Moist-Pagan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

1,225

Trades

2,202

lifetime

Volume

$5.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-23 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% -$48

Other

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 15:00 UTC	4	$39	21	18	+3	Up	-$3	06-20 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$34	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	04-25 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	04-25 11:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$33	29	29	+0	Down	-$19	04-27 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$1	04-26 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$1	04-26 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	04-26 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$29	32	0	+32	Up	+$3	04-26 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	04-26 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	04-26 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$27	34	0	+34	Down	+$7	04-25 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$27	29	0	+29	Down	+$2	04-26 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$26	27	0	+27	Up	+$1	04-26 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$26	27	0	+27	Down	+$1	04-25 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$2	04-26 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$25	16	11	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	04-26 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$2	04-26 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	04-26 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	04-25 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$24	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$24	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	04-26 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	04-26 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	04-25 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$23	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	04-25 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	04-25 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	-$3	04-23 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	04-26 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	04-25 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	04-25 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 22:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02bea4…
10-23 22:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49d817…
10-23 17:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ae5dc…
10-23 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x41b614…
10-23 17:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1181ad…
10-23 17:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0e2dc…
10-23 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d32a3…
10-17 07:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0683ee…
10-17 07:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea5b18…
10-17 07:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x369fa9…
10-17 06:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x52fdc1…
10-17 06:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ce092…
10-16 17:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15ed33…
10-16 17:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b792e…
10-16 17:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa8c630…
10-16 16:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x045b17…
10-16 16:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9618f…
10-16 16:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56af29…
10-16 16:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc61b3…
10-16 15:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2d7b8…
10-16 15:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e2ae2…
10-16 15:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2eeed9…
10-16 15:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa98a1d…
10-16 15:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x520115…
10-16 15:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x818286…
10-16 15:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe524eb…
10-16 15:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa49aeb…
10-16 15:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xda491b…
10-16 15:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xffce86…
10-16 14:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd6aa4…
10-16 14:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x08ff0f…
10-10 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ebedf…
10-10 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc0a11a…
10-10 22:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb343e4…
10-10 21:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbf8b7d…
10-10 21:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7c7f9d…
10-05 19:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad2614…
10-05 18:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd55882…
10-05 18:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x35ab28…
10-05 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaccdb7…
10-05 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x536c4d…
10-05 18:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf703a4…
10-05 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6a9f5…
10-04 16:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02ebdd…
10-04 16:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x159e1c…
10-04 16:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe9f79c…
10-04 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea9e57…
10-04 16:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x02916a…
10-04 06:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa86c5c…
10-04 05:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb88f10…
10-04 04:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x609fe7…
10-04 04:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3d260…
10-04 04:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c018a…
10-04 04:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfaa95f…
10-04 04:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1392f7…
10-04 04:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c1978…
10-04 03:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0ef2e…
10-04 03:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x389d4b…
10-04 02:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd23cd5…
10-03 22:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94e455…
10-03 22:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x252345…
10-03 21:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20134b…
10-03 21:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ad6aa…
10-03 10:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe12f00…
10-03 10:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe77c13…
10-03 10:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b5dae…
10-03 09:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa6a279…
09-29 17:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc6740…
09-29 17:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfbcc6e…
09-29 17:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19a115…
09-20 14:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x16720b…
09-20 13:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0bebab…
09-20 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf853ff…
09-20 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x871558…
09-20 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x845465…
09-20 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4bde46…
09-20 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x551abb…
09-19 16:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda1be4…
09-19 15:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x046e7d…
09-19 15:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7cad5…
09-19 14:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9de2a…
09-19 14:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc55c17…
09-19 14:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b0e2c…
09-19 14:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x951764…
09-18 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x571205…
09-18 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x123d59…
09-18 15:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9cd6a8…
09-15 18:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1522d…
09-15 18:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x088c56…
09-15 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb14615…
09-15 18:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7e5929…
09-15 17:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa23d74…
09-15 16:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4e555e…
09-15 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdf9fd5…
09-15 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb88634…
09-15 16:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7608c7…
09-15 16:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x309e39…
09-15 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc3a8f2…
09-15 16:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd7d840…
09-15 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2e5d0c…