Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$983

Unrealized P&L

-$415

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,180 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$15.8K

$121.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$4.66K

13 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-08 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% +$2,679

Other

38% 43% -$225

Sports

5% 43% +$350

Tech

1% 22% -$177

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% 20% -$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+1,938	$714	99¢	$1.9K	+$1,198	11-04 07:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+1,210	$964	96¢	$1.2K	+$204	08-20 10:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+1,293	$650	34¢	$433	-$217	11-06 19:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$387	77¢	$383	-$4	10-27 21:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+500	$341	68¢	$337	-$3	11-04 04:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+998	$200	17¢	$170	-$30	11-05 17:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	-$71	23¢	$117	+$188	10-29 17:46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$110	6¢	$65	-$45	11-04 10:33
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	+1,210	$561	4¢	$42	-$519	08-26 22:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,000	$604	1¢	$23	-$581	11-04 07:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	+19	$6	32¢	$6	+$0	11-01 11:11
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	+303	$208	1¢	$2	-$206	11-03 04:57
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	+605	$400	0¢	$1	-$399	11-07 00:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	22	$9.7K	5,919	5,919	+0	Yes	+$439	04-02 04:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$7.9K	4,093	4,093	+0	No	+$164	03-23 12:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	18	$5.0K	5,182	4,182	+1,000	open	—	10-29 17:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	16	$4.0K	2,661	2,661	+0	No	+$424	11-04 02:05
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	2	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	No	+$2	03-20 11:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	19	$4.0K	3,250	3,250	+0	Yes	+$1,181	11-04 07:52
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	30	$3.8K	4,417	1,997	+2,420	open	—	08-26 22:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$3.7K	2,704	2,704	+0	Yes	+$1,087	10-26 02:26
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$3.4K	1,731	1,731	+0	No	+$11	03-25 17:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$3.0K	2,562	2,562	+0	Yes	+$74	03-30 01:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.9K	1,647	1,647	+0	No	+$82	03-23 14:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	6	$2.4K	3,046	1,108	+1,938	open	—	11-04 07:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$2.4K	2,700	1,950	+750	No	-$331	03-30 01:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$2.2K	1,325	1,325	+0	No	+$27	03-25 13:03
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	3	$2.0K	3,000	2,400	+600	No	-$240	07-15 17:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$1.9K	8,051	6,492	+1,559	No	-$245	03-25 13:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.8K	1,435	1,435	+0	Yes	-$14	03-31 19:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	03-25 12:27
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$1.6K	959	959	+0	No	+$48	06-09 01:05
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,509	1,509	+0	No	+$59	11-04 01:24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$1.4K	2,215	2,215	+0	No	+$196	10-26 22:11
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$1.3K	921	667	+254	No	+$54	03-31 19:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$1.2K	1,259	652	+607	Yes	+$303	10-26 22:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	5	$1.2K	2,414	414	+2,000	open	—	11-04 07:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	12	$1.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$39	10-29 17:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$13	10-28 05:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	7	$1.0K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	11-04 04:28
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$997	559	559	+0	No	-$3	03-27 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	9	$909	1,118	1,118	+0	open	—	11-04 07:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$840	800	800	+0	No	+$8	03-28 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:56:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	342	44¢	$150	0xbc0f1b…
11-08 03:08:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	141	44¢	$62	0x9191b4…
11-08 02:25:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	57	44¢	$25	0xffff22…
11-07 02:36:28	Spread: SMU (-14.5)	Virginia Tech	SELL	140	8¢	$11	0x4dc03c…
11-07 02:13:27	Spread: SMU (-14.5)	Virginia Tech	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x077735…
11-07 00:17:40	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	605	66¢	$400	0xea8cb4…
11-06 23:42:37	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xa6babd…
11-06 23:41:36	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd32ab4…
11-06 23:41:33	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	84	34¢	$29	0xa6c34e…
11-06 23:41:25	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x46cb5a…
11-06 23:40:49	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	132	34¢	$45	0x0af5d8…
11-06 23:37:10	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x882b5c…
11-06 23:36:25	Virginia Tech vs. SMU	Virginia Tech	BUY	314	34¢	$107	0x86c098…
11-06 21:30:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	539	56¢	$300	0xbf779a…
11-06 19:58:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x2ca897…
11-05 19:32:20	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x62e20b…
11-05 17:24:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	998	20¢	$200	0x9b9a2e…
11-05 06:34:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,154	52¢	$600	0xb1bf38…
11-04 10:33:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	302	11¢	$33	0xa07107…
11-04 10:31:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	574	11¢	$63	0xee8651…
11-04 09:42:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x848b47…
11-04 09:16:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	115	11¢	$13	0xcbefbc…
11-04 08:11:13	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	16¢	$22	0xdf9ef9…
