Friendly-Cephalopod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$763

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,318

lifetime

Volume

$257.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

59% 87% +$412

Other

31% 71% +$345

Sports

7% 100% +$6

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	91	$7.4K	7,437	3,812	+3,624	open	—	05-22 01:02
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	6	$7.0K	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	06-20 17:52
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	6	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-20 21:24
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	49	$5.1K	3,000	2,733	+267	open	—	06-11 00:59
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	174	$4.7K	5,551	1,380	+4,171	open	—	04-24 19:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	52	$4.6K	3,717	2,813	+903	open	—	05-25 03:44
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	11	$4.4K	3,197	1,399	+1,798	No	+$160	05-14 02:03
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$4.1K	4,237	0	+4,237	open	—	05-17 07:47
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	30	$4.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	07-06 22:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-09 21:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	36	$3.9K	2,309	2,509	-200	open	—	06-17 23:52
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	6	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-28 14:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	9	$3.9K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	06-12 13:47
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	60	$3.5K	1,378	2,410	-1,032	open	—	03-09 01:30
will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	36	$3.2K	2,575	2,538	+37	open	—	04-24 23:19
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	39	$3.0K	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	07-15 01:20
will trump praise allah by june 30	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-10 13:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	22	$3.0K	3,213	3,213	+0	open	—	07-19 21:48
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	26	$2.8K	2,017	2,017	+0	open	—	06-18 00:03
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	27	$2.4K	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	04-13 16:26
Trump kiss by May 31?	34	$2.4K	1,401	1,411	-10	open	—	05-20 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	25	$2.4K	1,612	1,612	+0	open	—	05-29 15:50
will cd win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	43	$2.3K	1,215	1,451	-236	open	—	04-12 15:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-20 19:05
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	17	$2.3K	1,288	1,288	+0	open	—	07-19 23:15
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	32	$2.2K	1,800	800	+1,000	open	—	06-16 22:31
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	13	$2.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	07-06 14:23
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	3	$2.1K	2,257	0	+2,257	open	—	06-21 01:35
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	16	$2.1K	1,900	470	+1,430	open	—	05-10 16:11
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	3	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	07-01 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:08:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9b1de0…
08-10 09:42:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x1294d8…
08-10 07:50:57	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8d66d7…
08-10 07:19:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xa48204…
08-10 07:02:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3972bc…
08-10 06:41:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfba7ce…
08-09 18:48:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7c9e03…
08-09 16:45:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb99e38…
08-09 16:23:54	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1dd752…
08-09 16:14:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x055918…
08-09 16:06:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x50164c…
08-09 16:04:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdefd10…
08-09 16:03:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x704049…
08-09 15:54:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x500ff9…
08-09 13:57:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x294b3e…
08-09 07:35:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf16ab5…
08-09 06:14:00	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2b78d0…
08-09 06:07:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x095ac2…
08-09 05:41:16	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 4 2026 20260722225036928	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x4999fa…
08-09 05:02:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xaa98c1…
08-09 05:02:22	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xae00c9…
08-09 05:01:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0aba47…
08-09 05:01:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x8edca0…
08-09 04:57:01	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9b1b80…
08-09 04:56:27	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0xafa3fe…
08-09 04:55:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc97e0e…
08-09 04:39:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xba0bb4…
08-09 04:31:37	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6ffd12…
08-09 04:24:36	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xe4043f…
08-09 04:23:22	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6bc89e…
08-09 04:23:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x581ffc…
08-09 01:53:00	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb96918…
08-09 00:20:15	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x2a75bd…
08-08 16:37:06	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xc058c0…
08-08 16:32:22	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0xb0eae2…
08-08 09:24:54	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0d24c6…
08-08 05:06:39	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	SELL	28	84¢	$23	0x1402c7…
08-08 03:55:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd3b5cd…
08-08 02:17:19	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x248ef6…
08-08 02:17:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x074e34…
08-08 01:14:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x49ac59…
08-08 01:11:49	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x7ceeec…
08-08 01:07:52	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x1a46c4…
08-08 00:52:00	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4cba6d…
08-08 00:33:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x200fb4…
08-08 00:28:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb91c98…
08-08 00:17:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe8f11c…
08-08 00:15:49	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x882ee3…
08-08 00:14:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x8a042e…
08-07 23:57:52	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	106	43¢	$45	0x2a70eb…
08-07 22:06:16	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x74a437…
08-07 20:34:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x56ae38…
08-07 20:22:36	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa35914…
08-07 20:19:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x6860fd…
08-07 17:17:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9d96e2…
08-07 17:09:10	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x526786…
08-07 16:34:49	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x16cb77…
08-07 16:32:58	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	180	47¢	$85	0x4c5bb7…
08-07 15:22:46	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0x43fc9e…
08-07 12:00:15	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xdd41f3…
08-07 11:59:43	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x78f134…
08-07 06:31:55	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xb2bdce…
08-07 06:11:45	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x255ebe…
08-07 06:11:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0x7e4764…
08-07 06:00:16	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	128	53¢	$68	0xf20dbd…
08-07 05:59:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	79	86¢	$68	0x3e7f96…
08-07 05:57:33	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5a0c38…
08-07 05:57:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x2575c4…
08-07 05:56:43	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x91644c…
08-07 05:56:28	will trump say smithsonian in august 20260728181450078	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfc72a4…
08-07 05:55:04	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x662841…
08-07 05:54:36	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xa8c7d8…
08-07 05:53:09	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc04ec3…
08-07 05:52:36	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x76ba88…
08-07 05:52:25	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x6852cf…
08-07 05:52:12	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x04ffa2…
08-07 05:51:39	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x57d641…
08-07 05:51:09	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xe0c523…
08-07 05:09:46	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x19e335…
08-07 05:09:21	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x9c800a…
08-07 04:08:33	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc5458a…
08-07 04:04:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x424bdc…
08-07 04:01:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7897de…
08-07 04:01:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x479fa7…
08-07 03:59:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x871ffe…
08-07 03:59:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x747a99…
08-07 03:59:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8ad791…
08-07 03:58:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc5fb97…
08-07 03:58:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb80033…
08-07 03:58:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8e2117…
08-07 03:31:51	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xaadd59…
08-07 00:42:15	will one night only score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173832442	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x978aa4…
08-07 00:26:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x17791d…
08-06 21:27:17	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x898c14…
08-06 21:01:24	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x406d5f…
08-06 21:00:18	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x720b01…
08-06 20:59:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x55d62e…
08-06 19:47:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe29a01…
08-06 17:36:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x244957…
08-06 17:34:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x3aeb8b…