Fatherly-Minimum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

121

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-21 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 72% $-36

Other

17% 61% $-39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$30	36	0	+36	Down	$-8	05-08 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+1	Up	+$7	05-13 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+1	Up	+$7	05-12 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$25	22	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$24	19	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 14:08
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$23	29	16	+13	Down	$-4	05-09 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$19	27	0	+27	open	—	05-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 03:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$15	17	17	+0	Down	$-5	05-13 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$15	16	11	+5	Up	$-6	05-08 18:50
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Up	$-7	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$12	18	18	+0	Down	$-8	05-13 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 09:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:20
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$10	646	0	+646	Down	$-10	05-09 09:00
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 07:45
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-08 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-09 13:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-09 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	$-10	05-08 08:30
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$10	999	0	+999	Down	$-10	05-09 18:15
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-09 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x035c15…
05-21 09:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x10f002…
05-21 08:59:59	doge updown 15m 1779353100	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b6702…
05-21 08:55:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xbce0d2…
05-21 08:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa07403…
05-21 08:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x912895…
05-21 08:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x78095a…
05-21 08:44:59	doge updown 5m 1779352800	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x627fa0…
05-21 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xfbce80…
05-21 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0a60d5…
05-21 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0c8e3b…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x80e6b8…
05-20 02:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ba44d…
05-20 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa61709…
05-20 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4a75e1…
05-20 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x23e1f5…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9b14a9…
05-14 22:14:55	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6189aa…
05-14 22:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x86433d…
05-14 22:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x1dfdf2…
05-14 21:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xefeb31…
05-14 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x265d32…
05-14 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xebd013…
05-14 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4f9ef4…
05-14 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x874586…
05-14 20:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x3c3cc0…
05-14 19:59:58	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x363d89…
05-14 19:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xefb4a0…
05-14 19:54:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaa3c9d…
05-14 19:19:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb99729…
05-14 18:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x994b2c…
05-14 18:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b3d65…
05-14 18:04:59	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9810e3…
05-14 18:04:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x5fe84f…
05-14 17:40:01	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0234b9…
05-14 16:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa06317…
05-14 16:00:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd42389…
05-14 15:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x57c101…
05-14 15:04:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x68d137…
05-14 15:04:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x685b14…
05-14 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x360c7e…
05-14 15:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xd47fe3…
05-14 14:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x2d5a78…
05-14 12:44:58	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc168e1…
05-14 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe22249…
05-14 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x85d1ef…
05-14 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e5fee…
05-14 11:55:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x73736c…
05-14 11:55:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x6a7b1f…
05-14 09:35:02	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x82a626…
05-14 09:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7abd83…
05-14 09:24:59	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa377ab…
05-14 09:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x096e8e…
05-14 01:50:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x301efe…
05-14 01:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc3caa0…
05-14 01:45:01	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9a410b…
05-14 01:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdb9546…
05-14 01:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4988a1…
05-14 01:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3f03fd…
05-14 01:25:01	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xeecbe8…
05-13 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x5bd780…
05-13 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x67fe53…
05-13 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5337d2…
05-13 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x4b0cb6…
05-13 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xdbccb2…
05-13 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x885e61…
05-13 01:35:00	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9e42dc…
05-13 00:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x85b0b3…
05-13 00:10:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb3d8db…
05-12 17:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xab4f6d…
05-12 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x60a707…
05-12 15:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x4c7471…
05-12 15:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xcce6e5…
05-12 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xb53232…
05-12 13:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3be380…
05-12 13:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x1409a0…
05-12 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf34dbf…
05-10 02:59:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcee66f…
05-10 02:39:58	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x505b42…
05-10 02:00:02	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x90471a…
05-10 01:34:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6fcb79…
05-10 01:15:02	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x47109f…
05-10 00:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x190858…
05-09 23:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2f90f3…
05-09 23:40:00	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x36145c…
05-09 23:19:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2158b3…
05-09 22:44:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc1006e…
05-09 22:39:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xda26e4…
05-09 22:04:59	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x29c867…
05-09 21:19:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xeb5622…
05-09 20:29:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa7348b…
05-09 19:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xddc2e9…
05-09 19:34:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x40b5b4…
05-09 18:34:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x09173c…
05-09 18:15:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x02fbea…
05-09 17:45:01	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x547df8…
05-09 17:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x829964…
05-09 16:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	967	1¢	$10	0x723ca6…
05-09 16:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1b3842…
05-09 16:44:59	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xec734b…