Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-20 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

81% 55% -$4

Politics

16% 55% +$4

Tech

3% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 18:57
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-20 18:57
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	10-20 18:58
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 03:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-23 02:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-17 15:52
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	10-01 11:37
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	10-15 18:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 04:14
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	09-30 10:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-11 11:29
spx up or down on october 2 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	10-02 06:02
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-23 10:39
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	09-25 10:12
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-27 08:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-27 21:07
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-14 06:43
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-15 01:20
spx up or down on october 14 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	10-14 09:11
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-30 02:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	09-08 13:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:26
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	-$1	09-11 10:38
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-14 14:53
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-02 14:16
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 05:41
spy up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	10-16 12:31
spx up or down on august 26 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	08-26 12:39
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$3	09-07 09:22
xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	10-13 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:58:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xbd7f00…
10-20 18:57:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x33e874…
10-20 18:57:41	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe42704…
10-18 11:57:02	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9d6a40…
10-17 23:55:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x513620…
10-17 15:52:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x882e52…
10-17 07:03:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x72dd3d…
10-16 12:31:27	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe40367…
10-16 04:25:57	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6e184c…
10-15 18:55:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe642ef…
10-15 10:47:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2c6494…
10-15 01:20:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa5092…
10-14 17:18:58	will coin dip to 162 50 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcb7d54…
10-14 09:11:23	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x260048…
10-14 01:05:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1befce…
10-13 16:11:46	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x65ba28…
10-10 19:53:43	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe1e550…
10-10 05:41:45	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5d422a…
10-09 02:39:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6a4603…
10-08 06:26:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc43c20…
10-07 22:22:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d0467…
10-06 02:09:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x386fdf…
10-05 16:37:46	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1cb58c…
10-05 16:18:50	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x19d85f…
10-05 00:29:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae0a8a…
10-02 14:16:38	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0c5eb4…
10-02 06:02:38	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a1480…
10-01 11:37:09	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73f5ab…
10-01 03:21:24	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08ac11…
09-30 10:17:14	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8270c7…
09-30 02:14:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2eb24…
09-28 05:08:33	will coin dip to 177 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14311b…
09-27 21:07:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x24883d…
09-27 08:19:59	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe4ded4…
09-26 07:26:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e0516…
09-25 10:12:36	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b17e9…
09-25 02:12:24	will hood reach 122 50 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x88b6c0…
09-24 03:09:53	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc4db95…
09-23 19:04:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7f584a…
09-23 10:39:17	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9442d7…
09-23 02:29:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x495aaf…
09-19 03:58:58	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c6da2…
09-17 17:16:25	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2302c6…
09-14 14:53:37	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x09946e…
09-14 06:43:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d7c99…
09-13 22:33:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x694b17…
09-11 11:29:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x95d1f0…
09-11 10:38:19	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x370c80…
09-09 12:28:40	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x210064…
09-08 13:09:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6cd827…
09-08 04:14:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa03b6a…
09-07 09:22:25	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6c2d5d…
09-03 08:09:12	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfc149b…
09-02 14:25:55	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe59eae…
09-01 14:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4cf690…
09-01 06:40:39	spx up or down on september 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x424fec…
08-29 09:59:18	will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5576a7…
08-29 00:43:42	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa93f65…
08-27 16:41:45	will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x57f93b…
08-27 08:40:28	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9782ec…
08-26 12:39:01	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x603a4d…
08-26 01:29:07	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x97c50d…
08-25 11:31:49	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x056b7c…
08-25 03:01:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x06f2a1…
08-24 17:38:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b48a5…
08-24 09:37:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5959da…
08-24 01:31:52	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdbf758…
08-23 10:16:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2a9fdb…
08-22 22:41:57	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6dd8e1…