11-04 07:52:19	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	626	95¢	$597	0xed99ac…
11-04 07:34:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	877	30¢	$267	0x416f2e…
11-04 07:34:48	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0xd20257…
11-04 07:34:48	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,049	30¢	$314	0x4d9c9c…
11-04 07:17:18	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	30¢	$40	0xdc1a4d…
11-04 07:04:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	830	84¢	$700	0x9eef4f…
11-04 07:00:13	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	238	76¢	$181	0xad15fa…
11-04 07:00:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	75¢	$148	0xe6c0b4…
11-04 06:58:28	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	81¢	$160	0x9c47d7…
11-04 06:40:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	75¢	$95	0x72d4ec…
11-04 06:40:10	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	75¢	$189	0x72bb2c…
11-04 04:28:54	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0xa572f5…
11-04 04:23:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0x4084b5…
11-04 04:20:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,824	90¢	$1,640	0xc2d277…
11-04 04:20:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x54040f…
11-04 03:01:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	542	18¢	$98	0xff83e9…
11-04 02:25:10	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	1,108	77¢	$853	0xd06b17…
11-04 02:15:45	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x188740…
11-04 02:12:55	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	660	18¢	$119	0x7a4dab…
11-04 02:12:19	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	18¢	$61	0x4b9c66…
11-04 02:06:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	671	26¢	$175	0xc015d8…
11-04 02:06:40	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xea2d5a…
11-04 02:06:40	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb4cf22…
11-04 02:06:39	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	26¢	$46	0xfe2190…
11-04 02:05:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,568	99¢	$1,546	0x0625cf…
11-04 02:04:45	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x26ad36…
11-04 01:24:03	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	235	90¢	$211	0x106132…
11-04 01:23:19	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	74¢	$80	0x3c320d…
11-04 01:19:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x09f8fc…
11-04 01:10:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	341	9¢	$30	0xc9cfb8…
11-04 01:03:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	615	65¢	$400	0x1f0d6e…
11-04 01:03:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xf084ba…
11-04 01:03:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	428	42¢	$178	0x56fb4f…
11-04 01:02:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	428	47¢	$200	0xbe9ad0…
11-04 00:59:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	691	38¢	$264	0xd0b8c0…
11-04 00:56:04	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	235	54¢	$127	0x5d8ada…
11-04 00:55:18	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	500	67¢	$334	0xc05e03…
11-04 00:55:07	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	67	34¢	$23	0xd67880…
11-04 00:54:42	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x58f9ee…
11-04 00:45:06	Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x960ada…
11-04 00:43:04	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xe38baf…
11-04 00:39:39	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	725	3¢	$23	0xa4a6c1…
11-04 00:33:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	220	50¢	$110	0xb97545…
11-04 00:33:30	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	125	88¢	$110	0x1667c3…
11-04 00:31:10	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	471	42¢	$200	0x15e14d…
11-04 00:18:39	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	681	25¢	$170	0x5735a0…
11-03 23:51:51	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xd6ba8d…
11-03 23:51:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x16ea58…
11-03 23:46:10	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0x56ead5…
11-03 23:46:03	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	690	13¢	$90	0x8b48e4…
11-03 23:31:03	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x949df2…
11-03 23:29:03	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	217	38¢	$82	0xf44ba2…
11-03 23:25:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	681	37¢	$250	0x42dc3d…
11-03 23:24:49	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	72¢	$298	0x111058…
11-03 22:34:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	335	76¢	$255	0xb3ec65…
11-03 22:12:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x75077e…
11-03 22:05:19	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	70¢	$250	0x43097c…
11-03 22:00:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x3ef3c4…
11-03 22:00:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0x6c22a9…
11-03 21:59:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	97	76¢	$74	0xb9f284…
11-03 21:58:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbe625e…
11-03 21:58:48	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	51¢	$36	0xee3486…
11-03 21:56:10	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xaa97c4…
11-03 21:54:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x9217ab…
11-03 21:54:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x7ffc31…
11-03 21:54:31	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xe378d2…
11-03 21:54:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x335125…
11-03 21:54:28	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	51¢	$128	0x2b223e…
11-03 08:51:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	921	38¢	$350	0x34b5b9…
11-03 08:51:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0xb775ab…
11-03 08:18:55	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xdac6ef…
11-03 08:08:54	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x89fb9a…
11-03 07:09:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x725be5…
11-03 06:08:22	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0x019882…
11-03 05:07:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,115	18¢	$200	0xbaf0fc…
11-03 04:57:58	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0x61eb33…
11-03 04:48:52	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x353f70…