Prudent-Timing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.3%

Resolved

117

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$56.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$395

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-20 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

99% 73% -$30,870

Crypto

1% 100% +$64

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	2	$10.6K	12,971	12,971	+0	open	—	09-20 05:03
will ai or artificial intelligence be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	4	$9.7K	11,171	11,166	+5	Yes	-$5,909	03-10 14:50
wta krueger keys 2026 01 21 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$8.3K	8,777	8,777	+0	Keys	-$7,987	01-20 12:43
will there be 15 17 inches of snow in dc in january	2	$7.2K	5,222	5,222	+0	No	-$2,820	01-26 14:44
mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 btts	3	$6.8K	6,978	6,978	+0	No	-$5,511	02-24 12:00
bkligend uni bas2 2026 03 14	3	$3.8K	4,030	4,030	+0	Unicaja	-$2,940	03-10 14:54
dehl adl sch 2026 03 15	3	$3.5K	3,616	3,616	+0	Adler Mannheim	-$3,035	03-10 14:47
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	2	$2.3K	2,265	2,265	+0	open	—	09-20 05:01
val alt shi 2026 01 26 total games 2pt5	2	$2.2K	2,222	2,222	+0	Under	-$2,000	01-26 14:40
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	7	$560	2,099	2,099	+0	No	-$338	02-24 09:06
xrp above 1pt4 on march 10	1	$183	187	0	+187	Yes	+$5	03-10 15:07
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	01-26 14:50
bkligend cb rea 2026 01 24	2	$126	135	135	+0	Real Madrid	-$117	01-20 12:38
nya up or down on january 26 2026	2	$111	122	122	+0	Up	-$89	01-26 14:37
bitcoin up or down on march 10	1	$100	100	0	+100	Up	+$0	03-10 15:06
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-10 15:06
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$82	330	330	+0	Yes	-$53	02-24 09:06
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game4	1	$82	1,000	0	+1,000	JD Gaming	-$82	02-24 09:11
solana up or down on march 10	1	$67	68	0	+68	Up	+$1	03-10 15:06
ethereum up or down on march 10	1	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	03-10 15:06
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$46	102	0	+102	No	+$56	03-04 13:31
ethereum above 2100 on february 25	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	02-25 05:19
ethereum above 1800 on march 11	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	03-11 12:39
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$18	24	0	+24	Spain	+$6	07-10 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-22 14:41
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	1	$14	18	0	+18	Canada	+$5	06-28 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 1?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-29 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 25?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-24 12:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-20 05:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-20 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 05:05:36	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdbbdaa…
09-20 05:05:31	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2ff475…
09-20 05:05:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x864eb6…
09-20 05:05:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x736302…
09-20 05:05:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8ff8cb…
09-20 05:05:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d8096…
09-20 05:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc5c70…
09-20 05:05:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5a4f6d…
09-20 05:03:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	Yes	SELL	12,971	71¢	$9,209	0xd4ec26…
09-20 05:02:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	Yes	BUY	12,971	11¢	$1,427	0xdf645c…
09-20 05:01:54	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,265	63¢	$1,427	0x0534b9…
09-20 05:00:57	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,265	40¢	$906	0x974ba4…
07-10 16:02:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xfc8ac7…
06-28 07:43:55	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x179721…
05-22 14:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x00425c…
05-09 14:02:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e4252…
05-09 14:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0adbc…
05-09 14:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x59dd41…
05-09 14:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f2c8c…
05-09 14:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x837797…
05-09 14:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e4cb7…
04-29 14:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x263196…
04-24 12:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb3c8b3…
04-24 12:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf91918…
04-24 12:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x929efa…
04-12 14:06:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x092621…
04-12 14:06:03	will ethereum reach 2500 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc866f4…
04-12 14:05:55	will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3675b3…
04-12 14:05:53	will ethereum dip to 1900 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48d46f…
04-12 14:05:45	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe376ac…
04-12 14:05:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc707ae…
04-12 14:05:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc3833…
03-11 12:39:09	ethereum above 1800 on march 11	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4ee098…
03-10 15:07:29	xrp above 1pt4 on march 10	Yes	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0xfcc1e6…
03-10 15:07:13	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1295dc…
