Realized P&L
-$2.84K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.35K
Hit rate
5.1%
Resolved
20
Trades
2,178
lifetime
Volume
$207.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$93
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-15 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
78% 18% $-366
Politics
16% 0% $-1,565
Other
6% 0% $-910
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +9,546 $1,249 $38 $-1,210 06-08 05:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +12,609 $700 $19 $-681 06-09 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +11,965 $300 $12 $-288 05-29 16:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +6,000 $300 $9 $-291 05-29 16:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +2,257 $514 $7 $-507 06-08 09:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1,274 $200 $3 $-197 06-08 03:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +2,627 $140 $3 $-137 06-11 17:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +422 $25 $1 $-24 06-15 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +125 $12 $1 $-12 06-15 15:12
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +95 $2 $0 $-2 06-10 21:58