Sophisticated-Chrysalis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

628 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$232

$24.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-24 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 52% -$847

Other

11% 67% +$228

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 10 9am et	39	$3.6K	2,527	2,511	+15	Down	+$319	03-10 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 10am et	35	$2.0K	1,684	1,674	+10	Down	+$134	03-20 14:30
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$142	07-11 23:48
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 9am et	11	$1.8K	1,013	1,006	+7	Down	+$162	03-20 13:53
bitcoin up or down march 10 10am et	8	$1.5K	1,302	1,282	+20	Up	+$143	03-10 14:09
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 6pm et	3	$1.4K	964	951	+13	Down	+$241	03-19 22:34
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5pm et	5	$1.4K	1,125	1,110	+16	Down	+$108	03-19 21:59
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	7	$908	500	500	+0	Yes	+$90	07-11 23:08
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	6	$714	748	741	+7	Up	+$308	03-10 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:35 UTC	2	$694	418	413	+5	Down	+$110	03-04 00:39
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 4pm et	8	$598	1,378	0	+1,378	Down	-$598	03-20 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:30 UTC	2	$568	301	300	+1	Down	+$21	03-04 00:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:15 UTC	5	$539	547	545	+2	Down	+$379	02-12 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 01:00 UTC	109	$528	1,940	0	+1,940	Up	-$528	02-21 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:25 UTC	2	$434	281	276	+4	Up	+$118	03-04 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:40 UTC	1	$400	675	0	+675	Up	-$400	03-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	43	$372	360	360	+0	Down	+$81	05-08 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$306	570	0	+570	Down	-$306	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$287	199	199	+0	Down	+$100	05-09 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 01:15 UTC	20	$283	786	0	+786	Down	-$283	02-21 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC	2	$240	141	140	+1	Down	+$21	03-04 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC	2	$235	141	139	+1	Down	+$37	03-04 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC	21	$219	459	458	+2	Down	+$99	02-12 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:15 UTC	2	$219	161	159	+2	Up	+$21	03-04 00:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 01:00 UTC	3	$207	149	147	+2	Up	+$34	02-11 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	9	$188	170	170	+0	Down	+$77	02-13 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:30 UTC	3	$177	131	129	+2	Down	+$49	02-11 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 12:45 UTC	5	$166	121	120	+1	Down	+$62	02-13 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	29	$165	1,310	0	+1,310	Up	-$165	05-08 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:45 UTC	2	$164	84	84	+0	Up	+$4	02-11 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xf1d82b…
10-24 03:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xa6475c…
10-24 03:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xf51826…
10-24 03:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xdb4b7c…
10-24 03:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x15f698…
10-24 03:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x38aada…
10-24 03:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	30¢	$6	0xb563bc…
10-24 03:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xdaa525…
10-24 03:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x3f4130…
10-24 03:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x0f0f77…
10-24 03:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xcff9df…
10-24 02:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x56c2c7…
10-24 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xc712c9…
10-24 02:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x73f6af…
10-24 02:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x0dd682…
10-24 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x739ca4…
10-24 02:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x7e6e0a…
10-24 02:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x426010…
10-24 02:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3758be…
10-24 02:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x43f1f2…
10-24 02:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x53620b…
10-24 02:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x441efc…
10-24 02:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x7b2609…
10-24 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x8c0cb0…
10-24 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x54e754…
10-24 02:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x24ea32…
10-24 02:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x8f8abe…
10-24 02:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x3c2c9b…
10-24 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x862a90…
10-24 02:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0xd436ca…
10-24 02:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x3a7657…
10-24 02:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0x82c198…
10-24 02:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x59bca2…
10-24 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xbc2bd1…
10-24 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x1b9de7…
10-24 01:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xc84f26…
10-24 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x357c81…
10-24 01:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6d9082…
10-24 01:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x8d4f86…
10-24 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x71e941…
10-24 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x1fce25…
10-24 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x09f43d…
10-24 00:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0d1417…
10-24 00:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0x687b0f…
10-24 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x59ba40…
10-24 00:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0x59498c…
10-24 00:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb03fb5…
10-24 00:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x76ab23…
10-24 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x00238b…
07-11 23:48:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x6760f3…
07-11 23:17:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	728	86¢	$626	0x9d6563…
07-11 23:17:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6e0c65…
07-11 23:17:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	261	85¢	$222	0x0c0ece…
07-11 23:08:41	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x7d5e65…
07-11 22:57:20	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	82¢	$71	0xfd0801…
07-11 22:57:20	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	81	82¢	$66	0x1a1e49…
07-11 22:57:20	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	189	82¢	$154	0x1062bb…
07-11 22:57:19	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcb7784…
07-11 22:57:19	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xafa3fb…
07-11 22:57:17	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	138	82¢	$113	0x08dcbd…
06-17 20:40:14	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8feb08…
06-17 20:37:16	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0xd135bc…
05-12 00:21:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$3	0x48f626…
05-09 00:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$99	0x5a3a9c…
05-09 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xb2aa73…
05-09 00:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x52672b…
05-09 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa055d8…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfd2f91…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfa073a…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xdcb747…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc905a5…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc11232…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa31b38…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xa13a2d…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x872e5f…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x86474c…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x7dd155…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x792534…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x73cb4d…
05-09 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x49d481…
05-09 00:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	199	97¢	$193	0xe05f6d…
05-09 00:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	199	47¢	$94	0xa09f47…
05-08 23:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xf5f98e…
05-08 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe61f43…
05-08 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x59cf86…
05-08 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x250a9a…
05-08 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x047598…
05-08 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd60654…
05-08 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x971c35…
05-08 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x81c213…
05-08 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x70e2ae…
05-08 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0b2da6…
05-08 23:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb741a4…
05-08 23:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x841c83…
05-08 23:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x598a1e…
05-08 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x729e82…
05-08 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6487e0…
05-08 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x5d5bf7…
05-08 23:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb9f639…
05-08 23:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x60ae98…