0x1ad719…
07-23 20:05:28	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x815b75…
07-23 20:02:40	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	2,128	5¢	$100	0xc1259b…
07-23 20:01:06	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	1,850	5¢	$100	0x7fc4b0…
07-23 20:00:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	252	12¢	$30	0x547c8d…
07-23 20:00:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	646	15¢	$100	0x57ec5e…
07-23 19:59:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,953	5¢	$100	0xc75e33…
07-23 19:59:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	10,509	3¢	$300	0x7cfdaf…
07-22 19:48:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x786fd8…
06-15 15:13:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xdcc8a2…
06-15 15:13:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	422	6¢	$25	0xe548ad…
06-15 15:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	125	26¢	$32	0xa451aa…
06-11 17:55:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0x10ccba…
06-11 17:33:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	478	6¢	$26	0xf192c9…
06-11 17:33:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,361	6¢	$75	0xc925de…
06-11 17:32:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x61ad8c…
06-11 17:32:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x197c80…
06-10 21:58:01	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x16306f…
06-10 21:43:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	627	5¢	$30	0xc56c6e…
06-10 21:42:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x091396…
06-09 21:50:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa6d5ab…
06-09 18:49:27	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x1c64e6…
06-08 09:27:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	263	8¢	$20	0x56064a…
06-08 09:00:01	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	857	17¢	$150	0x97042f…
06-08 08:54:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x89d0db…
06-08 06:57:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xfc3a0f…
06-08 06:42:37	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,221	41¢	$500	0xdd0813…
06-08 05:30:27	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,351	15¢	$200	0x5761b0…
06-08 03:53:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,274	16¢	$200	0xc42df5…
06-07 22:24:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,093	98¢	$1,073	0xc9b113…
06-07 19:49:39	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$30	0x53cca8…
06-07 17:08:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	750	4¢	$30	0x980dc7…
06-07 16:39:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	601	17¢	$100	0x5bcf73…
06-07 14:34:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xdeb817…
06-06 20:04:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	254	89¢	$226	0x33d0bf…
06-05 09:57:33	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,093	10¢	$110	0xd5df2a…
06-03 21:13:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,487	5¢	$400	0x4387b3…
06-02 05:06:53	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	8¢	$120	0x169bbf…
06-01 14:31:45	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x6812b1…
06-01 14:27:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x9a0790…
06-01 14:26:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	2,569	13¢	$334	0xef313d…
06-01 14:26:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,918	6¢	$115	0x26f72f…
06-01 14:25:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,582	6¢	$95	0x5ef7d0…
06-01 12:27:09	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,426	12¢	$411	0x8692a4…
06-01 11:12:11	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	866	12¢	$104	0xfdb316…
06-01 07:19:44	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	12¢	$68	0xc1dc19…
06-01 07:19:40	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4b417c…
06-01 07:19:38	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	11¢	$15	0xabfa52…
06-01 06:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	382	26¢	$100	0x27014c…
06-01 06:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	529	19¢	$100	0x707cc5…
06-01 06:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0xc9c372…
05-31 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	184	14¢	$25	0x2ef592…
05-31 18:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	14¢	$13	0x801943…
05-31 17:49:18	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	142	24¢	$34	0x5f2cf1…
05-31 17:49:15	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	323	24¢	$77	0xa0ba1d…
05-31 17:49:04	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	24¢	$32	0x87c2ef…
05-31 17:43:21	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	28¢	$221	0xb06ba8…
05-30 23:35:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,683	3¢	$100	0x85bed0…
05-30 23:34:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,576	7¢	$300	0x39355f…
05-30 22:52:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,831	4¢	$100	0x0aee07…
05-30 22:15:22	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,592	19¢	$300	0xf3e25a…
05-30 21:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x6a0028…
05-30 21:34:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x23eaa7…
05-30 17:50:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xaf1dbc…
05-30 17:48:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	BUY	1,755	2¢	$40	0xabeb37…
05-30 17:46:22	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x4f1bdc…
05-30 17:40:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	762	51¢	$389	0x07191a…
05-30 17:39:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x5d63cb…
05-30 17:33:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xc76cea…
05-30 17:33:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	443	88¢	$390	0x84fda1…
05-29 16:36:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,608	2¢	$200	0x33f56c…
05-29 16:36:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,810	5¢	$300	0x9c2e29…
05-29 16:35:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,000	5¢	$300	0xb14ac4…
05-29 16:35:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11,965	3¢	$300	0x7c7ad1…
05-29 16:34:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,925	6¢	$300	0x5869d6…
05-29 16:33:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,016	20¢	$200	0xe80cf9…
05-29 16:32:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	461	43¢	$200	0xbec48b…
05-29 15:07:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	443	23¢	$100	0x71ec77…
05-29 10:56:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,820	7¢	$200	0x858b4c…
05-28 11:00:36	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x94b225…
05-26 21:51:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	6,633	2¢	$100	0x8ee1d1…