Palatable-Auction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$610

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

106

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$52

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-26 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

66% 97% -$604

Crypto

18% 100% +$32

Politics

12% 90% -$64

Tech

3% 100% +$24

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+52	$52	100¢	$52	+$0	10-19 06:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	4	$1.7K	978	978	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$156	03-18 14:34
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	3	$1.4K	678	678	+0	No	+$1	03-09 17:28
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game1	1	$938	1,379	0	+1,379	G2 Esports	-$938	03-20 07:26
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	11	$709	788	0	+788	Gen.G	+$79	03-17 07:19
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$687	404	404	+0	No	-$74	05-03 22:22
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	4	$680	700	0	+700	No	+$20	03-16 07:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	3	$650	655	0	+655	No	+$5	03-06 06:58
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	2	$468	479	0	+479	No	+$11	04-25 13:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$438	438	0	+438	No	+$0	06-08 03:36
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.00 in May?	1	$425	428	0	+428	No	+$3	05-23 09:48
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	1	$416	416	0	+416	No	+$0	05-09 18:14
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game2	2	$406	208	208	+0	Gen.G	+$6	03-19 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$403	202	202	+0	No	$0	10-09 08:17
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	1	$340	341	0	+341	No	+$1	04-18 12:34
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	1	$339	340	0	+340	No	+$1	04-15 10:56
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt70 on april 14	1	$339	340	0	+340	No	+$1	04-13 05:24
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 20 39	1	$338	338	0	+338	No	+$0	04-12 11:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$325	330	0	+330	Yes	+$5	06-12 10:14
nflx above 110 on july 24 2026	1	$319	319	0	+319	No	+$0	07-18 14:52
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$316	323	0	+323	No	+$7	05-16 10:34
will xrp reach 1pt9 march 9 15	2	$306	312	0	+312	No	+$6	03-10 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	3	$304	153	153	+0	No	+$1	08-02 18:30
cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	1	$276	300	0	+300	Vitality	+$24	03-18 21:03
gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	6	$273	150	150	+0	No	+$9	06-04 03:35
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$262	262	0	+262	No	+$0	07-15 02:05
will solana reach 170 september 14 20 2026	1	$250	253	0	+253	No	+$3	09-14 07:32
will xrp reach 2 march 9 15	2	$249	253	0	+253	No	+$4	03-10 06:43
nvda above 230 on june 30 2026	2	$244	246	0	+246	No	+$2	06-27 01:06
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	05-30 09:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$216	219	0	+219	No	+$3	05-06 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 07:29:20	Will Ethena reach $0.44 in October?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x8426bf…
10-26 07:27:39	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in October?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc23b7a…
10-19 07:17:05	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x420bf1…
10-19 06:54:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xda3f68…
10-14 11:25:28	will solana dip to 50 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x84ce46…
10-12 01:33:26	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x57c70d…
10-12 01:33:00	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $120?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b87ee…
10-12 01:32:39	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a24f1…
10-12 01:32:03	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $5.00?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85bbc8…
10-12 01:25:12	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3130d5…
10-12 01:25:00	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x744e1a…
10-11 15:20:22	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xa238e5…
10-09 08:24:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c1aae…
10-09 08:20:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x324056…
10-09 08:20:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4eb8dc…
10-09 08:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xa4e545…
10-08 10:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xf4c76b…
09-21 18:40:49	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x8b55dc…
09-21 08:23:14	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x8f7080…
09-14 07:32:57	will solana reach 170 september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0x984361…
09-07 13:34:37	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x9d720a…
09-07 12:17:58	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee1478…
09-07 09:58:58	Will Solana dip to $40 September 7-13?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x701a21…
09-07 07:19:43	will solana dip to 30 september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x46ec3a…
09-07 07:13:13	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x4014df…
09-07 07:12:15	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfe9cff…
09-05 03:00:57	Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc6d543…
09-01 11:00:52	Will Solana dip to $40 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xae27c8…
09-01 11:00:25	Will Solana dip to $30 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x365b92…
08-29 03:27:28	open above 6pt5 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f1723…
