Hideous-Castanet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$234

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved (90d)

142

Trades (90d)

162

9,646 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$864

$337.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% +$230

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down january 27 9am et	6	$1.7K	754	954	-200	Up	+$16	01-27 15:04
ethereum up or down january 26 11am et	7	$992	500	500	+0	Up	+$8	01-26 17:12
xrp up or down january 26 12pm et	9	$890	399	499	-100	Down	+$7	01-26 18:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:45 UTC	1	$838	839	0	+839	Down	+$1	01-25 15:58
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	5	$814	415	415	+0	Up	+$14	01-24 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 11:30 UTC	3	$805	810	26	+784	Up	-$3	01-24 11:44
xrp up or down january 25 3am et	7	$796	402	402	+0	Down	+$8	01-25 09:06
bitcoin up or down january 31 3am et	6	$796	400	400	+0	Down	+$4	01-31 09:06
bitcoin up or down january 25 1am et	4	$733	373	373	+0	Down	+$13	01-25 07:11
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	4	$652	328	328	+0	Down	+$2	01-31 18:11
ethereum up or down january 30 1pm et	2	$627	325	325	+0	Up	+$23	01-30 19:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:00 UTC	5	$617	636	0	+636	Up	+$19	01-25 08:13
bitcoin up or down january 30 2pm et	3	$612	312	312	+0	Up	+$12	01-30 20:03
xrp up or down january 24 12pm et	4	$606	306	306	+0	Up	+$6	01-24 18:12
bitcoin up or down january 29 9am et	8	$604	306	306	+0	Down	+$8	01-29 15:54
xrp up or down january 25 2am et	3	$598	302	302	+0	Down	+$5	01-25 08:04
ethereum up or down january 30 9am et	5	$597	300	300	+0	Up	+$3	01-30 15:04
xrp up or down january 25 6am et	2	$597	300	300	+0	Down	+$3	01-25 12:04
bitcoin up or down february 1 5am et	10	$593	300	300	+0	Down	+$3	02-01 11:13
ethereum up or down january 31 1pm et	9	$586	300	300	+0	Down	+$4	01-31 19:12
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	2	$561	282	282	+0	Up	+$3	01-30 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:00 UTC	8	$515	450	100	+350	Down	+$3	01-31 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:15 UTC	1	$514	515	0	+515	Down	+$1	01-23 02:29
xrp up or down january 24 11pm et	4	$506	258	258	+0	Up	+$10	01-25 05:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 17:45 UTC	3	$496	504	0	+504	Up	+$8	01-27 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 20:45 UTC	1	$485	490	0	+490	Up	+$5	01-23 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:45 UTC	4	$480	500	0	+500	Down	+$20	01-30 15:56
xrp up or down january 28 8am et	6	$477	240	240	+0	Up	+$2	01-28 14:06
xrp up or down january 24 4am et	6	$475	242	242	+0	Down	+$9	01-24 10:22
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:45 UTC	9	$475	482	0	+482	Up	+$8	01-29 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:24:15	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d36db…
10-29 22:10:12	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x618f12…
10-29 21:49:12	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x44c5bb…
10-29 21:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0b18fe…
10-29 21:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c5504…
10-29 17:44:25	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaf7167…
10-29 15:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe319bd…
10-29 14:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9535d…
10-29 13:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x248b4a…
10-29 13:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9092b2…
10-29 02:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdde6bc…
10-28 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5c959…
10-28 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9441b9…
10-28 18:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x031ac8…
10-28 18:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf43a98…
10-28 16:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x468057…
10-28 14:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c5252…
10-28 08:24:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e3c2c…
10-27 22:04:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1880b…
10-27 17:09:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa33668…
10-27 14:09:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa3a25…
10-27 13:49:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f4967…
10-27 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22daac…
10-26 16:39:15	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76016e…
10-26 16:19:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa14506…
10-26 15:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfdc092…
10-26 15:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdab8d2…
10-26 14:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x552228…
10-26 13:09:14	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d100a…
10-26 13:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x534be1…
10-26 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd7338…
10-26 05:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc49b4c…
10-26 02:54:14	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38653d…
10-26 01:49:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74c5d6…
10-26 01:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x930830…
10-26 00:04:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe3b0db…
10-25 22:09:09	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dad78…
10-25 15:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1962ac…
10-25 12:24:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49408d…
10-25 05:14:05	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x335cd7…
10-25 02:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5a832…
10-24 19:34:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65aa6b…
10-24 19:04:14	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ff2f0…
10-24 15:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75c10a…
10-24 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab341c…
10-24 14:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81efca…
10-24 07:34:39	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0efb84…
10-24 00:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4200c…
10-23 19:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9008a…
10-23 19:24:06	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc90305…
10-23 15:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x021a68…
10-23 13:39:08	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0cf1d…
10-23 04:34:08	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cedad…
10-22 17:34:26	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54179f…
10-22 10:39:35	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x014b3f…
10-22 08:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc62daa…
10-22 07:14:05	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfca2d…
10-22 06:49:20	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x10a228…
10-22 03:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a9b56…
10-21 22:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42df83…
10-21 20:34:14	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb119e…
10-21 17:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ceb87…
10-21 14:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ce18e…
10-21 13:44:09	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x938abf…
10-21 13:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x665d8f…
10-21 13:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12342d…
10-21 11:54:11	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c5277…
10-21 10:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39964b…
10-21 07:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa19ee6…
10-20 05:59:06	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4684c0…
10-20 05:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd359e8…
10-20 05:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb33bb6…
10-20 02:09:15	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xba6636…
10-19 17:29:18	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51b5b4…
10-19 16:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf732a8…
10-19 16:04:08	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47eb56…
10-19 15:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8afb98…
10-19 15:39:35	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5480c3…
10-19 15:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c7421…
10-19 14:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc7d18…
10-19 14:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x579897…
10-19 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe680af…
10-19 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc54496…
10-19 03:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20805b…
10-18 22:15:11	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x980a98…
10-18 22:10:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x027848…
10-18 20:19:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e1272…
10-18 20:04:14	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2191d…
10-18 19:59:24	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x812706…
10-18 17:39:27	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e638f…
10-18 15:24:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda0e36…
10-18 11:04:18	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc402af…
10-17 22:14:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4c18f…
10-17 22:14:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x887cb8…
10-17 21:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2dbab…
10-17 21:49:09	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc81a22…
10-17 17:19:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf8fcc…
10-17 15:29:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed6d32…
10-16 23:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a683c…
10-16 21:09:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc461b6…