03-10 15:06:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x79f421…
03-10 15:06:25	solana up or down on march 10	Up	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xbc63f1…
03-10 15:06:19	ethereum up or down on march 10	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x6ae758…
03-10 15:06:11	bitcoin up or down on march 10	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01ba23…
03-10 15:05:11	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x099c86…
03-10 15:05:07	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa128d9…
03-10 15:05:05	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xba8332…
03-10 15:05:01	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfd4d22…
03-10 15:04:59	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48192d…
03-10 15:04:57	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f788a…
03-10 15:04:53	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef3bbf…
03-10 15:04:43	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe696f8…
03-10 15:04:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 10	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ce15e…
03-10 15:04:35	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x235dee…
03-10 15:04:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc58e3d…
03-10 15:04:29	will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a6140…
03-10 15:04:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf82bad…
03-10 15:04:19	solana above 100 on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb991e4…
03-10 15:04:11	bitcoin above 70k on march 10	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf63e93…
03-10 15:04:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40a454…
03-10 15:04:03	ethereum above 2000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad8980…
03-10 15:03:59	ethereum above 2200 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cb2ad…
03-10 14:54:41	bkligend uni bas2 2026 03 14	Basket Zaragoza	SELL	4,030	11¢	$443	0x68e75f…
03-10 14:53:29	bkligend uni bas2 2026 03 14	Basket Zaragoza	BUY	149	83¢	$124	0x7a20d7…
03-10 14:52:51	bkligend uni bas2 2026 03 14	Basket Zaragoza	BUY	3,881	84¢	$3,260	0x94abcd…
03-10 14:50:43	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	SELL	11,166	17¢	$1,898	0x973a10…
03-10 14:50:35	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb85bf6…
03-10 14:48:59	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	BUY	644	69¢	$444	0x5a92f8…
03-10 14:48:11	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	BUY	10,522	70¢	$7,365	0x61592a…
03-10 14:47:01	dehl adl sch 2026 03 15	Schwenninger Wild Wings	SELL	3,616	7¢	$253	0x37ba31…
03-10 14:45:27	dehl adl sch 2026 03 15	Schwenninger Wild Wings	BUY	215	90¢	$194	0x0aec26…
03-10 14:44:37	dehl adl sch 2026 03 15	Schwenninger Wild Wings	BUY	3,401	91¢	$3,095	0x03c174…
03-04 13:31:27	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0x22e267…
02-25 05:19:46	ethereum above 2100 on february 25	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8002c4…
02-24 12:09:38	will hyperliquid reach 48 in february	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x720f57…
02-24 12:09:36	will hyperliquid reach 52 in february	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c1691…
02-24 12:09:32	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf3dc71…
02-24 12:09:26	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in february 971	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73e33b…
02-24 12:09:16	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8e8be6…
02-24 12:09:14	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x42c305…
02-24 12:09:10	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd2741…
02-24 12:09:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b63ec…
02-24 12:09:02	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8eafb3…
02-24 12:09:00	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52b108…
02-24 12:08:58	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb7e05…
02-24 12:08:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 24	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc320a8…
02-24 12:08:48	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44ad35…
02-24 12:08:44	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16aacb…
02-24 12:08:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 24	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ae36d…
02-24 12:08:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x39389c…
02-24 12:08:34	ethereum above 1900 on february 24	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf10a12…
02-24 12:08:32	ethereum above 2000 on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x793959…
02-24 12:08:30	ethereum above 1700 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33eb20…
02-24 12:08:24	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2bd6af…
02-24 12:00:30	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 btts	No	SELL	6,978	9¢	$628	0x58ff09…
02-24 12:00:00	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 btts	No	BUY	188	87¢	$164	0xd256cc…
02-24 11:59:40	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 btts	No	BUY	6,790	88¢	$5,975	0x725140…
02-24 09:11:04	lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game4	Top Esports	BUY	1,000	8¢	$82	0xe3a7f0…
02-24 09:06:24	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	SELL	330	4¢	$14	0xe9b35d…
02-24 09:06:08	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	2,099	5¢	$111	0xfa20be…
02-24 09:00:32	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xfa6ac0…
02-24 08:56:36	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x481e7a…
02-24 08:54:32	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x58eb7b…
02-24 03:57:56	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	1,825	24¢	$432	0x9b21df…
02-24 03:55:44	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	330	21¢	$68	0x03327a…