08-29 03:27:13	open above 0pt5 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe5730…
08-29 03:26:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb0c602…
08-29 03:26:09	nflx above 140 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0deb7b…
08-29 03:25:54	nflx above 40 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2d16e6…
08-29 03:25:39	nflx above 30 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a6bb4…
08-29 03:25:27	nflx above 20 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6c5f1b…
08-24 09:40:31	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 24 above $140?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x51367e…
08-22 10:07:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x66cd89…
08-22 08:34:10	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0x225c24…
08-22 05:19:07	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5da743…
08-17 23:52:55	open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xf1eac4…
08-17 15:03:46	will xrp dip to 0pt3 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa89126…
08-12 02:34:42	will wti dip to 45 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3fe482…
08-12 02:34:22	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb6fd97…
08-11 09:40:45	open above 6 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5919c1…
08-05 08:35:24	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x352735…
08-03 06:20:11	will solana reach 140 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xef18ac…
08-03 06:19:44	will solana dip to 0 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x47d979…
08-03 06:18:35	xrp above 1pt5 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xa8e99e…
08-02 18:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x35e8ac…
07-30 13:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xcb2b6c…
07-30 07:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x07e654…
07-27 14:27:03	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x413c53…
07-26 09:19:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x6c3a35…
07-26 09:18:40	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	153	98¢	$151	0xdbea42…
07-22 15:21:24	will xrp dip to 0pt4 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x0016ec…
07-18 14:52:15	nflx above 110 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	319	100¢	$319	0xdc3a3d…
07-15 02:07:10	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd929f6…
07-15 02:06:28	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x53b0ef…
07-15 02:05:08	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x6e6847…
07-06 00:54:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x166efd…
07-06 00:53:43	will ng dip to 2 60 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x1145c6…
07-06 00:52:44	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd0be19…
06-27 01:06:40	nvda above 230 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xe75714…
06-27 01:06:19	nvda above 230 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x0732c6…
06-24 01:49:05	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xa378ad…
06-23 05:48:29	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf7890c…
06-21 20:38:28	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x710bc1…
06-21 04:17:26	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xcf2621…
06-21 04:15:01	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6f3a12…
06-21 04:08:20	will chainlink reach 18 in june	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1512bc…
06-21 04:07:59	will chainlink reach 18 in june	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa26b5c…
06-21 04:06:05	will chainlink reach 16 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd932dc…
06-21 04:05:35	will chainlink reach 18 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x531bf0…
06-21 04:05:20	will chainlink reach 20 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85ad1b…
06-21 04:04:14	will ethena reach 0pt24 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x492bab…
06-21 04:01:44	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xbe71bb…
06-21 03:55:50	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec99a1…
06-21 03:55:05	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc2a2c8…
06-21 03:54:41	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5224b2…
06-18 13:07:59	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x57afb7…
06-13 08:55:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6a3721…
06-13 08:55:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x011053…
06-13 08:54:48	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x75c64e…
06-12 10:14:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	330	99¢	$325	0x132b1c…
06-10 07:23:42	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on June 11?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x919a5d…
06-10 07:23:06	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xfbda3f…
06-08 10:51:00	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x0b09ac…
06-08 10:48:18	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5c99d4…
06-08 03:36:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	438	100¢	$438	0xae9098…
06-04 10:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xb8035f…
06-04 03:35:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xae53d5…
06-03 16:11:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x0acd2c…
06-03 16:11:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0xea7af7…
06-02 13:57:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0xb62bd6…
06-02 12:25:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xcb0e8a…
06-02 10:51:02	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x399b23…
06-02 10:47:37	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	169	94¢	$159	0xd2dc3d…
06-02 10:43:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x248b08…
05-30 09:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xbb3103…